Iowa State at Kansas State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Iowa State at Kansas State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Iowa State Cyclones (24-6, 13-4 Big 12) and Kansas State Wildcats (17-13, 7-10) clash Saturday as they close out their regular seasons. Tip-off at Bramlage Coliseum will be at 2 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Iowa State vs. Kansas State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Iowa State, tabbed No. 6 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, logged 2 league setbacks over an 11-day span in January but is a robust 11-2 since. The latter stretch includes a cover as an 8.5-point favorite in a 78-67 win over KSU Jan. 24. In its last game, ISU failed to cover as a 7½-point favorite while collecting a 68-63 win over No. 23 BYU Wednesday.

The Jan. 24 loss to the Cyclones kicked off what has been a 3-9 run for Kansas State. The Wildcats have allowed 75.6 points per game over that stretch. KSU lost 90-68 at No. 15 Kansas Tuesday as a +12.5.

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Iowa State at Kansas State odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 7:05 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Iowa State -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Kansas State +164 (bet $100 to win $164)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Iowa State -4.5 (-112) | Kansas State +4.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 132.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Iowa State at Kansas State picks and predictions

Prediction

Iowa State 70, Kansas State 64

Moneyline

ISU is the lean side here, but better relative value can be found playing the Cyclones minus the points. PASS.

Against the spread

Iowa State is a robust 20-9-1 ATS and 6-2-1 ATS away from home.

Expect the Wildcats to have the Cyclones’ attention in this one. In the Jan. 24 meeting, ISU took a 13-point lead (43-29) into halftime only to have it dissipate over the 2nd half. Iowa State rode a 17-6 run to the finish line for the cover.

With the way they wall off near-proximity looks and the way they’ve played on the road, look for the Cyclones to have a measure of game control — in a 2- or 3-possession game — in this contest at Kansas State.

BET IOWA STATE -4.5 (-112).

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Over/Under

Expect a mid-pace game with more efficiency on the defensive side. The 1st meeting, though, cleared the 136-point threshold to cash on the Over, and that’s the very slight lean here.

Look for the ball-hawking Cyclones, 1 of the top takeaway 5s in college hoops, to leverage from fast breaks off miscue-prone Kansas State. Both teams are also adept at getting lots of trips to the foul line.

Peg a small edge on the OVER 132.5 (-110).

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Kansas State at Kansas odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Kansas State at Kansas odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas State Wildcats (17-12, 7-9 Big 12) face off against the No. 15 Kansas Jayhawks (21-8, 9-7) Tuesday. Tip-off from Allen Fieldhouse is set for 9 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Kansas State vs. Kansas odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Kansas State suffered a 74-72 loss vs. the Cincinnati Bearcats Saturday, covering as a 6.5-point road underdog. G Tylor Perry had a game-high 26 points, and Kansas State outrebounded Cincinnati 37-27. However, it lost the turnover battle 19-6, which proved to be pivotal. Saturday’s loss ended a 2-game win streak for the Wildcats.

Kansas lost 82-74 to the Baylor Bears Saturday while failing to cover as a 4-point road underdog. The Jayhawks shot only 30.8% from deep and were outrebounded 31-23 in the loss. Kansas has lost back-to-back games straight up and against the spread (ATS).

Kansas State beat the then-No. 4 ranked Jayhawks 75-70 in OT as the home squad Feb. 5.

– Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Kansas State at Kansas odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Kansas State +440 (bet $100 to win $440) | Kansas -610 (bet $610 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Kansas State +10.5 (-110) | Kansas -10.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 142.5 (O: -114 | U: -106)

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Kansas State at Kansas picks and predictions

Prediction

Kansas 79, Kansas State 70

Moneyline

PASS.

Kansas (-610) should be able to pick up the win, especially because I don’t see the Jayhawks being swept by the Wildcats this season, but the Jayhawks are not worth the risk of betting on as such heavy favorites. Bet on the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

LEAN KANSAS STATE +10.5 (-110).

Kansas State has covered the spread in 3 of its last 4 games and is 5-2 ATS in its last 7. The Wildcats have also covered the spread in 2 of the last 3 matchups vs. Kansas. K-State has been the better team ATS this season at 15-14, while Kansas is 12-16.

This is only a lean because both teams have been mediocre ATS lately and they’ve each covered 4 times in the last 8 meetings.

