Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (69-82) and Cleveland Indians (73-76) play the third game of a four-game set Tuesday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Royals vs. Indians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Royals LHP Daniel Lynch (4-5, 5.34 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.61 WHIP, 7.3 K/9 and 4.0 BB/9 through 59 IP.

  • Allowed 3 runs (1 earned) on 2 hits with a walk in 2 innings in a 7-2 home to the Oakland Athletics Thursday.
  • Faced the Indians May 3 in his MLB debut, allowing 3 runs on 4 hits and 4 walks with 3 strikeouts in 4 2/3 innings of a no-decision.

Indians RHP Cal Quantrill (6-3, 2.89 ERA) makes his 21st start and 39th appearance this season. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 through 137 IP.

  • Has won consecutive starts for the first time since July 17 when he beat the A’s after defeating the Royals July 10.
  • Is 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA across 8 innings in one start and one relief appearances vs. the Royals this season.

Royals at Indians odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:22 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Royals +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Indians -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Royals +1.5 (-165) | Indians -1.5 (+133)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Prediction

Indians 6, Royals 3

Money line (ML)

The INDIANS (-145) are looking to bounce back after getting swept by the Royals in a doubleheader Monday. Cleveland is a strong play behind Quantrill, as the right-hander has really pitched well of late.

Look for Cleveland to rattle off several runs and inch closed to the .500 mark.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

INDIANS -1.5 (+133) are worth a roll of the dice on the run line. Cleveland has dropped five in a row at home, but it’s still 51-23 in the past 74 games as a home favorite. Back Cleveland behind Quantrill as he enters with wins in back-to-back starts.

Over/Under (O/U)

The lean is to the UNDER 9.5 (-122). The Under has hit in 12 of the past 17 inside the division for the Royals, while going 4-1 in the past five against a right-handed starter. They’re going to struggle piling up offense against Quantrill, who is pitching with a lot of confidence right now.

The Under is also 7-3 in Cleveland’s past 10 inside the division, and 5-2 in the past seven at home.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (36-53) and Cleveland Indians (45-42) play the finale of a four-game set Sunday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Indians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Carlos Hernandez is the projected starting pitcher for the Royals. He is 1-0 with a 4.98 ERA, 1.66 WHIP, 6.2 BB/9 and 12.5 K/9 through 21 2/3 IP over 12 relief appearances.

He makes his first start of 2021 Sunday. He pitched a season-high 4 1/3 innings out of the bullpen May 29.

RHP Eli Morgan is the projected starting pitcher for the Indians. He is 1-3 with a 8.44 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 and 1.7 BB/9 over 21 1/3 IP through five starts.

Morgan is coming off the most complete start of his fledgling career, allowing 3 runs on 5 hits and 2 walks with 3 strikeouts over 5 innings against the first-place Houston Astros last Saturday, but it still ended up a loss. He has served up 8 homers on the season.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Royals at Indians odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Royals +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Indians -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Royals +1.5 (-150) | Indians -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Indians 8, Royals 6

Money line (ML)

The INDIANS (-140) are the lean in this series finale, as the Tribe try to hit the All-Star break with some much-needed momentum after a trying first half.

Morgan showed some signs of life last time out, and he’ll try and improve upon his strong outing against the Astros and grab his second-career victory.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The INDIANS -1.5 (+125) are worth a small-unit play, but expect to have some ups and downs. This will be a high-scoring game with a pair of very giving pitchers and Morgan struggles to keep the ball in the yard.

It might look good one minute, and then seem dire the next. Cleveland will end up winning by at least 2 in the end, just don’t get crazy betting it.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 9.5 (-115) is the best play on the board. Kansas City went into Saturday’s game having allowed 5 or more runs in five of its previous six games, and nine of its last 12.

As mentioned, Morgan has had trouble in the homers allowed department. Look for plenty of fireworks in C-Town.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Joe Williams on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (36-52) and the Cleveland Indians (44-42) meet for the third game of their four-game series at Progressive Field Saturday. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Indians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Cleveland has won the first two games of this series by a combined score of 9-5 including a 2-1 victory Friday after 1B Bobby Bradley hit a walk-off solo home run in the bottom of the 9th inning.

