Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury odds predictions pick betting line spread

Las Vegas Aces at Phoenix Mercury odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Las Vegas Aces at Phoenix Mercury odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Las Vegas Aces (19-12) and Phoenix Mercury (16-16) meet Sunday at Footprint Center in Phoenix. Tip-off is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Aces vs. Mercury odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Aces lead 2-1

The Aces rebounded from a 93-90 loss in Dallas to upend the visiting Atlanta Dream 83-72 on Friday as a 10.5-point favorite. The cover snapped an 0-9 against the spread (ATS) skid. The Under (164.5) cashed Friday, and the total has gone low at a 8-3 run across the past 11 outings.

The Mercury have dropped back-to-back games while going 0-3-1 ATS in the past 4 outings, while the Under is 3-1-1 in the previous 5 contests.

Phoenix suffered a 103-99 loss at home on June 13 in the most recent meeting, but the Mercury did hang on for a cover as a 6-point underdog as the Over (170.5) easily connected. Phoenix is 3-0 ATS in the 3 meetings with Las Vegas this season.

Aces at Mercury odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:41 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Aces -205 (bet $205 to win $100) | Mercury +164 (bet $100 to win $164)
Against the spread: Aces -4.5 (-106) | Mercury +4.5 (-114)
Over/Under (O/U): 169 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Aces at Mercury picks and predictions

Prediction

Mercury 85, Aces 81

Moneyline

Playing PHOENIX (+164) as moderate underdogs is a strong play. The Mercury have played the Aces (-205) tough all season. The way Las Vegas has been playing lately, there is no way you can trust it laying more than 2 times your potential return.

Against the spread

If you’re a little less adventurous, play PHOENIX +4.5 (-114) catching the points. It gives you a little leg room in the event of a Las Vegas -4.5 (-106) win by 4 or fewer points.

After all, the Aces are still just 1-9 ATS in the past 10 games, despite Friday’s cover against Atlanta. And Las Vegas is 0-3 ATS in 3 tries against Phoenix this season.

Over/Under

UNDER 169 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play here.

The Under is 3-1 in the past 4 games for the Aces, while going 8-3 across the previous 11 outings.

For the Mercury, the Under has hit at a 3-1-1 clip in the past 5 outings, while cashing at a 5-2 pace in the past 7 contests at Footprint Center.

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Las Vegas Aces at Phoenix Mercury odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Las Vegas Aces at Phoenix Mercury odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Las Vegas Aces (5-5) and Phoenix Mercury (6-6) meet Thursday in a Commissioner’s Cup game at Footprint Center in Phoenix. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Aces vs. Mercury odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Aces suffered a 100-86 loss at home to the Minnesota Lynx as a 7-point favorite Tuesday. It was the 3rd straight setback for Las Vegas, who has dropped 3 in a row for the first time since 2019.

The Aces have allowed 98.0 PPG in the past 2 games, the most points allowed in consecutive games by Las Vegas since allowing 108.5 PPG in a home-and-home with the New York Liberty July 6-12, 2022.

The Mercury posted a 97-90 win in overtime on the road against the Dallas Wings Sunday. Phoenix has won and covered consecutive games for the first time since a 3-game win streak from May 18-23, which included a 98-88 road win against the Aces on May 21 as a 13.5-point underdog.

Phoenix has won just the one game May 21 in the past 10 tries against Las Vegas. However, the Mercury have covered 3 in a row in the series since Sept. 10, and the Over is 6-1 in the previous 7 meetings.

Aces at Mercury odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Aces -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Mercury +198 (bet $100 to win $198)
Against the spread: Aces -5.5 (-110) | Mercury +5.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 170 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Aces at Mercury picks and predictions

Prediction

Mercury 93, Aces 89

Moneyline

PHOENIX (+198) is a tremendous value at home, as you can nearly double up with a win by the home side.

Las Vegas (-250) is struggling badly, especially at the defensive end, and facing a Mercury team that dropped 98 on it earlier in the season at Mandalay Bay won’t help matters.

Against the spread

PHOENIX +5.5 (-110) is worth playing if you still can’t bring yourself to bet against Las Vegas -5.5 (-110) despite its recent woes.

The Merc have covered 3 of the past 4 outings, while going a respectable 3-2 ATS in 5 games at the Footprint Center this season, including covers in the past 2.

The Aces are not only losing outright, but as you’d imagine, they’re not covering, either. Las Vegas is 0-3 ATS in the 3-game losing skid, and just 3-7 ATS on the season.