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 142.5 (-114).

The Over has hit in 3 consecutive games for Kansas State and is 4-1 in its last 5. For Kansas, the Over is 2-1 in its last 3 games. The Over has also hit in 4 of the last 5 meetings between the Wildcats and Jayhawks.

This is only a lean because Kansas State is 14-14-1 O/U this season and Kansas is 13-14-1. The Over is also 5-4-1 in the past 10 meetings.

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Kansas State at Oklahoma State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Kansas State at Oklahoma State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Kansas State Wildcats (3-1, 1-0 Big-12) take on the Oklahoma State Cowboys (2-2,0-1) in Stillwater Friday at 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Kansas State vs. Oklahoma State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Both Kansas State and Oklahoma State are coming off bye weeks.

The Cowboys have been Under fan favorites, cashing Unders in 9 of their last 10 games dating back to last season. Their last result was an Over — a 34-27 loss at Iowa State Sept. 23 with an O/U line of 36.5 — breaking a string of 9 consecutive Unders.

This series vs. KSU has followed suit as the Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. The most recent game, a 48-0 Kansas State win at home, went Under the posted total of 57.5.

Oklahoma State’s offense has struggled and it’s running into a tough defense in K-State.

The Cowboys rushing attack ranks 104th, averaging 121.8 yards per game (YPG), according to NCAA.org. The Wildcats defense against the run ranks 6th, allowing 73.2 YPG. Overall, OK-State’s offense is 100th at 343.5 YPG, while KSU is 15th at 482.2 YPG.

The Wildcats defense is vulnerable against the pass, allowing 264.2 YPG and ranking 113th. The Cowboys passing game is just below average at 221.8 YPG to rank 84th.

This game has a lop-sided feel to it, something unexpected from a Mike Gundy-coached team at OK-State.

Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports

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Kansas State at Oklahoma State odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 3:32 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Kansas State -465 (bet $465 to win $100) | Oklahoma State +350 (bet $100 to win $350)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Kansas State -11.5 (-115) | Oklahoma State +11.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 53.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Kansas State at Oklahoma State picks and predictions

Prediction

Kansas State 38, Oklahoma State 14

Moneyline

PASS.

Oklahoma State hasn’t shown any life this season and it’s unlikely to beat a superior opponent. Despite having a loss, the Wildcats (-465) are far superior … even on the road.

Don’t waste your money on a line this high.

Against the spread

BACK KANSAS STATE -11.5 (-115) coming off a bye week.

After losing 30-27 as 3-point favorites on a last-second, 61-yard field goal at Missouri Sept. 16, the Wildcats defeated UCF 44-31 before going on bye — KSU was a 6-point favorite in the win.

Oklahoma State enters on a 2-game skid, falling at Iowa State 34-27 as a 3.5-point underdog Sept. 23  and getting upset at home as a 7-point favorite by South Alabama 33-7 Sept. 16.

The Cowboys have been played 3 quarterbacks — Alan Bowman, Gunnar Gundy and Garret Rangel — but none have really stepped up. OSU will have difficulty moving the ball against KSU.

The Wildcats being huge favorites on the road might seem a bit concerning, but against below-average team in the Cowboys, this line is fitting.

TAKE KANSAS STATE -11.5 (-115).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 53.5 (-110).

As mentioned, Oklahoma State has gone Under in 9 of its past 10 games. While Kansas State has played 3 Overs in a row and is 3-1 Over on the season, it will find it hard to drag the Oklahoma State offense to such a high total.

This game was a 48-0 final in favor of Kansas State last season. It could be the same story Saturday.

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Kansas State at Missouri odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Kansas State at Missouri odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 15 Kansas State Wildcats (2-0) travel across state lines to visit the Missouri Tigers (2-0) Saturday. Kickoff from Memorial Stadium in Columbia, Mo., is set for noon ET (SEC Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Kansas State vs. Missouri odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Kansas State has started its 2023 campaign with 2 blowout wins, the last of which was a 42-13 rout of the Troy Trojans. QB Will Howard has completed 67% of his passes (39 of 58) for 547 yards, 5 TDs, and 2 INTs in 2 games. The Wildcats’ defense has also been stellar so far, allowing only 13 total points in 2 games.

