Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty odds predictions pick betting line spread

Las Vegas Aces at New York Liberty odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Las Vegas Aces at New York Liberty odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Las Vegas Aces (22-12) and New York Liberty (28-6) meet Sunday at Barclays Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 4 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Aces vs. Liberty odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Liberty lead 2-0

The Aces won their 4th in a row with a 72-67 road W against the Connecticut Sun Friday. G Kelsey Plum led the squad with 27 points, and F A’ja Wilson had 20 points and 8 boards. They trail the Sun by 2 games for the 3rd seed with 6 to go.

The Liberty coasted to a 77-70 win over the Seattle Storm Thursday. They failed to cover as 8-point faves. F Breanna Stewart had an off-night with 14 points on 5-for-16 shooting. The Liberty hold the best record in the league by 3 games.

Aces at Liberty odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 7 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Aces +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Liberty -172 (bet $172 to win $100)
Against the spread: Aces +4 (-112) | Liberty -4 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 167.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Aces at Liberty picks and predictions

Prediction

Aces 82, Liberty 79

Moneyline

The Aces have won and covered 4 games in a row. Meanwhile, the Liberty have been a little vulnerable with 2 losses in their last 5 and a 2-4 ATS mark in their last 6.

Vegas needs this one more, and it’s really hard to beat this battle-tested team 3 straight times. Take the ACES +140.

Against the spread

I’m going to forego the spread here since we’re taking a chance on the ML. These games haven’t been too close with 8- and 12-point margins this season.

PASS.

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Over/Under

Both meetings this year have gone Under. In fact, this matchup hasn’t spawned an Over in 7 straight meetings. New York is 4-6 O/U in its last 10, and Vegas is 3-7.

Take the UNDER 167.5 (-110).

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WNBA Finals Game 4: Las Vegas Aces at New York Liberty odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Las Vegas Aces at New York Liberty Game 4 odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Las Vegas Aces and New York Liberty meet Wednesday for Game 4 of their WNBA Finals best-of-5 playoff matchup. Tipoff from Barclays Center in Brooklyn is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Aces vs. Liberty Game 4 odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

WNBA Finals series: Aces lead 2-1

The Aces had a chance to eliminate the Liberty in Game 3, but New York stayed alive with an 87-73 victory as a 1.5-point underdog. Las Vegas is now 0-2 against the spread (ATS) in 2 road playoff games, with the Under cashing in each of those outings. Las Vegas is averaging just 69.5 points per game (PPG) in those 2 road playoff games, too.

The big news is that the Aces will be missing 2 starters for Game 4. Aces G Chelsea Gray, the 2022 WNBA Finals MVP, and C Kiah Stokes are both out with foot injuries.

Gray, who is averaging 15.0 points, 5.0 rebounds and 7.3 assists per game in the Finals, exited Game 3 with her injury in the 4th quarter. Stokes, who had 9 rebounds in Game 3 and is averaging 2.7 points and 6.7 rebounds in the Finals, isn’t sure when she hurt her foot. She is averaging 2.8 points and 7.9 rebound in the postseason.

The Liberty snapped an 0-3 ATS skid in Game 3, and the Under (172) cashed Sunday to snap a 5-0 Over run. New York is still 2-6 ATS in the past 8 games overall. The Liberty have scored 84 or more points in 4 of 5 home games in these playoffs.

Game 4: Aces at Liberty odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:06 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Aces +194 (bet $100 to win $194) | Liberty -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Aces +5.5 (-104) | Liberty -5.5 (-118)
Over/Under (O/U): 169.5 (O: -106 | U: -114)

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Game 4: Aces at Liberty picks and predictions

Prediction

Aces 83, Liberty 80

Moneyline

The ACES (+194) were favorites in Game 3, and they ended up laying an egg as the Liberty extended their season. Now, the shoe is on the other foot, and Las Vegas is a giant value as a moderate underdog.

The line has moved in the Liberty’s favor with the injuries to the Aces’ Gray and Stokes, and many expect the home team to cruise in this one.

I’m predicting Las Vegas will thwart the doubters and successfully defend last season’s title with a win Wednesday.

