Kansas State at Iowa State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Kansas State at Iowa State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 5 Kansas State Wildcats (17-2, 6-1 Big 12) battle the No. 13 Iowa State Cyclones (14-4, 5-2) Tuesday. Tip from  James H. Hilton Coliseum is set for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Kansas State vs. Iowa State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

The Wildcats beat Texas Tech 68-58 Saturday, covering as a 3.5-point home favorite. Kansas State is 13-6 against the spread (ATS). It has covered 2 in a row, 6 of its last 7 and 8 of its last 10. The Wildcats’ offense ranks 51st in the nation at 77.9 points per game.

Iowa State is 12-6 ATS this season after a 61-59 road loss to Oklahoma State as a 1-point road underdog, which snapped a 6-game cover streak. The Cyclones’ defense ranks 8th in opponents’ points per game (58.6).

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Kansas State at Iowa State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:14 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Kansas State +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Iowa State -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Kansas State +5.5 (-115) | Iowa State -5.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 134.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Kansas State at Iowa State picks and predictions

Prediction

Iowa State 70, Kansas State 63

Moneyline

PASS.

Kansas State is 3-2 straight up on the road while Iowa State is 10-0 at home. The Wildcats may be the higher-ranked team, but these odds are justified and unplayable both ways.

Against the spread

LEAN IOWA STATE -5.5 (-105).

The Cyclones and Wildcats have been the best 2 covering teams in the Big 12. However, both have been incredible ATS at home, and Iowa State will be at home. It is 7-3 ATS as the home team. Kansas State is 3-2 ATS on the road and 2-2 ATS as a road underdog.

Iowa State and Kansas State are both 6-1 ATS in conference play. The Cyclones are 2-1 ATS following a loss as well. With a dominant defense and an offense that has scored 78 or more in 2 of their last 4, back IOWA STATE -5.5 (-105).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 134.5 (-115).

The Cyclones defense is the real deal, and they have consistently rewarded bettors. Iowa State is 6-12 O/U this season while Kansas State is 11-8 O/U. The Wildcats have gone Under in 2 of their last 4, only scoring 68 on Texas Tech. Not counting the 11 overtime points against Kansas, it has scored 68, 72 and 68 in its last 3.

The Cyclones defense should be able to hold them under 70 as other Big 12 opponents have. The Cats also have a solid defense, ranking 89th in opponents’ FG percentage (41.6%) and 16th in opponents 3-point FG percentage (28.9%).

Both teams have strong, efficient defenses which is why they’ve covered consistently. Against each other, back the UNDER 134.5 (-115).

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Kansas State at Iowa State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Kansas State at Iowa State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Iowa Hawkeyes (3-2, Big 12 0-2) will welcome the Kansas State Wildcats (4-1, 2-0) to Jack Trice Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Kansas State vs. Iowa State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Iowa State kicked its season off with 3 straight wins over SEMO, in-state rival Iowa and then Ohio. It then suffered its first loss to Baylor and its second conference matchup to Kansas.

Points have been difficult for the Cyclones to come by, scoring 10 against Iowa and just 11 against Kansas. They’ve averaged just 15 points per game against Power 5 opponents.

As for Kansas State, it has been led by transfer QB Adrian Martinez who was a stud with the Nebraska Cornhuskers last season. He had 116 passing yards and 171 rushing yards in the Wildcats’ 37-28 win over Texas Tech last weekend.

Kansas State’s only loss on the season was a 17-10 defeat at the hand of Tulane, a painful loss after taking a 10-7 lead into the half. Kansas State is No. 20 in the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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Kansas State at Iowa State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Kansas State -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Iowa State +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Kansas State -1.5 (-105) | Iowa State +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Kansas State at Iowa State picks and predictions

Prediction

Kansas State 24, Iowa State 20

Moneyline

PASS.

I like Kansas State here, and considering it has only had 1 one-point win since 2018, I’ll take the slightly better odds on the spread.

Against the spread

BET KANSAS STATE -1.5 (-105).