Mizzou came away with a 23-19 win in Week 2 vs. Middle Tennessee State University. Missouri is a more balanced team than Kansas State with viable threats in both the running and passing attack. WR Luther Burden III is the teams biggest threat with 15 receptions for 213 yards and 1 TD. RB Cody Schrader has 41 carries for 222 yards and 1 TD.

Kansas State is No. 15 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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Kansas State at Missouri odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 12:02  a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Kansas State -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Missouri +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Kansas State -3.5 (-120) | Missouri +3.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Kansas State at Missouri picks and predictions

Prediction

Missouri 27, Kansas State 24

Moneyline

LEAN MISSOURI (+150).

The Wildcats have not yet played against true competition this season, and the Tigers will be their 1st taste of that. Missouri is a good team and with a full home crowd behind them, they will make this a tough game for the 15th-ranked Wildcats. Look for Burden to make an impact in both the special teams and passing attack. If the Wildcats can contain Burden then that helps their chance of winning, but I’m not sure they’ll be able to pull off that feat while also having to worry about the Tigers’ rushing attack.

Against the spread

BET MISSOURI +3.5 (-110).

If the Tigers can contain the Wildcats’ passing attack, they will make this a very close game. The Wildcats’ rushing numbers don’t look bad, but a lot of those rushing yards came in blowout games when they were simply trying to chew clock. The Wildcats are a team that is looking to pass, and if this Mizzou secondary can make that hard for them; Mizzou will have the upper hand.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 47.5 (-110). 

Both Missouri and Kansas State have shown that their defenses can hold teams, and I expect that to continue here. Both teams have offenses with scoring potential, but this game will come down to defense. I expect the Tigers’ rushing attack to lead to long, time-consuming drives that make it hard for this game to hit the Over.

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Troy at Kansas State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Troy at Kansas State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Troy Trojans (1-0) and the Kansas State Wildcats (1-0) meet Saturday at Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Manhattan, Kan. Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET (FS1). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Troy vs. Kansas State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Troy kicked off the season with a 48-30 win over Stephen F. Austin of the FCS last Saturday, although it failed to cover the 26.5-point number. The Trojans helped cash the Over (48) nearly by themselves.

K-State also opened with an FCS foe, and it pounded Southeast Missouri State 45-0 to cover the 28.5-point spread as the Under (55.5) cashed. The Wildcats rolled up 588 total yards of offense, and it outrushed the Redhawks  228 to 6. If there is an area to improve, K-State was just 4 of 10 on 3rd-down efficiency, and it was minus-1 in turnover ratio.

Kansas State is No. 15 in the USA TODAY Sports AFCA Coaches Poll.

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Troy at Kansas State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:21  p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Troy +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | Kansas State -800 (bet $800 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Troy +16.5 (-110) | Kansas State -16.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 51.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Troy at Kansas State picks and predictions

Prediction

Kansas State 45, Troy 17

Moneyline

Kansas State (-800) will cost you 8 times your potential return in a singular bet, or you’d net $12.50 for every $100 risked. That’s not anywhere close to an acceptable reward for such a risk.

PASS.

Against the spread

KANSAS STATE -16.5 (-110) is a great bet at home. The Wildcats looked tremendous defensively in the opener, albeit against an overmatched FCS foe. And while QB Will Howard was very good, passing for 297 yards and 2 TDs while running for a score, he could be better. He was picked off, and the team struggled on 3rd down.

Troy +16.5 (-110), on the other hand, really struggled defensively against the Lumberjacks last weekend, and while SFA is not a terrible FCS team, it is still an FCS team. The Trojans are going to have a tough time containing the versatile and high-octane offense of the Wildcats.

Over/Under

OVER 51.5 (-110) is a strong play here.

While the defense for K-State gave up nothing, Troy should be able to pierce the end zone at least once or twice. The Wildcats will certainly get their share of points, too, finding little resistance against a Trojans defense which allowed an FCS opponent to drop 30 on them in their place last weekend.

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March Madness: FAU vs. Kansas State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s FAU vs. Kansas State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The FAU Owls (34-3) battle the Kansas State Wildcats (26-9) in the Elite 8 on Saturday evening. Tip from Madison Square Garden in New York is scheduled for 6:09 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the FAU vs. Kansas State odds as we make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

FAU took down Tennessee 62-55 in the Sweet 16 to cover as a 4.5-point underdog on Thursday. The Owls have now won 10 games in a row including their last 6 games on neutral courts. They are 7-3 against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games including 2-1 ATS in the tournament and 23-11-1 ATS on the season.

