Kansas State Texas Tech odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

The Kansas State Wildcats (14-14, 6-10 Big 12) and No. 9 Texas Tech Red Raiders (22-7, 11-5) clash Monday in Lubbock, Texas. Tip-off from United Supermarkets Arena is slated for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Kansas State vs. Texas Tech odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Kansas State finds itself on the road for the third time in four games and it totes a three-game losing skid into Monday’s contest. However, the Wildcats snapped a four-game skid with a 62-51 upset of then-No. 19 Texas Tech Jan. 15

The Red Raiders are coming off a 69-66 loss at TCU Saturday as they were undone by 18 turnovers. TTU had its four-game win streak snapped despite shooting 58.1% from the floor. Now it’s back at home where it has gone 17-0 this season.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Kansas State at Texas Tech odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:09 a.m. ET.

Money line: Kansas State +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | Texas Tech -850 (bet $850 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Kansas State +12.5 (-120) | Texas Tech -12.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 133.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Kansas State at Texas Tech odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Texas Tech 76, Kansas State 62

Money line

Look for the Raiders to be dialed in at home, in a revenge spot and coming off a disappointing loss. The tag here is fair but without a value cushion: PASS.

Against the spread

The Red Raiders are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games after a straight-up loss, 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with a losing road record, 18-4 ATS in their last 22 home games and 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite.

Saturday’s game was a clunker for a Texas Tech squad that had been playing at a high level of late. TTU held foes to a 37.8% mark from the field in its 18 previous games before allowing a 50.0% mark Saturday.

TAKE THE RED RAIDERS -12.5 (-105).

Over/Under

Figure on Kansas State getting some easy turnover/transition baskets, and peg the home five piling up a decent advantage in second-chance and free-throw points.

Look for TTU to aggressively play this game to as big of a lead as it can muster by the 5-minute mark.

BACK THE OVER 133.5 (-108).

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The Kansas State Wildcats (3-3, 0-3 Big 12) visit Big XII co-tenant Texas Tech Red Raiders (5-2, 2-2) Saturday for a noon ET kickoff at Jones AT&T Stadium. Below, we look at the Kansas State vs. Texas Tech odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

Kansas State has lost three straight since beginning conference play vs. the Iowa State Cyclones (33-20 in Week 7), Oklahoma Sooners (37-31 Oct. 2) and Oklahoma State Cowboys (31-20 Sept. 25).

The Wildcats are 3-3 against the spread (ATS) and 4-2 Over/Under (O/U) with the second-toughest schedule in the nation according to USA TODAY’s Jeff Sagarin.

Texas Tech has alternated between winning and losing over the past four games with the latest being a 41-14 blowout victory at the Kansas Jayhawks Oct. 16. According to Sagarin, the Red Raiders have played the 82nd-toughest schedule. They are 4-3 ATS and 3-4 O/U on the season.

Kansas State has won five consecutive meetings with Texas Tech (4-1 ATS) and the last two victories came as a 1-point underdog.

Kansas State at Texas Tech odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:32 a.m. ET.

Money line: Kansas State -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Texas Tech -112 (bet $112 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Kansas State +0.5 (-108) | Texas Tech -0.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 60.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Kansas State at Texas Tech odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Kansas State 30, Texas Tech 24

Money line

BET KANSAS STATE (-108) for 1.25 units for several reasons. First of all, the Wildcats should dominate the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball.

According to Football Outsiders, Texas Tech ranks 66th in defensive line yards per snap and 67th in offensive line yards per snap. Kansas State ranks 37th in defensive line yards per snap and 35th in offensive line yards per snap.

Mind you, Kansas State has played the second-hardest schedule in the country.

Furthermore, if you can run the ball against the Red Raiders then you’ll beat them. Texas Tech’s defense ranks 107th in open field yards, 113th in rushing predicted points added (PPA) and 101st in rushing success rate. Kansas State ranks 31st in rushing PPA and eighth in rushing success rate (both in non-garbage time).

Also, this is a much better spot for the Wildcats. Texas Tech head coach Matt Wells was hired in 2018. Over that span, the Red Raiders are 7-7-1 ATS at home with a minus-4.4-point spread differential and 9-12-1 ATS vs. Big 12 teams.

On the other hand, Kansas State hired Chris Klieman to succeed longtime coach Bill Snyder in 2019. Since then, the Wildcats are 13-8 ATS in conference play and 7-4 ATS on the road.

Finally, the betting count is split between these two sides, but more than 80% of the cash has been wagered on Kansas State, according to Pregame.com.

The “wiseguys” see value in the road favorite while the public is torn since the Wildcats are on a three-game losing skid when visiting a conference foe with a winning record.

BET KANSAS STATE (-108).

Against the spread

PASS unless Kansas State’s money line climbs above -140. I’d then lay up to 3 points with the Wildcats. But, in this case, the money line and spreads are identical.

Over/Under

PASS because I don’t have a grasp on the Kansas State-Texas Tech total. According to Pregame.com, roughly 90% of the action is on the Over, but the total hasn’t really budged since the opener.

That suggests oddsmakers are happy with taking more pro-Over money. So, maybe the play is a tiny wager on the Under 60.5 (-110). But I’ll stay away because I don’t have another read on the total aside from the “line freeze” angle.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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