Season series: Indians lead 7-1.

LHP Mike Minor is Kansas City’s projected starter. Minor is 6-7 with a 5.36 ERA (102 1/3 IP, 61 ER), 1.27 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 over 18 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 6-2, with 6 IP, 4 ER, 3 H, 3 BB and 6 K Monday against the Cincinnati Reds.
  • 2021 road splits: 3-2 with a 5.02 ERA (43 IP, 24 ER), 1.35 WHIP and 2.4 K/BB rate over eight starts.

RHP Cal Quantrill is on the rubber for the Indians. Quantrill is 0-2 with a 4.20 ERA (55 2/3 IP, 26 ER), 1.42 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 across seven starts and 18 relief appearances.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB and 3 K in Cleveland’s 4-3 loss to the Houston Astros Sunday.
  • 2021 home splits: 0-0 with a 3.71 ERA (26 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 1.43 WHIP and 2.8 K/BB rate across four starts.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Royals at Indians odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Royals +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Indians -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Royals +1.5 (-185) | Indians -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Indians 3, Royals 2

Money line (ML)

Slight “LEAN” to the INDIANS (-130) for a quarter unit because there’s been “sharp” line movement towards Cleveland as it opened a -108 favorite but has been steamed up 22 cents on the dollar, and the Indians have owned the Royals this season.

My hesitation with the Indians in this spot is they have a losing record vs. lefty starters (16-18) and have a 7-18 record in games Quantrill has pitched in this season.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because I don’t like Cleveland enough to lay it with the Indians -1.5 (+150) especially with their 19-23 ATS record at home this season. Also, Kansas City is 24-21 ATS on the road this year.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 8.5 (+100) for 1 unit is my favorite play in the Royals-Indians game since Cleveland’s lineup is terrible at home and against left-handed pitching and because the presumed “sharp” side of the market is backing the Under whereas the public is betting the Over.

For instance, Cleveland’s lineup is in the bottom 10 at home and vs. left-handed pitching in advanced hitting metrics such as wRC+, wOBA and OPS.

Moreover, Minor is 2-0  with a 1.77 ERA in his last five starts against them and hasn’t given up a home run in his last three starts against them, either.

Furthermore, K.C.’s lineup is in the bottom 3 of the majors on the road in wRC+, wOBA and OPS and is 23rd in hard-hit rate.

Also, according to Pregame.com, over 70% of the cash wagered on the total in Royals-Indians has been on the Under while more than 85% of the total bets placed are on the Over.

Generally, it’s profitable following the money in sports betting especially when it’s flowing in the opposite direction as the public.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (36-51) and AL Central rival Cleveland Indians (43-42) continue their four-game series at Progressive Field Friday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Indians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Cleveland won the first game of this series Thursday with a late-inning rally in which the Indians scored 6 runs in the final two frames to beat the Royals 7-4.

Season series: Indians lead 6-1.

RHP Brad Keller makes his 19th start for the Royals. He is 6-9 with a 6.39 ERA (87 1/3 IP, 62 ER), 1.82 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Loss, 6-2, with 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB and 7 K Sunday against the Minnesota Twins.
  • vs. Indians on the current roster: 52 at-bats with a .212/.323/.269 slash line, 10/7 K/BB, 0 HR and 3 RBIs.

RHP Triston McKenzie takes the ball for the Indians. He is 1-3 with a 6.38 ERA (42 1/3 IP, 30 ER), 1.58 WHIP, 8.3 BB/9 and 12.5 K/9 across 10 starts and one relief appearance.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 0 H, 4 BB and 0 K in Cleveland’s 5-4 win over the Seattle Mariners June 12.
  • McKenzie got a win May 6 against the Royals with a stat line of 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 4 BB and 5 K in Cleveland’s 4-0 victory.
    • vs. Royals on the current roster: 55 at-bats with a .145/.262/.218 slash line, 19/9 K/BB, 1 HR and 4 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Royals at Indians  odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Royals +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Indians -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Royals +1.5 (-155) | Indians -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Royals 7, Indians 5

Money line (ML)

GIMME the ROYALS (+125) FIRST 5 INNINGS for 1 unit. I’d argue K.C. has the edge in the starting pitching matchup even though Keller has been awful this season because McKenzie’s pitching peripherals are more concerning.

