Experts’ Week 11 predictions have Ravens beating Texans

The experts aren’t really giving the Houston Texans a chance in their Week 11 tilt with the Baltimore Ravens.

The Houston Texans take on the Baltimore Ravens Sunday at 12:00 p.m. CT at M&T Bank Stadium in a tilt that is early jockeying for first-round bye positioning. If the Texans win, they will achieve a 7-3 mark and drop the Ravens to the same record. However, Houston will have the tiebreaker, and thus take the No. 2 spot in the AFC, if the playoffs were to start next week.

The Texans are coming off of their bye, but experts don’t see it helping them much.

usa today takes the ravens

texans-have-practice-player-emulate-lamar-jackson
Mitchell Layton-USA TODAY Sports

Each week, Touchdown Wire presents their NFL game previews for the week. Here is what Matthew Stevens had to write:

Ravens’ keys: Baltimore has to get pressure on QB Deshaun Watson. Offensively, Baltimore has to get into a rhythm in the passing game to take advantage of a suspect secondary.

Texans’ keys: Contain QB Lamar Jackson from breaking out of the pocket and stop RB Mark Ingram on the ground. Putting Baltimore into third-and-long situations will force Jackson into obvious passing situations and open up the possibility of mistakes.

Who wins? This game comes down to how well the Texans can contain Jackson. Once the Ravens get on a roll offensively, they’re nearly impossible to stop. Ravens 34, Texans 27

Behind Enemy Lines: Previewing Week 11 with Ravens Wire

Ravens Wire helps Texans Wire go behind enemy lines to set the table for the Week 11 matchup between Houston and Baltimore.

The Houston Texans and Baltimore Ravens meet up for a Week 11 encounter at M&T Bank Stadium. To get ready for the matchup, Matthew Stevens, managing editor of Ravens Wire, took time to answer questions and give an inside look at the Ravens.

 

Texans wire: How much do Ravens fans fear Lamar jackson’s style of play will get him hurt?

Matthew Stevens: While many people look at how often Jackson runs and just see more opportunity for him to get hurt, it’s far more nuanced than that. The more you watch Jackson actually play, the more you see he does a great job avoiding big hits. He’s also a pocket passer primarily, using his legs when he has an obvious opening to make a play or when chased from the pocket. And considering how many starting quarterbacks have gone down with injuries this season by taking vicious sacks, him being able to avoid that pressure should be viewed as a positive towards his health rather than a negative. When Jackson does run, he’s been using the sideline a lot more often this season compared to his rookie year.

On plenty of his runs through nine games, Jackson has completely avoided being touched at all. So realistically, when you total everything up, Jackson probably takes no more hits than your average starting quarterback does. Though with the way Jackson has played thus far, he’s been able to see where those hits are coming from and been able to mitigate just how bad it’ll be. The reality is Jackson is undoubtedly going to get hurt at some point in his career, though everyone hopes he doesn’t.

There isn’t a franchise passer in this era of football that hasn’t gone down with a serious injury at some point in his career. The hope is Jackson can continue to be smart with how he plays in order to continue to not put himself at greater risk than any other quarterback.

TW: Who have been some big surprises for Baltimore?

MS: With a pretty young roster made up of a lot of new players, there have been a number of real surprises this season for the Ravens. But I think there’s been none bigger than the play from linebackers Josh Bynes and L.J. Fort. Both were midseason additions and have helped transform what had been one of the worst defenses in the league. Their individual stat sheets might not be much to write home about but their solid play has allowed so much else fall into place.

Offensively, I think running back Mark Ingram has been one of the best signings in the entire league this offseason. But without Jackson’s improvement as a passer and leader, the entire offense wouldn’t be nearly as impressive as it has been. While many expected Jackson to improve from last year, I don’t think many expected to see such a drastic improvement in such a short period of time.

TW: How hot of a commodity will Greg Roman be when it comes time to fill head coaching vacancies?

MS: While I think Roman should be at the top of plenty of coaching searches, I’m not too sure that happens. For as much praise as Roman and Jackson have gotten this season, featuring one of the best offenses in the league right now, I get the impression there are still plenty of people who either doubt the longevity of this scheme or how niche it is. And that makes some sense. Roman isn’t necessarily reinventing the wheel here. In fact, we’re seeing a lot of the same things he used when the offensive coordinator of the San Francisco 49ers, just finding more success with Jackson at the helm.