Iowa State is averaging 26 points per game, but it hasn’t had that same success against quality opponents. While defensively, it limited QB Jalon Daniels last week, it still failed to cover as 3.5-point favorites.

Iowa State has struggled to run the ball against quality sides, not getting over 75 yards against either Kansas or Baylor. The Cyclones don’t have a go-to playmaker like Martinez. QB Hunter Dekkers has struggled this season, throwing 6 interceptions.

Martinez, on the other hand, is having one of the best seasons of his career, averaging almost 100 rushing yards per game. Martinez should have success similar to Daniels as they’re both elite threats on the ground.

The Wildcats have more impressive wins over higher-quality opponents like Oklahoma. With that in mind, I’d back them to cover despite being on the road.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 45.5 (-115).

Given how Iowa State has played against Power 5 sides offensively, it only seems smart to play the under. The Cyclones are allowing 14.4 points per game to opponents this season, the 11th fewest in the nation.

While Martinez is a stud, his arm isn’t what makes him dynamic, and rushing the ball keeps the clock moving. I expect this to be a grind-it-out game like the Cyclones are used to.

If that’s the case, UNDER 45.5 (-115) is the side to be on.

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Kansas State at Iowa State odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Kansas State Wildcats at Iowa State Cyclones sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Kansas State Wildcats (4-3, 4-2 in Big XII) play the conference’s first-placed Iowa State Cyclones (5-2, 5-1), at Jack Trice Stadium. The kickoff is scheduled for 4 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Kansas State-Iowa State college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The Cyclones are No. 16 in the Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Kansas State at Iowa State: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Kansas State +375 (bet $100 to win $375) | Iowa State -500 (bet $500 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Kansas State +12 (-110) | Iowa State -12 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 47.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Kansas State at Iowa State: Three things to know

  1. Kansas State has lost back-to-back games, including a 20-18 home loss to Oklahoma State its last time out (Nov. 7), following a four-game win streak. The Wildcats covered the spread against the Cowboys to push their ATS record to 5-2 on the year.
  2. Iowa State struggled out the gate in its last game, going down 14-0 in the first quarter, but ended up beating Baylor 38-31. The Cyclones failed to cover as 14-point home favorites.
  3. Kansas State’s defense smothered Iowa State in last year’s meeting. The Cyclones had just 236 total yards and 10 first downs in their 27-17 loss at Kansas State.

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Kansas State at Iowa State: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Iowa State 26, Kansas State 17

Money line (ML)

It’s hard to see Kansas State (+375) pulling off an upset given the uncertainty of who will be available for this game.

There isn’t a high enough return on investment on Iowa State (-500) to warrant a play. PASS.

Against the spread (ATS)

This is what sports betting in 2020 is all about. I have no idea who on Kansas State is playing, the coach isn’t giving us many clues and there’s even a chance the game is canceled.

If we are going to get money down on either side, I’ll lean to Kansas State. The Wildcats are 11-1 in their last 12 games against the Cyclones and 7-1 ATS in their last eight Big XII games. Kansas State covered in the one game it lost to the Cyclones (2018), which was a ranked Iowa State team.

The peak of Kansas State’s season was going into then-No. 3 ranked Oklahoma and upsetting the Sooners on Sept. 26. If the Wildcats can duplicate any of that form, or if Iowa State comes out sluggish, 12 points is too big of a number to cover. The Cyclones are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite.

Again it’s only a lean but I’d have to take KANSAS STATE +11 (-110) if I was forced to take a side.

Over/Under (O/U)

The total has moved from the 50.5 opening number down to its current price. According to Pregame.com, 68% of the money wagered and 78% of the total bets are on the Over yet the total is moving down. Hmm.

Maybe the market has Kansas State information I don’t or it’s the temperature dipping below 40 degrees in the evening or it’s Kansas State starting a true freshman at quarterback QB Will Howard. Either way, something is moving the number.

We could be arriving at the party a little late but I’ll still TAKE UNDER 47.5 (-110) for 1 unit.

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