2022 Pennzoil 400 odds, picks and prediction

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s 2022 Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas, with NASCAR odds, picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Las Vegas Motor Speedway for Sunday’s 2022 Pennzoil 400. The green flag is set to drop a little after 3:30 p.m. ET (on FOX). Below we analyze the 2022 Pennzoil 400 odds and lines, with NASCAR picks and predictions.

Joe Gibbs Racing driver Denny Hamlin is the defending champion, averaging 144.643 mph en route to a victory last September. That was the fastest average speed since March 3, 2019, when Joey Logano burned up the track at a 154.849-mph clip in the fastest race at LVMS.

There have been five different winners in the past five races at the Sin City track. Hamlin is joined by Kyle Larson (2021 March), Kurt Busch (2020 September), Logano (2020 February) and Martin Truex, Jr. (2019 September) as the five.

In the past six races, all three NASCAR Cup Series manufacturers have posted two victories apiece at the Nevada tri-oval.

2022 Pennzoil 400: What you need to know

  • Logano leads all active drivers with an 8.59 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in 17 races, winning two of those races with six top-5 finishes and 11 top-10 showings. He has also led 495 laps during the span.
  • Brad Keselowski won three races for Penske Racing at LVMS, leading all active drivers in Las Vegas victories. He finished ninth at Daytona and 27th at Auto Club in his first two races with RFK Racing so far this season.
  • Larson, the defending series champ, is coming off a win last week at Fontana. He is third among all active drivers with a 9.82 AFP in 11 career Las Vegas NASCAR Cup Series starts, leading 224 laps.

Who is going to win the 2022 Pennzoil 400?

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:21 a.m. ET.

LARSON (+350) is the chalk for the second consecutive weekend. He is as good a bet as any driver. He was dominant in his Fontana victory last Sunday. As mentioned, Larson won here in the 2021 March race. He followed that up with a 10th-place showing in the fall race after winning the pole.

KYLE BUSCH (+2000), the Las Vegas native, has just one win in his 21 career Cup starts at his home track. He has back-to-back, third-place finishes here, and he was sixth in the 2020 September South Point 400.

RYAN BLANEY (+750) – tied with William Byron for the fourth shortest odds behind Larson, teammate Logano (+700) and Chase Elliott (+700) – has an 8.82 AFP in 11 career Vegas starts. While Blaney has never won at this track, he has five fifth-place finishes and eight runs of 10th or better here. He has never finished lower than 22nd in his 11 Cup LVMS races. His time is coming soon, and he is worth a roll of the dice for the victory.

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Long-shot bets for the 2022 Pennzoil 400

Like last week, AUSTIN DILLON (+3000) is a strong play. He ran well at Auto Club Speedway with a runner-up finish, improving his already good career numbers at that track. He has a tremendous 15.69 AFP in 13 career Vegas Cup starts, including two top-5 finishes. He was 12th and 13th in two stops at LVMS last season.

KESELOWSKI (+3000) has some rather long odds based upon his strong career numbers, too. He is worth playing lightly. A $5 wager nets $150 if he claims the checkered flag.

Prop bets for the 2022 Pennzoil 400

Play TOP-10 FINISH FOR AUSTIN DILLON (+175) at plus-money. He enters this race with a lot of confidence after a runner-up last weekend, and he is 13th or better in three of his past four Vegas starts, including a fourth-place run in the 2020 February race.75

CHASE BRISCOE TOP-10 FINISH (+115) is worth a look, too. He has just two Cup starts at Vegas under his belt, finishing 14th and 21st. It won’t take much improvement to get into the top 10.

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2021 Pennzoil 400 odds, picks and prediction

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s Pennzoil 400, with NASCAR odds, picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series heads out to the Las Vegas Motor Speedway for the Pennzoil 400 Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET. Below we analyze the 2021 Pennzoil 400 NASCAR odds and lines, with NASCAR picks and predictions based on the odds from BetMGM Sportsbook.

2021 Pennzoil 400: What you need to know

Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.’

The Las Vegas Motor Speedway has seen a Ford win four times in the past six starts, although Chevrolet, Ford and Toyota have each had a checkered flag over the previous three stops at LVMS.

  • Kurt Busch won the fall race at Vegas last season in the South Point 400. Penske Racing’s Joey Logano posted a win in the Pennzoil 400 last spring.
  • In 15 career starts at LVMS, Logano has two wins, six top-5 finishes and 10 top-10 runs with 488 laps led and an 8.4 Average-Finish Position (AFP).
  • Ryan Blaney has nine runs under his belt in Las Vegas, and while he hasn’t made his way to Victory Lane, he has three top-5 showings and six top-10 performances with a 9.67 AFP, second among active drivers.
  • Kevin Harvick leads all active drivers with 679 career laps led in Vegas, and he has a pair of wins with seven top-5 runs and 12 top-10 finishes in his 23 career starts.

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Who is going to win the 2021 Pennzoil 400?

HARVICK (+650) is on the pole and looking for his first victory at the track since the spring 2018 race. He also won the Kobalt 400 during the 2015 season when the NASCAR Cup Series ran just once per season at the track.

Penske Racing has dominated at this track, winning three of the past five NASCAR Cup races at LVMS. BRAD KESELOWSKI (+650) leads all active drivers with three checkered flags.

Keselowski not only has the three victories, but he has seven top-5 runs with 10 top-10 finishes and 282 laps led in 15 career starts. He also has an 11.4 AFP, which is third-best among drivers with at least 10 starts at the track.

Logano is the gold standard, even though he has just two victories. He has consistently ticked off top-10 finishes, and he has never finished lower than 23rd at this particular track.

If you want to look outside of the Penske stable of racers, KYLE LARSON (+1000) is your best bet. He has never won at the Nevada tri-oval, but he has three top-5 showings with six top-10 runs and a strong 10.78 AFP in his nine career starts in Vegas.

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2021 Pennzoil 400 long-shot bet

AUSTIN DILLON (+5500) has appeared on this long-shot section before.

Normally, he is a stud on the superspeedways, but he is worth a small-unit play in Las Vegas. He has two top-5 runs, and he has finished 20th or better in eight of his 11 career starts at the track. That’s good consistency, and a jump to the top of the leaderboard isn’t that big of a stretch.

MATT DIBENEDETTO (+3000) is still searching for his first-ever NASCAR Cup Series win, and in a season of first-time winners so far, why not Matty B? He has always been strong in Las Vegas, going for two top-5 finishes and an 18.6 AFP in his eight career starts. He was a runner-up last February at this race, and expectations are rather high.

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