But the thing that I think shouldn’t be overlooked is that Roman did cater his offense around the talent Baltimore has, especially at quarterback. He hasn’t been afraid to mix things up and go against the grain of traditional offense a little bit more often than you see elsewhere. That knack for not only finding and developing talent but creating a scheme to take advantage of it is something that should get him a ton of praise. It might seem like an obvious thing, but there are more than enough NFL teams that can’t seem to figure that philosophy out, including the Ravens for too many years.

TW: How big of a pickup was Mark Ingram?

MS: Ingram has been the best signing in the league this offseason bar none. Considering how much Le’Veon Bell cost the New York Jets, Ingram was a relative steal just in terms of pure cap space used. But he’s also on pace to set career highs in both rushing yards and touchdowns, improving the value so much more.

Ingram fits into what Baltimore wants to do, offering up the hammer to Jackson’s agility and in turn, the offense is flourishing because of it. He looks as strong as ever, often carrying defenders for extra yards. He still has plenty of speed, however, and has fooled defenses who though they could contain him on outside runs. It was the type of low-key, smart and efficient signing Baltimore has typically been known for in the past.

tw: is there a bettter cornerback duo than marlon humphrey and marcus peters?

MS: Boy, if there is, I’m drawing a blank on the names. Humphrey is the lockdown cornerback every team wishes they had, and Peters offers enough aggression and talent to gamble and notch some huge plays, as noted by his three pick-sixes so far this season. Considering Peters got traded to the Ravens before Week 7, he’s still undoubtedly learning the entire defensive playbook and turning things into muscle memory. Ideally, that means that duo can and will actually get better through the rest of the season and beyond. But what is often overlooked is that the Ravens also have Jimmy Smith and Brandon Carr as well — two solid cornerbacks in their own right. It’s not a stretch to say Baltimore legitimately has four starting-caliber cornerbacks on their active roster right now, and that’s even with slot cornerback Tavon Young on injured reserve. With Earl Thomas sitting over top in the free safety role, it’s hard to imagine a better overall secondary than what the Ravens have.

 

tw: any predictions or bold predictions?

MS:  For a bold prediction, I’m going to say Jackson throws for 300 yards and three touchdowns while going over 100 yards on the ground.

So far this season, no team has been able to accurately simulate what Jackson can do, and that has been to Baltimore’s benefit. While Houston has a unique talent at quarterback in Deshaun Watson, he’s not quite on the same level as a rushing threat or as fast as Jackson. And when I look at the Texans’ defense, I wonder if they have the speed to keep Jackson from running all over them without giving up big plays either to the running backs or through the air. If the Ravens can get an early lead, the defense has been able to make some really good quarterbacks pay this season.

While anything can happen on a football field, I can’t really see that formula changing much for Baltimore this week. I see Jackson forcing the Texans to sell out on containing him, which will leave a rather suspect secondary even more exploitable. Watson and Houston’s offense keeps it close, but the Ravens win. Ravens 34, Texans 27

 

Lamar Jackson vs. Deshaun Watson 2.0 could be another fireworks show

As Lamar Jackson and Deshaun Watson square off for the second time, history points to a shootout for the Ravens and Texans in Week 11.

The last time Lamar Jackson and Deshaun Watson were on a field together was a little more than three years ago, though they were wearing different jerseys. Jackson and Watson were trading figurative blows as Louisville and Clemson fought for supremacy through a shootout and four lead changes.

Jackson and Watson combined to run for nearly a quarter of the combined total yards in that game, putting up 253 rushing yards and two of the four rushing touchdowns scored. In one of the most exciting college games in recent history, they threw for a combined 601 yards, six touchdowns and four interceptions en route to a 42-36 Clemson win.

Fast forward to 2019, and both Jackson and Watson are two of the best young quarterbacks in the NFL. Jackson is in his first full season as the starter, leading the Baltimore Ravens to a 7-2 record and talk of an MVP award. Watson is in his third season with the Houston Texans and has them at 6-3 in the thick of the playoff hunt.

With the Texans and Ravens meeting on the field in Week 11, we could be in for a replay of that wild 2016 game.

