The second match on Saturday’s UFC on ESPN+ 33 main card pits Ricardo Lamas against Bill Algeo in a featherweight bout at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card set for 9 p.m. ET.
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Lamas (19-8) was originally set to square off with Ryan Hall, who was forced to withdraw due to injury. It doesn’t seem meant to be, as their previous fight was sacked due to the coronavirus. Maybe the third time will be a charm if they’re booked to face each other again.
Luckily for Lamas, Algeo (13-4) will step in with short notice to fill the void, making his UFC debut in the process. Algeo stands four inches taller than Lamas with a 2½-inch reach advantage. And while Algeo has posted a crazy 9.80 significant strikes landed per minute and 53.26 significant strike-accuracy percentage in the lower levels, he hasn’t faced an opponent of quality like Lamas.
Lamas can throw hands and stand toe-to-toe, but his preference will be to get the fight to the canvas. He has a 1.63 takedown average, and 32.0 takedown accuracy percentage with a 1.02 submission average.
Lamas is coming off a KO/TKO loss to Calvin Kattar on the UFC 238 card back on June 8, 2019, and to make matters worse he suffered a broken jaw in the setback. He was set to make his first appearance since the injury in May, but again it was scrapped. So, he’ll be itching to go against Algeo. Five of his past six fights have finished inside the distance with four KO/TKOs (2-2), and a submission win during the span.
Ricardo Lamas vs. Bill Algeo betting odds
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 4:40 a.m. ET.
Lamas (-323) is an overwhelming favorite over Algeo (+255), and rightly so. Lamas is the more seasoned fighter. Algeo throws a significant amount of punches, but isn’t terribly polished. It will be a quick fight which goes to the favorite.
Expect Lamas to polish Algeo off, so LAMAS BY KO/TKO, DQ or SUBMISSION (+105) is a recommended play. This fight won’t be going the distance, so a bet on UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (-134) is a pretty decent value.
To watch the full card, sign up for ESPN+ now.
Also see:
- UFC on ESPN+ 33 predictions (MMA Junkie)
- Video: Intensity theme at weigh-ins (MMA Junkie)
- MMA Junkie – The latest UFC/MMA coverage
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