Knicks Mavericks odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

New York Knicks at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Knicks at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Knicks (10-7) and Dallas Mavericks (10-8) clash Wednesday. Tip-off from American Airlines Center is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Knicks vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Dallas won 2-0 last season

New York demolished the Denver Nuggets 145-118 Monday while covering as a 3-point underdog. F OG Anunoby scored 40 points, C Karl-Anthony Towns had 15 boards and G Jalen Brunson had 17 assists. The Knicks have scored at least 130 points in each of their last 3 wins.

Dallas picked up a 129-119 win over the Atlanta Hawks Monday while covering as a 2,5-point underdog. G Kyrie Irving dropped 32 points in the absence of G Luka Doncic (wrist). The Mavs outrebounded the Hawks 51-39.

Knicks at Mavericks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:46 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Knicks -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Mavericks +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
Against the spread (ATS): Knicks -4.5 (-105) | Mavericks +4.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 233.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Knick at Mavericks key injuries

Knicks

C Precious Achiuwa (hamstring) out
C Mitchell Robinson (ankle) out

Mavericks

G Luka Doncic (wrist) out
G Dante Exum (wrist) out
F Quentin Grimes (illness) questionable
C Derek Lively II (illness) questionable
G/F Klay Thompson (foot) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Knicks at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

Knicks 125, Mavericks 121

Moneyline

PASS.

I like the Knicks to win here thanks to their lethal offense and the absence of Doncic. However, the Knicks are not worth the risk of betting on as -185 favorites, so I recommend passing here and betting on the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

LEAN MAVERICKS +4.5 (-115).

Dallas has covered the spread in 5 of its last 6 games and is 2-0 ATS in its last 2 home games. The Mavericks are also 2-0 ATS in the last 2 matchups against the Knicks, being 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings between the squads.

Over/Under

BET OVER 233.5 (-110).

The Over has hit in 3 straight Dallas games and is 4-1 in its last 5. The Over is also 6-2-1 in Dallas’ last 10 games.

For New York, the Over is 3-1 in its last 4 games and 6-3 in its last 9 overall.

The Over has also hit in the last 3 New York-Dallas matchups.

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New York Knicks at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Knicks at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Knicks (27-38) visit the American Airlines Center Wednesday to take on the Dallas Mavericks (40-25). Tip is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Knicks vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Knicks are heating up at the right time. They’re coming off a 16-point win over the Kings, covering as 4-point underdogs. Prior to that, they beat the Clippers by 23.

The Knicks have covered 3 straight games, but are just 3-6 against the spread (ATS) over their last 9. New York is led by F Julius Randle who is averaging 20 points per game.

The Mavericks, led by G Luka Doncic, have won 5 straight games and are 7-2-1 ATS over their last 10 games.

Dallas is favored by 8.5 points and they haven’t been favored by that many since covering as 10.5-point favorites against the Pistons on February 8.

Knicks at Mavericks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:30 p.m. ET.

Money line: Knicks +320 (bet $100 to win $320) | Mavericks -420 (bet $420 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Knicks +8.5 (-120) | Mavericks -8.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 215.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

Knicks at Mavericks key injuries

Knicks

C Mitchell Robinson (illness) questionable
F Obi Toppin (hamstring) out
G Cam Reddish (shoulder) out

Mavericks

G Jalen Brunson (foot) questionable

Knicks at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 109, Knicks 100

Money line

PASS.

The Mavs have won 5 straight and the Knicks are just 14-19 on the road. Nonetheless, I’d still stay away from Dallas -420. While the Knicks have been playing better as of late, their +320 isn’t worth a longshot wager.

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Against the spread

LEAN to the MAVERICKS -8.5 (-105).

The Knicks are just 1-6 ATS this calendar year when underdogs by 7 or more points.

While the Knicks did beat Dallas by 23 earlier in the season, New York shot 22% better than the Mavs and won the turnover battle and rebounding battle.

Assuming the two teams return to their mean, the Mavs should have a better chance at covering. Also, the Knicks are just 29-36 ATS this season while the Mavs are a far better 36-28-1.

Lastly, the Mavs hold opponents to the 8th-worst three-point field goal rate. The Knicks shoot the 11th-highest rate from distance. That battle that favors the Mavs should be huge for Dallas’ ability to cover.

Over/Under

BET on the UNDER 215.5 (-115).

The one thing the Mavs have done best this season is fail to cover the projected total. They’re just 23-41-1 O/U this season. It’s really the pace that has killed their total.

The Mavs rank 30th in pace, and the Knicks are also near the bottom of the league, ranking 27th. Also, neither team ranks in the top ten in offensive rating.

Dallas is just 9-24-1 O/U at home as well, making this an even sounder bet.

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New York Knicks at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s New York Knicks at Dallas Mavericks NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The New York Knicks (29-27) take on the Dallas Mavericks (30-24) Friday night on the road with tip-off scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET in American Airlines Center. Below, we analyze the Knicks-Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

The Knicks are riding a four-game winning streak but have struggled on the road this season, going 12-17. They are currently in sixth place in the Eastern Conference, holding a slight half-game lead over the Miami Heat, who would have to participate in the play-in games to make it into the playoffs.

Dallas is kicking off a five-game homestand. They have not played as well this season at home as on the road. They are 13-12 at home while 17-12 on the road. If the season ended today with them as the seventh seed in the West, they would be part of the play-in games to determine the final two playoff teams.

Knicks at Mavericks: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1 p.m. ET.

Money line: Knicks +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Mavericks -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Knicks +5.5 (-110) | Mavericks -5.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 210.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Knicks at Mavericks: Key injuries

Knicks

C Nerlens Noel (ankle) questionable
C Mitchell Robinson (foot) out

Mavericks

PG Tyrell Terry (personal) not expected to play

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Knicks at Mavericks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Knicks 108, Mavericks 101

Money line (ML)

Dallas has not been impressive. They have lost three of their last five games and it took a fluky three-pointer at the buzzer by Luka Doncic to beat the Grizzlies Wednesday.

The Knicks have won four straight and have the league’s top scoring defense at 104.3 points allowed per game. I’m going with the upset tonight. Take the KNICKS +180.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The Knicks have the third-best ATS record in the league 34-21-1 ATS. They have covered the spread in seven straight games. Since March 13, they are 14-4 ATS. Dallas has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five and 26-28 ATS overall. Take the KNICKS +5.5 (-110) if you’re not convinced they’re going to win outright, as this line provides some insurance but doesn’t have nearly as profitable of a return.

Over/Under (O/U)

They Knicks and Mav have two of the four lowest Over percentages in the league. Dallas is 22-32 O/U and New York is 23-33 O/U. Both are top-10 scoring defenses. Even with the projected total as low as it is, I expect this matchup to stay under that. Take UNDER 210.5 POINTS (-105).

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