Much like that Clemson-Louisville game from three years ago, Watson and Jackson have been huge parts of their respective offenses. Jackson leads the Ravens on the ground, accounting for just under 40% of the team’s total rushing yards. He’s been efficient as a passer, completing 65.9% of his passes with a 3-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Watson accounts for just under 22% of Houston’s rushing yards but has completed 70.2% of his passes while throwing 18 touchdown passes to just five interceptions.

Combined, Jackson and Watson total 5,449 total yards (rushing and passing), 33 passing touchdowns and 11 rushing touchdowns while leading the first- and eighth-ranked scoring offenses in the NFL.

But the opposite side of the ball has been less spectacular. The defenses for both Houston and Baltimore have been suspect at times this season. Though both units have gotten the job done well enough to have them in the playoff race, neither defense is on par with what we’ve come to expect from these franchises.

They rank near the middle of the league (15th for the Ravens and 19th for the Texans) and have had some terrible outings this year. Baltimore has allowed 500-plus yards while giving up 30-plus points twice this season. Houston has given up 500-plus yards once and has allowed 30-plus points three times.

Both Jackson and Watson have unique abilities to avoid a pass rush, often making defenses look foolish for trying to pressure them. But with J.J. Watt on injured reserve for Houston and Baltimore not having a star pass rusher of its own, neither Jackson nor Watson should have very much trouble this week. That should free up both offenses to throw from the pocket and use their mobile quarterbacks as weapons on the ground.

Combine these suspect defenses with the multitalented quarterbacks and it seems like a recipe for fireworks reminiscent of that Clemson-Louisville game.

Texans quantify Ravens’ Lamar Jackson as an advanced Michael Vick

Houston Texans defensive coordinator Romeo Crennel sees Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson as a Michael Vick type.

The Houston Texans have never seen anything like Lamar Jackson. A quarterback with sprinters speed, quick feet, improved accuracy and decisive decision-making, the Baltimore Raven is a problem.

Jackson, 22, is an MVP candidate in his second year in the NFL. He has the Ravens at 7-2, in the process recording 2,036 passing yards, 702 rushing yards, 21 total touchdowns and five interceptions.

If there was anybody comparable to Jackson, it would be Michael Vick, according to defensive coordinator Romeo Crennel. However, even then, that comparison doesn’t do him justice. Baltimore runs a bigger playbook with Jackson than Vick (in Atlanta).

“Probably the closest would be Michael Vick because of his speed, but Lamar is a different guy because of what they’re doing with him,” said Crennel on Thursday. “So, that makes it much more complicated because they’re running options, they’re running zone reads, they’re toss cracking. There’s a lot of things they’re doing that are problems for the defense.”

Like Vick, Jackson has the speed and tools to beat defenses on the ground or over the air. Unlike Vick (pre-Philadelphia), he is a film room warrior with a playbook designed to fit his specified needs. Reading a defense, and then exploiting it, is what he does best.

Crennel and Co. must get creative in their play-calling to contain Jackson. From nickel defense to quarterback spies on-top of quarterback spies, there is no such thing as playing him like another quarterback. He’s not any other quarterback.

Texans-Ravens odds: Marquee QB showdown in Baltimore

Previewing Sunday’s Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens Week 11 matchup, with NFL betting odds, picks and best bets

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The AFC South-leading Houston Texans (6-3) face the AFC North-leading Baltimore Ravens (7-2) at M&T Bank Stadium at 1 p.m. ET Sunday.

We analyze the Texans-Ravens odds and sports betting lines, while providing betting tips and advice on this Week 11 NFL matchup.

Texans at Ravens: Week 11 preview, betting trends and notes


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  • Houston is 3-2 straight up against the moneyline on the road.
  • Baltimore has hit the Over in six of nine games this season.
  • The Texans have hit the Under in five of nine games this season.
  • Baltimore is 5-0 straight up in five home games against Houston, but the Texans are 4-1 against the spread in their last five meetings with the Ravens.
  • The Ravens are the highest scoring team in the league, averaging 33.3 points a game. Houston is eighth in scoring at 26.4 points a game. Both teams are in the middle of the pack in points allowed – Baltimore giving up 21 PPG and Houston allowing 21.2 PPG.
  • The teams have met just 10 times in their history with Baltimore winning eight.

