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The LA Clippers (15-12) take on the Dallas Mavericks (17-9) Thursday. Tip-off from American Airlines Center is set for 8:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Clippers vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Clippers won 2-1 last regular season, but Mavs won 4-2 in first round of playoffs.
The Clippers snapped a 3-game losing streak after taking out the Utah Jazz 144-107 Monday, covering as 7.5-point home favorites with the Over (221.5) hitting. G James Harden knocked down 41 points, including 7 threes while G/F Norman Powell dropped 29 and had 5 threes. F Kawhi Leonard (knee) is getting close to his season debut, but he won’t return until after Christmas.
The Mavs took down the Golden State Warriors 143-133 Sunday. G Luka Doncic had a triple-double with 45 points, 11 boards and 13 assists, helping the Mavs win and cover as 1-point road favorites with the Over (228.5) cashing. G/F Klay Thompson added 29 points, including 7 threes against his former team. The Mavs will need him to continue to step up because Doncic is out. The Mavs have won 8 of 9, and 12 of 14.
Clippers at Mavericks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 4:07 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Clippers +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Mavericks -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Clippers +4.5 (-115) | Mavericks -4.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 223.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Clippers at Mavericks key injuries
Clippers
- F Derrick Jones Jr. (hamstring) questionable
- F Kawhi Leonard (knee) out
- G Terance Mann (finger) out
Mavericks
- G Luka Doncic (heel) out
- G Jaden Hardy (ankle) out
- G Kyrie Irving (shoulder) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Clippers at Mavericks picks and predictions
Prediction
Mavericks 109, Clippers 101
Moneyline
The Mavs are 5-1 without Luka this season. Four of those wins came on the road, and they’re at home for this one — where they are 8-3 on the season. Their ML is just a bit too pricey, though, at -185.
Instead, I’ll take KLAY THOMPSON OVER 16.5 POINTS (-105). He has 29, 19 and 20 in his last 3 games. He’s also 18-for-35 (51.4%) from distance in his last 4 games.
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Against the spread
The Mavs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games. If you’re worried about them covering without Doncic, they had 6 players reach double figures in the last game. The Clippers rely heavily on Harden, and the Mavs have the bigs to contend with C Ivica Zubac underneath.
TAKE MAVERICKS -4.5 (-105).
Over/Under
The Clippers are 6-4 O/U in their last 10, and the Mavs are 7-3. With Leonard and Doncic out, I think this number is too high.
BET UNDER 223.5 (-115).
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