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The Kansas State Wildcats (4-1, 1-1 Big 12) and Colorado Buffaloes (4-1, 2-0) meet in a Saturday night Big 12 tussle in Boulder. The opening kickoff at Folsom Field will be at 10:15 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around Kansas State vs. Colorado odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Kansas State, which is No. 19 in the US LBM Coaches Poll, was routed at BYU Sept. 21 but has otherwise handled its business through 5 games. KSU ranks in the top 20 nationally in rushing offense (252.2 yards per game) and rushing defense (91.8 YPG).
Colorado also lost a September road game (Sept. 7 at Nebraska). CU has won 3 straight since and has done so with the benefit of a slew of takeaways. The Buffaloes filed 9 takeaways and were an aggregate plus-7 in turnovers over those 3 victories.
Both teams had byes last week.
– US LBM Coaches Poll: Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Kansas State at Colorado odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 10:35 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Kansas State -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Colorado +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
- Against the spread (ATS): Kansas State (-110) | Colorado +3.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 56.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Kansas State at Colorado picks and predictions
Prediction
Kansas State 31, Colorado 28
Moneyline
Kansas State’s last 3 games include 2 impressive wins and a Sept. 21 clunker at BYU. In that contest, the Wildcats were a minus-3 in turnovers, and they were undone by multiple defensive/special-teams scores and multiple short-field touchdowns. KSU outgained BYU by more than 100 yards in that one.
Colorado’s recent triumphs include multiple slow starts and a big plus in the turnover department.
The Wildcats are prone to havoc plays on offense, and that’s a problem area. But KSU is solid in producing explosive plays, especially on the ground, and that in turn is a big issue for the Buffaloes defense.
Colorado’s offensive exploits don’t match up, and the Buffs have played FBS games against UCF, Baylor, Colorado State, and Nebraska. That’s not a lot of proficient defense as a group. The KSU defense sports solid analytics and has been a top-notch group in the red zone.
Look for the Wildcats to have better quality drives in the Saturday exchange at Folsom Field. A near-70% win probability is best leveraged with a price on FanDuel Sportsbook: BET KANSAS STATE (-154).
Against the spread
PASS: The Wildcats ML play is the best one in this game.
Over/Under
Six of the last 7 games at Folsom Field have hit the Over.
Colorado’s close games have been hitting the Over. Look for Kansas State to control this one early but for quick-paced Colorado to have answers in a point spiral past the number. KSU can be leaky against the pass, so even a 2-score lead can be whittled down late.
TAKE THE OVER 55.5 (-115).
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