Texans at Ravens: Key injuries

Several Texans were limited in practice this week, including OT Laremy Tunsil (shoulder), WR Will Fuller (hamstring), CB Bradley Roby (Hamstring), S Tashaun Gipson (back/wrist), OL Tytus Howard (knee) and LB Dylan Cole (knee). All are questionable.

The Ravens had two players who didn’t practice Wednesday or Thursday – WR Marquise Brown (ankle) and DT Michael Pierce (ankle). Both will likely be game-time decisions.

Texans at Ravens: Odds, betting lines and prediction

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 1 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Baltimore 34, Houston 27

Moneyline (?)

For a team that is 6-3 and proved the ability to win on the road, the Texans (+165) are getting a pretty good return on investment for a win straight up, which is possible in this projected battle of quarterbacks. The Ravens force players to bet double the amount of return (-200), which makes betting on them a little too spendy. If you’re going to make a bet, a small wager on Houston is the way to go if you believe there is an upset brewing, but most people won’t feel comfortable betting $100 on the Ravens to win just $50.

Against the Spread (?)

This is a difficult number at points (-115 for bets on Houston, –106 on BALTIMORE) because this has the potential to be a shootout. If the Ravens get up by more than a touchdown late, they may try to take the air out of the ball which often leads to a meaningless score late in the game that keeps the final score closer than it should be. This is a tough call, but the Ravens have the horses to get the job done. Lay the points.

Over/Under (?)

This is a high number (49½ points) and the sportsbooks are almost daring bettors to take the Under, which is +110, while the Over is -134. This is a game that will feature two of the most dynamic quarterbacks in the league in Houston’s Deshaun Watson and Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson. Both are capable of huge days and both defenses have allowed big games through the air (Houston has the 29th ranked pass defense and Baltimore is 20th). It will take seven TDs and at least one field goal to get over that number, but this game has all the earmarks of a shootout. Take the OVER and tune in late.

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Last-minute fantasy football thoughts for Week 11

Drew Brees and Michael Thomas will have a huge game and nine other last-minute fantasy football thoughts for Week 11.

As you get ready to make your final lineup decisions for Week 11, here are 10 random and last-minute fantasy football thoughts:

10. If you have Carson Wentz, start someone else

Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

This is not a personal knock against the Philadelphia quarterback. It’s just the reality of the situation as he faces the Patriots. Receiver Alshon Jeffrey may miss the game with an ankle injury, and DeSean Jackson already is out for the season. Wentz won’t have many receiving options. But it probably wouldn’t matter anyway against a New England defense that’s allowed only three touchdown passes and leads the league with 19 interceptions.

Bengals-Raiders odds: Oakland double-digit home favorite

Previewing Sunday’s Cincinnati Bengals at Oakland Raiders Week 11 matchup, with NFL betting odds, picks and best bets

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The winless Cincinnati Bengals (0-9) visit the Oakland Raiders (5-4) Sunday for a 4:25 p.m. ET kickoff at RingCentral Coliseum (on CBS). We analyze the Bengals-Raiders odds and sports betting lines, while providing betting tips and advice on this Week 11 NFL matchup.

Bengals at Raiders: Week 11 preview, betting trends and notes


Get some action on the games by betting at BetMGM. New customer offer: RISK-FREE First Bet (up to $500!) paid in free bets. 


  • The Bengals lost at home to the Baltimore Ravens 49-13 last Sunday, failing to cover as 10.5-point underdogs.
  • The Raiders beat the Los Angeles Chargers 26-24 at home last Thursday as a 1-point underdog. RB Josh Jacobs’ 18-yard touchdown run with 1:02 remaining capped Oakland’s late winning drive.
  • The Bengals are 3-6 against the spread (ATS) and 3-6 against the Over/Under (O/U).
  • Bengals rookie QB Ryan Finley made his first career start last week, completing 16 of 30 passes for 167 yards and one TD with one pick.
  • Raiders QB Derek Carr has thrown for 2,202 yards with 14 TDs and four interceptions this season.
  • The Bengals have won the last three vs. the Raiders, dating back to 2012.
  • The Raiders average 23.1 points per game, ranking 15th. The Bengals are 29th (15.2 PPG).
  • The Raiders are 26th by points allowed (26.7 PPG), while the Bengals are 28th (28.8 PPG).