Their ERAs are nearly identical but Keller has a better xFIP and SIERA and McKenzie grades in the first percentile in both exit velocity and hard-hit rate, the second percentile in barrel rate and 23rd percentile in expected wOBA.

Furthermore, the starters’ basic stat lines against their respective Friday opponent are pretty even but Keller’s advanced numbers are more impressive than McKenzie’s.

Keller has a 2.42 FIP with a minus-3.3° launch angle and 89.1 mph exit velocity against active Indians hitters while McKenzie has a 3.87 FIP with a 19.5° launch angle and a 92.7 mph exit velocity against current Royals batters.

That being said, I’m sticking with the Royals’ First 5 Innings line because Cleveland’s bullpen is far better than K.C.’s and I don’t want to risk the Royals relievers choking this game away like they did Thursday.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because K.C.’s run lines for both the full game and First 5 Innings are too expensive.

Typically, I’d prefer to lay it with the underdog’s First 5 Innings run line to get a half-run worth of insurance on top of my money line wager but BetMGM isn’t offering that as an option in Royals-Indians.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 10 (-105) for a quarter unit, if at all, because the market is barreling into the Over, which has steamed the total up from the 9.5-run opener and I hate following a crowd in sports betting.

However, both starters are still finding their groove in the big leagues and have performed like back of the rotation guys thus far in 2021.

Also, a majority of the situational trends suggest a higher-scoring affair including Cleveland’s 24-15-2 O/U record at home and 22-15-3 O/U record in divisional games. The Over also cashed in four of the past five Royals-Indians meetings this season.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (36-50) and Cleveland Indians (42-42) play the opener of a four-game set Thursday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Indians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Danny Duffy is the projected starting pitcher for the Royals. He is 4-3 with a 2.60 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 9.9 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 over 52 IP across 10 starts and one relief appearance.

The southpaw Duffy could be making one of his final starts in Royal Blue, as his name has been bandied about in trade rumors. He allowed two runs, six hits and two walks across four innings in a no-decision against Minnesota last time out.

Duffy has not won since May 1 in five starts and one relief appearance including a stint on the injured list. Still, he has an impressive 2.60 ERA, and that is particularly attractive to contenders.

RHP Zach Plesac is the projected starting pitcher for the Indians. He is 4-3 with a 4.14 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, 5.8 K/9 and 1.8 BB/9 over 58 2/3 IP through 10 starts.

Plesac is making his first start since May 23 when he broken his right thumb taking off an undershirt in anger after an ugly start against the Twins. He had won three straight decisions across the past six starts before his ailment, and his last loss was April 20.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Royals at Indians odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Royals +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Indians -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Royals +1.5 (-165) | Indians -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Royals 5, Indians 3

Money line (ML)

The ROYALS (+115) are the lean in this opener of the four-game set. The Indians (-140) just played a double dip Wednesday in St. Petersburg, Fla., against the Tampa Bay Rays and flew home to prepare for K.C. In fact, the Royals have been resting in Cleveland longer than the home team. The Indians enter on an eight-game slide.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The ROYALS +1.5 (-165) are a decent play if you’re not quite feeling Kansas City in the opener. However, Duffy has a solid ERA for a lower-echelon team and probably should have many more wins. For the Indians -1.5 (+140), Plesac is returning after a six-week absence, and who knows if he’ll have a little bit of rust.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 9 (-110) is the play in Thursday’s opener. With the exception of an eight-run outburst against the Rays Monday, the Indians have struggled to score lately. They have 20 total runs across the past eight games or just 2.5 runs per outing.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Joe Williams on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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