Kansas State beat Michigan State 98-93 in overtime to cover as a 1-point favorite in the Sweet 16 on Thursday. The Wildcats are 7-3 straight up and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. This season, they are 23-12 ATS.

Check out: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

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FAU at Kansas State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6:17 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): FAU +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Kansas State -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): FAU +1.5 (-102) | Kansas State -1.5 (-118)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 144.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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FAU at Kansas State picks and predictions

Prediction

Kansas State 71, FAU 65

Moneyline

PASS.

At -130 odds, the spread presents a more profitable play on Kansas State.

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Against the spread

BET KANSAS STATE -1.5 (-118).

Keyontae Johnson and G Markquis Nowell led the way for the Wildcats in their Sweet 16 OT win and they will take control on Saturday to gain a spot in the Final Four. Nowell found success facilitating the offense with 19 assists. With 6 KSU players scoring in double digits, the Owls will not have an answer on the offensive end. FAU had an impressive performance against Tennessee, but their Cinderella run will end on Saturday

Over/Under

BET UNDER 144.5 (-112).

The Under is 5-1 in the Owls’ last 6 games and 5-1 in their last 6 games following an outright win. They also rank 158th in the nation in pace according to the KenPom rankings and like to slow the pace down to get into their offense.

While the Over has hit in each of Kansas State’s 3 tournament games, only the overtime game against Michigan State hit without question. The Over in its first 2 games against Kentucky and Montana State hit by a combined 4.5 points. The Under is 6-1 in the Wildcats last 7 games after scoring 90 or more points in their previous game and 6-1 in their last 7 Saturday games.

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March Madness: Michigan State vs. Kansas State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Michigan State vs. Kansas State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The 7-seeded Michigan State Spartans (21-12) battle the 3rd-seeded Kansas State Wildcats (25-9) Thursday in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament. Tip from Madison Square Garden is at 6:30 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Michigan State vs. Kansas State odds as we make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

The Spartans upset No. 2 seed Marquette 69-60 on Sunday to cover as 3-point underdogs and advance to the Sweet 16. Prior to that, they beat 10th-seeded USC 72-62 as 2.5-point favorites. Michigan State is 6-4 against the spread (ATS) in its last 10 games and 7-3 straight up. MSU is 17-16 ATS for the season.

Kansas State took down 6th-seeded Kentucky 75-69 to cover as a 3-point underdog on Sunday after beating 14th-seeded Montana State 77-65  a 7-point favorite in the opening round. The Wildcats are 6-4 straight up and ATS in their last 10 games and are 22-12 ATS on the season.

Check out: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

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Michigan State vs. Kansas State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:27 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Michigan State -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Kansas State +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Michigan State -1.5 (-112) | Kansas State +1.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 137.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Michigan State vs. Kansas State picks and predictions

Prediction

Kansas State 71, Michigan State 63

Moneyline

BET KANSAS STATE +105.

Kansas State has a high-powered offense backed by F Keyontae Johnson who scored 18 points in the 1st round and 13 points in 2nd. While KSU dropped its last game of the season on the road to West Virginia and its quarterfinal Big 12 matchup against TCU, the Wildcats are 6-2 in its last 8 games.

Their defense also stands out, ranking 17th in the country in defensive efficiency according to the KenPom rankings (the Spartans rank 31st). While the Spartans are top 10 in 3-point shooting, the Wildcats rank in the top-15 defensively for opponent 3-point percentage. Expect the Wildcats to create issues for the Spartans’ offense thus enabling them to advance to the Elite 8.

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Against the spread

PASS.

The moneyline odds are a more profitable play on Kansas State in this game.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 137.5 (-111).

With both teams’ strengths being defense, points will be more difficult to come by in this matchup. Expect long possessions from both sides which will aid the Under.

The Under is 4-0 in Michigan State’s last 4 neutral site games including both games thus far in the tournament.

According to BetMGM, through 44 games thus far in the tournament, the Under is 33-11. It is in your best interest to back UNDER 137.5 (-112).

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March Madness Sweet 16, can’t-miss parlay: Bank on this Thursday 3-teamer

Analyzing NCAA Tournament betting odds for Thursday’s Sweet 16, with predictions and picks for the best parlay bet to make.