Bengals at Raiders: Key injuries.

Bengals: WR A.J. Green (ankle), OT Bobby Hart (shoulder), RG Alex Redmond (ankle), DT Geno Atkins (knee) are questionable. RB Giovani Bernard (knee) is probable, while CB Dre Kirkpatrick (knee) is out.

Raiders: FS Lamarcus Joyner (hamstring) is doubtful, while C Rodney Hudson (ankle), DE Josh Mauro (groin) and CB Trayvon Mullen (illness) are questionable. Jacobs (shoulder) is probable.

Bengals at Raiders: Odds, betting lines and prediction

Nov 10, 2019; Cincinnati, OH; Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Ryan Finley made his first career start in Week 10. (Photo Credit: Joe Maiorana – USA TODAY Sports)

NFL odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Friday at 8:30 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Raiders 42, Bengals 13

Moneyline (?)

AVOID. The Raiders will win this one, but the moneyline price of -625 is too low for my tastes – every $6.25 wagered on an Oakland win profits $1.

The Bengals are +450 – wagering $1 to win $4.50 should they win outright – but you’re better off donating your cash to a worthy cause.

Against the Spread (?)

The RAIDERS (-10.5, -115) are worth a play. They’re 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games; however, they haven’t won a game by more than eight points this season. The Bengals (+10.5, -106) have lost their last three games by a combined 60 points.

Over/Under (?)

The OVER 48.5 (-115) is worth a small-unit play … but just like I suggested last week with Cincy, the STRONGEST PLAY is the 1st-half OVER 23.5 (-134). The Bengals are terrible against the run, ranking last in the league by allowing 173 yards per game. Oakland could score three TDs before halftime.

New to sports betting? Bet $13.40 to win $10 that 24 or more points will be scored by halftime.

Want action on this game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Johnny’s November record: 6-4. Strongest plays: 2-1.

Follow @JohnnyParlay11 and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Texans 100: Facts and Figures for Ravens, No. 26-50

The Houston Texans and the Baltimore Ravens square off in Week 11, and we take a look at QB Lamar Jackson and coach Bill O’Brien.

The Houston Texans and the Baltimore Ravens hookup for an early battle for the second seed in the AFC Sunday at 12:00 p.m. CT at M&T Bank Stadium.

To get ready for the matchup, we continue our quest for 100 facts with a look at Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson and Texans coach Bill O’Brien.

Facts and Figures for Ravens, No. 1-25

lamar jackson facts

Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

26. Jackson’s 27 scrambles are tied with Josh Allen for the third-most in the NFL.

27. Though Jackson’s touchdown passes are tied for the 10th-most in the NFL with 15, his 5.9% touchdown percentage is tied for the sixth-highest in the league.

28. Jackson’s 8.0 yards per pass attempt is the eighth-highest in the NFL.

29. Jackson’s 101.7 passer rating is the 10th-highest in the league.

30. Jackson’s average depth of target is 9.1 yards, tied with Philip Rivers and Josh Allen for the seventh-highest in the NFL.

31. Jackson’s five quarterback hits are the absolute lowest taken among quarterbacks who have started every game since Week 1.

32. Among quarterbacks who have started every game since Week 1, Jackson’s 11.0 yards per scramble are the highest in the NFL.

33. Among quarterbacks with at least 30 red zone passes, Jackson is 1/10 quarterbacks to have not thrown a red zone interception.

34. Jackson’s 21 red zone rushing attempts are the most among quarterbacks this season.

35. Jackson’s 8.4 yards per pass attempt on third down is the seventh-highest among quarterbacks with at least 50 passes on third down.

36. Jackson’s 113.4 passer rating on third down is the fourth-highest among quarterbacks with at least 50 third down attempts.

37. Jackson has converted the most third downs on the ground with 14.

38. Jackson has rushed 25 times on third down, the most in the NFL. The second-closest is Seahawks running back Chris Carson with 19.

39. Jackson’s 198 rushing yards on third down are the most in the NFL. Second-closest is Jameis Winston with 100.

Titans RB Derrick Henry is FedEx Ground’s NFL Player of the Week

This is the first time Henry has received the award this season, and he is the only Titan to be nominated so far this year.

Tennessee Titans running back Derrick Henry is a key component of the offense, and has made that evident in his latest performances for the team.