Behind star F A’ja Wilson (20.3 PPG, 11.3 RPG in the Finals) and G’s Kelsey Plum (26.0 PPG, 3.7 assists per game) and Jackie Young (19.3 PPG, 5.3 RPG, 4.3 APG), the Aces pull this off.

Yes, the Aces have struggled in the postseason on the road, going just 1-1 SU and 0-2 ATS. But they’re also a high-octane offense, and they’ll get the bounce-back in Game 4, hoisting the trophy once again.

Against the spread

If you can’t bring yourself to play the Aces on the moneyline to win straight up, at least play LAS VEGAS +5.5 (-104) to keep it within 3 buckets.

There is risk as the Aces are 1-6 ATS in the past 7 road games. However, the Liberty are just 1-4 ATS in the past 5 home outings. Las Vegas is 19-8 ATS in the past 27 meetings, too.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 169.5 (-114) is worth playing in Game 4. The intensity will be ratcheted up to an all-time high, and it’s a good idea to buck most of the trends.

The Over has cashed in 10 of the past 14 in the series, while cashing in 4 of the past 5 in New York. But that lone Under was in Game 3.

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WNBA Finals Game 3: Las Vegas Aces at New York Liberty odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Las Vegas Aces at New York Liberty Game 3 odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Las Vegas Aces and New York Liberty meet Sunday for Game 3 of their WNBA Finals best-of-5 playoff matchup. Tip-off from Barclays Center in Brooklyn is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Aces vs. Liberty Game 3 odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

WNBA Finals Series: Aces lead 2-0

The Liberty crapped out in Vegas like many travelers before them, losing each of the 1st 2 games in the series, then taking the long flight home with empty pockets.

Las Vegas rolled up a 99-82 win as 4.5-point favorites in Game 1 as the Over (170) cashed. It got worse in Game 2, as the Aces thumped the Liberty 104-76 to cash as 4.5-point favorites, and the Over (170.5) cashed yet again.

The Aces are an impressive 7-0 SU in the postseason, covering 5 of the outings, while the Over is 3-1-1 in the past 5 games overall. The Aces went on the road just once so far in this postseason, winning just 64-61 at Dallas in the West semifinals, failing to cover as the Under connected.

The Liberty hope being home will keep their season, and championship hopes, alive. New York has failed to cover the past 3 games overall, while going just 1-6 ATS in the past 7 outings. At home, New York is 3-1 SU in these playoffs, while going just 1-3 ATS. The Over has cashed in 5 straight games for the Liberty.

Game 3: Aces at Liberty odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:46 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Aces -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Liberty +106 (bet $100 to win $106)
Against the spread (ATS): Aces -1.5 (-114) | Liberty +1.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 171.5 (O: -111 | U: -115)

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Game 3: Aces at Liberty picks and predictions

Prediction

Liberty 84, Aces 81

Moneyline

The LIBERTY (+106) have some pride, and it will come out in Game 3 as New York is able to extend their season.

There hasn’t been a lot of competitiveness in this series, but New York is hopeful a change of venue will change its fortunes. The Liberty have won 3 of 4 games at home in this postseason.

It won’t be easy, but the Liberty should be able to stave off elimination and force a Game 4.

Against the spread

If you like the Liberty +1.5 (-105) to bounce back and force a Game 4, then playing the moneyline makes a lot more sense than taking a point and a half.

AVOID, and just take New York straight up.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 171.5 (-115) is worth a look. If New York is going to extend its season, it needs to take the air out of the ball and slow things down. The Aces have gotten out and run, and averaged 101.5 PPG in 2 games in this series.

The last time, and only time, the Aces have been on the road, the Wings slowed it down and held the high-flying Aces to just 64 points. New York needs to scour the film and repeat that strategy.

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Las Vegas Aces at New York Liberty odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Las Vegas Aces at New York Liberty odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Las Vegas Aces (30-5) travel to meet the New York Liberty (27-7) Monday. Tip-off from Barclays Center is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Aces vs. Liberty odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

These teams are getting pretty familiar with each other as they meet for the 3rd time in the regular season since Aug. 6. They also met in the Commissioner’s Cup final on Aug. 15 in Las Vegas.