We’re going to pare down the NCAA Tournament field from 16 teams to 12 Thursday and there are some intriguing games on the schedule for Madison Square Garden in New York and T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas.

After looking at the Tipico Sportsbook’s NCAA Tournament odds and lines, here is Thursday’s can’t-miss, Sweet 16 parlay among our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

Unlike Friday’s slate of games, the 4 contests scheduled for Thursday are expected to be close as teams are favored by 3.5 or fewer points in 3 of the 4 games. The only game the books expect to be lopsided is the 4th-seeded Tennessee Volunteers against the 9th-seeded FAU Owls at Madison Square Garden.

See Top 25: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

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NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 parlay

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 9:37 a.m. ET. All game times ET; ML = moneyline.

Leg 1: KANSAS STATE ML (+115) vs. Michigan State – 6:30 p.m. (TBS)

Michigan State ended the regular season with just 7 wins in the final 14 games dating back to Jan. 13, and Sparty was just 4-7 ATS in the final 11 outings. To make matters worse, MSU lost by 10 points to a bad Ohio State team in the first game of the Big Ten Conference Tournament.

The outlook heading into the NCAA Tournament was bleak, but this is a Tom Izzo-coached team, and he does what he does best — motivate. After wins and covers against USC and Marquette in the first 2 games of the Big Dance, the books have Sparty favored.

Take advantage. Kansas State has been the much more consistent team during the tournament and in the regular season. K-State has averaged 76.0 points per game (PPG) on offense while allowing 67.0 PPG in 2 wins and covers in the NCAA Tournament.

The Wildcats have won 6 of the past 8 games overall and have covered 6 of the past 7. Head coach Jerome Tang has really made a name for himself in this tournament, and he’ll help the purple crush the veteran Izzo and his upstart Spartans.

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Leg 2: UConn vs. Arkansas UNDER 139.5 (-110) – 7:15 p.m. (CBS)

The Huskies kick off the first of 2 games at T-Mobile Arena. With defending champs Baylor, Duke, Kansas and Virginia all ousted from the NCAA Tournament, and North Carolina and Villanova not in the field, UConn is the most recent national champion (2014) still alive.

Arkansas has picked up wins and covers against Illinois and Kansas, so this certainly won’t be easy for UConn, and this game really and truly could go either way.

The Huskies have wins and covers against Iona and Saint Mary’s so far, too. The one thing these teams have in common is defense — and a lot of it.

UConn has cashed the Under in 3 of 4 postseason games, and 5 of the past 6 games overall. The Huskies have allowed 70 or fewer points in 6 straight games since Feb. 11 and in 9 of their last 10 games. The Under is also 4-1 in the past 5 neutral-site games for the Huskies.

Arkansas has hit the Under in 3 in a row, allowing an average of just 67.0 PPG in the past 3 postseason games. That’s a common theme for the Hogs, too, as the Under has cashed in 5 consecutive NCAA Tournament games for Arkansas.

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Leg 3: TENNESSEE -5.5 (-112) vs. Florida Atlantic – 9 p.m. (TBS)

The Volunteers are back in the Sweet 16 for the first time since 2019. This bet comes with risk though, as Tennessee is just 1-7 straight-up in 8 previous trips to the Sweet 16 round.

The good news for the Vols is that FAU might be the perfect opponent to break that ugly cycle, as the Owls are playing in their 1st-ever Sweet 16 game and its 1st-ever game played at MSG, too.

FAU has 33 wins in 36 tries this season, but it is just 1-1 straight up and ATS in 2 games against SEC teams, and it lost its only previous NCAA Tournament game against an SEC foe (Alabama in 2002).

The Owls will have to contend with the most physical team they have seen to date, and it’s not even close. The Vols rank in the top 3 in points allowed (57.8, 3rd), defensive field-goal percentage (37.2%, 3rd) and defensive 3-pointer percentage (26.4%, 1st).

The total is set at 130.5, and the Volunteers are 8-2 ATS in the past 10 games with a total of 131 or fewer points. Look for Tennessee to roll into the Elite 8, ending a dream season for FAU.

Parlay payout: Bet $10 to profit $67.69 (ticket pays $77.69).

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Sweet 16 first look: Michigan State vs. Kansas State odds, lines and trends

Looking at Thursday’s Michigan State Spartans vs. Kansas State Sweet 16 odds, lines and trends. Here’s what you need to know.