Henry was named the FedEx Ground NFL Player of the Week, following last week’s 35-32 victory over the Kansas City Chiefs.

On the victory, he rushed for 188 yards on 23 attempts, with an average of 8.2 yards per carry. He also accounted for two Tennessee touchdowns on Sunday.

This was Henry’s second 100-yard rushing game of 2019 and his sixth career 100-yard rushing game in the regular season.

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The performance also accounted for the former Alabama standout’s second consecutive 100-yard game against the Kansas City, with the first being a 2017 playoff game.

This is the first time Henry has received the award this season, and he is the only Titan to be nominated so far this year.

FedEx will also donate $2,000 to The USO in Henry’s name.

On the season, Henry has racked up a total of 187 carries for 832 yards and eight touchdowns. He averages 4.4 yards per carry.

The Baltimore Ravens’ Lamar Jackson was awarded the FedEx Air NFL Player of the Week on the same week for his 223 yards, 3 passing touchdowns, 0 interceptions and perfect 158.3 passer rating in the team’s 49-13 win over the Cincinnati Bengals.

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Henry and the Titans will look to add another big win when they face the division rival Jacksonville Jaguars on Nov. 24 at 3:05 p.m. CT in Nissan Stadium.

Through 16 starts, Lamar Jackson’s stats prove he’s the real deal

Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson has now played a full season’s worth of games, so now is the time to analyze how he’s done so far

Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson has hit a benchmark in his career. With nine regular-season games down in the 2019 season added to the seven he started last year, Jackson has finally started a full 16 games in the NFL. A full season’s worth of stats now on his resume allows us to better review how he’s done thus far.

Take a look at Jackson’s regular-season stats during his first 16 career starts:

Lamar Jackson passing stats:

Comp Att Comp% Yds TDs TD% INTs INT% Rating
267 425 62.8 3,237 21 4.9% 8 1.9% 94.8

Lamar Jackson rushing stats:

Att Yds YPC TDs
225 1,258 5.59 10

While the amount of passing yards isn’t spectacular in today’s NFL, considering quarterbacks regularly throw for over 4,000 yards a season, Jackson’s passing stats are still impressive overall. It’s the best TD percentage since Joe Flacco’s 2014 campaign and the best passer rating of any Ravens quarterback in franchise history (with more than three games started). Considering Jackson was held back a bit by a more conservative offensive scheme during his rookie season, it’s even more impressive.

And that’s before we even get into the notion of Jackson as a runner. While Jackson often sees his rushing ability used to critique him as a quarterback, Jackson’s stats on the ground are impressive by themselves. If he were a running back, he’d likely be up for a Pro Bowl nomination on those stats alone. But when combined with his passing yards, Jackson would actually rank 50th in NFL history in single-season total offensive yards (rushing and passing yards combined) ahead of Peyton Manning’s 2004 campaign in which he was both a Pro Bowl and first-team All-Pro quarterback.

Not too bad for a guy Hall of Fame general manager Bill Polian said should switch to wide receiver. Or for a guy that’s only 22 years old and in the first 16 starts of his NFL career. Or even without any of those caveats . . . as Jackson compares favorably to some of the best players in NFL history.

What’s the important takeaway here — and something so many of Jackson’s detractors seem to forget — is he’s still getting his feet underneath him in this league. Just like Tom Brady, Drew Brees and Aaron Rodgers, Jackson is still getting accustomed to playing quarterback in the NFL and he’s steadily improving while putting up solid early results.

In seven games last season, Jackson had a 58.2% completion rate. That number has jumped to 65.9% in the nine games he’s started this year. He’s thrown 15 touchdown passes this year (5.9%) compared to just six last season (3.5%). He’s improved his passer rating from 82.6 last season to 101.7 this year. He’s averaging 1.25 more yards per attempt while being sacked 2% less. That’s not even getting into his rushing numbers, which have also improved from last year.

It’s also important to look at what Jackson has meant for the entire team as well. While stats are a huge benchmark of individual performance, the reality is no team makes it to a Super Bowl without winning games. Though no team picks up a win thanks solely to one player, Jackson has been among the league’s best through his first 16 games, going 13-3.

Jackson has now been under the microscope for a full season’s worth of starts and it’s clear he’s here to stay.

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