Sacramento Kings at Portland Trail Blazers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Sacramento Kings at Portland Trail Blazers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Sacramento Kings (46-30) battle the Portland Trail Blazers (32-44) Friday. Tip from the Moda Center is set for 10 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Kings vs. Trail Blazers odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Kings are 2-1 straight up and against the spread (ATS) vs. Portland this season. The total is 1-2 O/U in their 3 matchups.

Sacramento beat Portland 120-80 Wednesday, covering as a 14.5-point favorite. The Kings were led by G Malik Monk, who scored 19 points.  Portland’s G Shaedon Sharpe scored 30 of the Blazers’ 80.

The Kings are 3-1 in their last 4 and 5-4 ATS in their last 9. They are 42-33-1 ATS on the season. The Blazers have lost 10 of their last 11 and are just 3-8 ATS over that span. They are 35-40-1 ATS on the season.

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Kings at Trail Blazers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:21  p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Kings -1300 (bet $100 to win $1,300) | Trail Blazers +850 (bet $100 to win $850)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Kings -14.5 (-110) | Trail Blazers +14.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 231.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Kings at Trail Blazers key injuries

Kings

  • Not yet submitted

Trail Blazers

  • Not yet submitted

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Kings at Trail Blazers picks and predictions

Prediction

Kings 121, Trail Blazers 105

Moneyline

PASS.

A -1300 road favorite makes no sense to play as it is far too expensive. The Blazers have shut down superstar G Damian Lillard, so there is little chance they pull off the upset.

Against the spread

LEAN KINGS -14.5 (-110).

Sacramento has covered 5 of its last 9 games and is locked into a playoff spot. It is 2 games behind Memphis for the No. 2 seed. Sacramento is the No. 1 ATS team on the road, posting a 24-13 record away from home.

The Blazers are just 18-21 ATS at home this season. The Blazers also don’t have the scoring to compete with Sacramento, as they showed on Wednesday. Considering the season-long trends, back the KINGS -14.5 (-110).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 231.5 (-110).

The Kings have gone Under in 3 straight games. They rank 7th in turnover rate, so once easily up, the Kings should be able to take care of the ball and get deep into the shot clock.

The Trail Blazers have also gone Under in 3 straight games and in 4 of their last 6. They have failed to hit 100 in 3 of their last 4 games. The scoring just isn’t there for Portland, and it will continue to face that issue this season.

Ultimately, considering the lack of scoring Portland has and the tempo the Kings should want to play, take the UNDER 231.5 (-110).

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Sacramento Kings at Portland Trail Blazers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Sacramento Kings at Portland Trail Blazers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Sacramento Kings visit the Portland Trail Blazers as the teams open their seasons Wednesday night. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET at Moda Center. Below, we look at the Kings vs. Trail Blazers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Kings were 31-41 last season for the second consecutive year and finished 12th in the Western Conference. They added big men C Tristan Thompson and C Alex Len in the offseason and drafted PG Davion Mitchell ninth overall. Luke Walton is in his third season as their head coach. They are led by G De’Aaron Fox, who averaged 25.2 points per game last season.

The Blazers open a new era with Chauncey Billups as head coach as they try to get over the hump of just making the playoffs. They lost in the first round in six games to the Denver Nuggets as the sixth seed in the Western Conference last year. PG Damien Lillard is still the main man as he enters his 10th season with the club.

Kings at Trail Blazers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Kings +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Trail Blazers -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Kings +5.5 (-115) | Trail Blazers -5.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 232.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Kings at Trail Blazers key injuries

Kings

  • None

Trail Blazers

  • Tony Snell (foot) out

Kings at Trail Blazers odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Trail Blazers 121, Kings 114

Money line

The Kings were only 15-21 last season on the road, while the Blazers were 21-18 at home. Portland won all three meetings last season.

The Kings are still an up-and-coming team, while the Blazers are still considered playoff-bound as the new season begins.

Until we see the Kings be significantly better than in years past, go with the home team.

Take the TRAIL BLAZERS (-210).

Against the spread

The Blazers were 40-38 ATS last year, including the playoffs, while the Kings were 34-37-1 ATS. The Blazers were 16-23 ATS at home and the Kings were 21-15 ATS on the road.

With fans back in the building, the energy will be high.

LEAN TRAIL BLAZERS -5.5 (-107).

Over/Under

The Blazers had one of the league’s best offenses last season as they ranked fifth in the league with 116.1 points per game. The Kings averaged 113.7 points per game, but were last in the league in defensive rating.

53.2% if the Blazers’ games last season went Over the projected total, while exactly 50% of the Kings’ did.

I don’t expect the Kings to be significantly better defensively than last season right away and the Blazers still have one of the most explosive scorers in the league in Lillard. I expect a high-scoring affair to open the year.

Take OVER 232.5 (-108).

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Sacramento Kings at Portland Trail Blazers odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Thursday’s Sacramento Kings at Portland Trail Blazers NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Portland Trail Blazers (20-14) host the Sacramento Kings (14-21) Thursday at Moda Center for a 10 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Kings-Trail Blazers odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Kings at Trail Blazers: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Kings +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Trail Blazers -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Kings +4.5 (-110) | Trail Blazers -4.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 237.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Kings at Trail Blazers: Key injuries

Kings

  • SG Tyrese Haliburton (calf) out
  • C Hassan Whiteside (health and safety protocols) out

Trail Blazers

  • SG C.J. McCollum (foot) out
  • PF Zach Collins (ankle) out
  • C Jusuf Nurkic (wrist) out

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Kings at Trail Blazers: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Trail Blazers 126, Kings, 117

Money line (ML)

PASS on the money line since Portland should win but the Trail Blazer’ -190 price-point is too rich for an NBA regular-season money line favorite.

Pending final injury reports, I wouldn’t hate putting the Trail Blazers’ money line in a parlay with the Denver Nuggets for a plus-money payout, straight up? PASS.

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Against the spread (ATS)

According to CleaningTheGlass.com, the Trail Blazers abuse bad defenses: Portland has a 9-2 record with a plus-5.1 spread differential in games against teams in the bottom-10 in defensive efficiency.

The Trail Blazers perform even better in games with no rest and are 3-0 with a plus-11.8 spread differential vs. bottom-10 defenses in the second half of a back-to-back.

Conversely, the Kings are 1-4 overall with a minus-6.2 spread differential in games with no rest against teams ranked in the top 10 of offensive efficiency.

Finally, despite Sacramento eking out a win last night against the Los Angeles Lakers, the Kings are still 2-5 ATS against division opponents with the NBA’s worst ATS margin in that spot at minus-9.8.

Unless the Trail Blazers have already gone on their All-Star break, Portland should roll a Sacramento team that could be flipping into tank mode shortly. BET the TRAIL BLAZERS -4.5 (-110) for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

I said this yesterday, and it cashed, but the market cannot adjust to how terrible Sacramento’s defense is.

Yet another Kings game went Over last night and Sacramento couldn’t stop a Lakers team without LeBron James and Anthony Davis. Somehow the Kings have only the second-highest percentage of Overs in the Association, but 10 of their last 11 games have gone Over the total.

Also, the assigned officiating crew loves high-scoring games apparently because they have a combined 41-23 O/U record this season.

TAKE OVER 237.5 (-110) for 1 unit only because nearly 90% of the market is backing the Over, according to Pregame.com, and we all know 90% of bettors don’t beat the House very often.

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