New York Knicks at Portland Trail Blazers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Knicks at Portland Trail Blazers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Knicks (25-31) visit Moda Center Saturday to take on the Portland Trail Blazers (22-34). Tip-off is scheduled for 5 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Knicks vs. Blazers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

New York will play its fifth straight game away from Madison Square Garden as it comes into this matchup following an impressive road victory over the Golden State Warriors.

The Knicks are 1-3 against the spread (ATS) in the first four games of their road trip. They’re 4-6 ATS over their last 10 and 26-30 ATS on the season. The Knicks rank 27th in points per game (104.8) and eighth in opponents’ points per game (106.0).

Portland will be shorthanded after it sold G Norman Powell, F Robert Covington and G CJ McCollum. The Blazers have been far better on their home court (15-16 at home compared to 7-8 on the road) and took down the Los Angeles Lakers 107-105 at Moda Center Wednesday.

Portland is 3-7 ATS over its last 10 and 22-33-1 ATS on the season. The Blazers rank in the bottom third of the league in both points per game (112.2, 25th) and opponents’ points per game (107.6, 21st).

Knicks at Trail Blazers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Knicks -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Trail Blazers +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Knicks -4.5 (-122) | Trail Blazers +4.5 (-102)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 216.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Knicks at Trail Blazers key injuries

Knicks

  • F RJ Barrett (ankle) out
  • C Nerlens Noel (foot) questionable
  • G Derrick Rose (ankle) out

Trail Blazers

  • G Eric Bledsoe (Achilles) out
  • G Joe Ingles (knee) out
  • G Damian Lillard (core) out
  • F Nassir Little (shoulder) out

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Knicks at Trail Blazers odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Knicks 109, Trail Blazers 103

Money line

PASS.

The only playable side is the Blazers (+170), but I’ll pass here and look to the spread for value considering their plethora of injuries. The sub-.500 Knicks are far too expensive with a -210 tag.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the KNICKS -4.5 (-122).

The Blazers have been much better at home this season, but they still haven’t covered often. Portland is the seventh-worst covering team as a home underdog at just 5-8 ATS in that situation.

New York is the opposite story as it’s among the better teams at covering as a road favorite with a 6-3 ATS record.

The real edge for New York will be defensive as the Knicks rank 15th in defensive rating while the Blazers are 28th. The Knicks should be able to score at will, and that should give Portland some problems.

I back the Knicks to cover considering the trends and differences defensively.

Over/Under

BET the UNDER 216.5 (-107).

This is the best bet in this game. The Blazers recently lost three key starters and could still be working out some chemistry issues. They’re also just 26-29-1 O/U this season.

Portland is 5-8 O/U as a home underdog and has gone Under the projected total in five of their last six games. The Trail Blazers also counter what the Knicks typically kill teams with: rebounding.

The Knicks rank sixth in offensive rebounding rate but the Blazers are third in defensive rebounding rate. With New York also just 26-30 O/U, the Under is the strongest play in this battle.

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New York Knicks at Portland Trail Blazers odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s New York Knicks at Portland Trail Blazers NBA betting odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The New York Knicks (8-9) are in the Rose City Sunday for a 10 p.m. ET game against the Portland Trail Blazers (8-6) at the Moda Center. Below, we analyze the Knicks-Trail Blazers NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The Knicks had their three-game win streak (3-0 against the spread) snapped by the Sacramento Kings in a 103-94 loss Friday. New York ranks third in defensive rating and is first in effective field-goal percentage and points per game allowed. Over their past five games, the Knicks are fifth in net rating (plus-8.0).

Portland is 3-2 in its last five games (2-3 ATS), but the Trail Blazers are 25th in net rating (minus-6.7) over that time. Their previous two scheduled games against the Memphis Grizzlies were postponed due to COVID-19 issues with the Grizzlies.

The Trail Blazers were crushed 125-104 by the San Antonio Spurs as 1.5-point road underdogs Monday. It was the first game without second-leading scorer SG C.J. McCollum.

New York won the last head-to-head meeting to snap a six-game losing skid against Portland; however, the Knicks have covered the spread in three of their past four games against the Trail Blazers.

Knicks at Trail Blazers: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:55 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Knicks +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Trail Blazers -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Knicks +3.5 (-105) | Trail Blazers -3.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 214.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Knicks at Trail Blazers: Key Injuries

Knicks

  • SG Austin Rivers (Achilles) questionable
  • SG Reggie Bullock (neck) doubtful
  • PG Frank Ntilikina (knee) questionable

Trail Blazers

  • Jusuf Nurkic (wrist) out
  • SG C.J. McCollum (foot) out
  • C Zach Collins (ankle) out

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Knicks at Trail Blazers: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Knicks 108, Trail Blazers 102

Money line (ML)

New York and Portland have been trending in opposite directions in both performance and health with the Knicks heading in the positive direction.

Knicks second-year SG RJ Barrett has been playing great over the last five games with 21.7 points per game on 50.5% shooting with 6.5 rebounds and 3.5 assists. New York’s third-leading scorer, SG Alec Burks, has played the last two games following a 12-game absence due to an ankle injury.

The effects of Portland’s injury report, especially McCollum’s absence, haven’t yet set in because the Trail Blazers had their last couple of games canceled. Those absences will be felt Sunday against a feisty New York team.

GIMME KNICKS (+140) for a quarter-unit.

Against the spread (ATS)

Surprisingly, the Knicks are second in clutch net rating and the Trail Blazers are fourth but most people would assume Portland, with PG Damian Lillard, would be far superior. Granted, it’s a small sample size, so I’d prefer to insure New York by taking the points.

There’s just too much value on the spread to be greedy and only bet the money line. TAKE KNICKS +3.5 (-105) for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 214.5 (-110) is perhaps the best play. It might be too obvious with the low projection so that’s why I might not bet it heavily, but there are just too many Under-friendly trends.

For example, eight of the last nine Knicks-Trail Blazers games have gone Under and New York is 10-2 O/U in its last 12 games as an underdog.

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