The 7th-seeded Michigan State Spartans (21-12) will battle the No. 3-seeded Kansas State Wildcats (25-9) in a Thursday Sweet 16 contest in New York. Tip time for the East Region tussle at Madison Square Garden is set for 6:30 p.m. ET (TBS). Below, we look at Michigan State vs. Kansas State from Tipico Sportsbook. Plus, check out our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

Michigan State has thus far taken down USC and Marquette in these brackets. Spartans coach Tom Izzo is looking to get MSU into the Final Four for his 9th time. Michigan State is 4-1 over its last 5 games; that’s the team’s best stretch since winning 7 in a row from Dec. 7-Jan. 10.

Kansas State is No. 13 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll. The Wildcats have logged tournament wins against Montana State and Kentucky after having lost their regular-season finale and being ousted in their 1st game of the Big 12 Tournament.

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Michigan State vs. Kansas State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 10:42 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Michigan State -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Kansas State +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Michigan State -1.5 (-105) | Kansas State +1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 138.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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2022-23 betting stats (including postseason):

  • ML: Michigan State  21-12 | Kansas State 25-9
  • ATS: Michigan State  17-16 | Kansas State 22-12
  • O/U: Michigan State 16-17 | Kansas State 18-16

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Michigan State vs. Kansas State head-to-head

MSU and KSU have met 7 times since 1950. The Spartans have won 5 of those games, the last of which was in 1996.

Michigan State won national titles in 1979 and 2000. It has been to 10 Final Fours; 8 of those have been in the Tom Izzo era (since 1995).

The Wildcats are past the tourney’s 1st week for just the 2nd time since 2012 (2018). They are looking to get to their 5th Final Four (last 1964). Kansas State has never won a national championship.

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Big 12 Tournament: TCU vs. Kansas State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s TCU vs. Kansas State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 23 TCU Horned Frogs (20-11) battle the No. 12 Kansas State Wildcats (23-8) Thursday. Tip in the 2nd round of the Big 12 Tournament from T-Mobile Center is set for 9:30 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the TCU vs. Kansas State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

TCU and Kansas State both earned 1st-round byes as the Horned Frogs come in as the No. 6 seed and the Wildcats the No. 3 seed. In the 2 regular season matchups, the home team won by double digits and covered. The total was 1-1 O/U.

The Horned Frogs were just 3-6 straight up over their last 9 games and 2-7 against the spread (ATS) over that span. They are coming off a 74-60 loss at Oklahoma March 4, failing to cover as a 2-point favorite.

The Wildcats, on the other hand, lost to West Virginia 89-81 March 4, failing to cover as a 5-point road underdog. Kansas State went 4-1 ATS on its last 5 games. It was 20-11 ATS on the season.

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TCU vs. Kansas State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:35 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): TCU -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Kansas State +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread (ATS): TCU -1.5 (-115) | Kansas State +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 148.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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TCU vs. Kansas State picks and predictions

Prediction

Kansas State 73, TCU 70

Moneyline

PASS.

While Kansas State (+110) may look enticing, the spread here is the way to go for the better value, especially considering how close conference tournament games can be.

This is a fine play, but I’d prefer getting a couple of points here.

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Against the spread

BET KANSAS STATE +1.5 (-105).

The Wildcats have thrived in this position as they are 12-6 ATS in conference games, the best covering percentage in the Big 12. Both teams are 5-6 ATS on the road as well, so this situation isn’t one either has consistently covered in.

The Cats also ended their season on a good note, covering 4 of their last 5 and beating both Iowa State and Baylor straight up. TCU has struggled as of late, failing to cover 7 of its last 9. It also had a 21-point loss to Kansas State on Feb. 7, the two programs’ most recent matchup.

Put it all together and back KANSAS STATE +1.5 (-105).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 148.5 (-115).

Both teams have consistently been better at hitting the Under lately. Kansas State is 3-6 O/U in its last 9 games while TCU is 2-6 O/U in its last 8 games.

Both teams also rank in the top 50 in opponents’ 3-point field goal percentage. The limited opportunities there should keep the total relatively low. The programs are a combined 18-18 O/U in conference games as well.

For a smaller unit, back the UNDER 148.5 (-115).

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Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / Florida / Georgia / Iowa / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / USC / Wisconsin / College Football News

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