New York won 99-61 in Brooklyn as a 4.5-point underdog as the Under (176.5) cashed on Aug. 6 and also won the Commissioner’s Cup game Aug. 15 in Vegas as a 7.5-point underdog as the Under (178) hit. Vegas exacted a little revenge on Aug. 17, winning 88-75 to cover a 7.5-point number as the Under (175.5) again cashed.

Aces at Liberty odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Aces -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Liberty +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Aces -1.5 (-110) | Liberty +1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 173.5 (O: -110) | U: -110)

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Aces at Liberty picks and predictions

Prediction

Liberty 86, Aces 83

Moneyline

The LIBERTY (+100) pounded the Aces in the most recent meeting in Brooklyn. Las Vegas has been rather human since that humbling, going 6-3 straight-up over its last 9 contests and just 1-5 ATS in the past 6 games including the Commissioner’s Cup loss.

Against the spread

Playing the Liberty +1.5 (-110) makes very little sense unless you are convinced the Aces will win this game by exactly a point. If you feel New York is going to win, then just play the moneyline for a better value.

PASS.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 173.5 (-110) is the best play on the board.

The Under has cashed in the previous 2 regular-season meetings and in the Commissioner’s Cup battle. The Under is also 5-2 in the past 7 games overall for the Aces, including the Cup game.

New York has also been going low, with the Under 8-3 across the past 11 games overall, including the Commissioner’s Cup. And remember, 3 of those Under results are against the Liberty just since Aug. 6.

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Las Vegas Aces at New York Liberty odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Las Vegas Aces at New York Liberty odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Las Vegas Aces (24-2) travel to meet the New York Liberty (21-6) Sunday at Barclays Center in Brooklyn. Tip-off is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Aces vs. Liberty odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

The Aces enter with the best record in the WNBA and the Liberty have the 2nd-best record in the league and top mark in the Eastern Conference.

Las Vegas has won 8 straight games and clinched a playoff spot, going 6-2 against the spread (ATS) during the span. The Over has cashed in 3 of the past 4 outings and 6 of the previous 8 contests. The Aces are also 4-0 ATS in the past 4 games against teams with a winning record.

New York has won 3 straight contests while cashing the Under in each of those battles. However, the Liberty have really struggled against the number lately, going 3-9 ATS across the past 12 games overall. New York is 2-6 ATS in the past 8 at home and 1-7 ATS in the previous 8 against Western Conference foes.

The last time these teams met in Vegas, the Aces posted a 98-81 win as 6.5-point favorites as the Over (176) connected. The Aces have covered 22 of the past 29 meetings with the Liberty while going 10-4 ATS in the past 14 meetings in New York. The Over has cashed in 7 straight meetings, too.

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Aces at Liberty odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:22 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Aces -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Liberty +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
Against the spread: Aces -4.5 (-115) | Liberty +4.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 176.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Aces at Liberty picks and predictions

Prediction

Aces 94, Liberty 85

Moneyline

The Aces (-210) will cost you over 2 times your potential return, and that’s a little too much risk for not enough reward.

AVOID, and look to the spread instead.

Against the spread

The ACES -4.5 (-115) are worth a play in this potential WNBA Finals preview.

Las Vegas took care of New York in the first meeting on The Strip, winning by 17 points. While the Liberty +4.5 (-105) has been pretty strong straight up, New York has covered just 3 times in the previous 12 outings. In addition, the Aces have had the number of the Liberty over the long term, covering in 22 of the past 29 encounters.

Over/Under

OVER 176.5 (-110) is the lean, but only play a half-unit at best.

While the Over has dominated in this series, cashing in 7 consecutive meetings, the Under is 3-0 in the past 3 outings overall for the Liberty.

The Over has dominated for the Aces lately, going 6-0-1 in the past 7 against teams with a winning overall record. The Over is also 7-2 in their past 9 tries against Eastern Conference teams and 4-1 in the previous 5 outings on the road.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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