Tag: Kansas City Chiefs vs New England Patriots

Kansas City Chiefs vs New England Patriots Prediction, Game Preview

Kansas City Chiefs vs New England Patriots prediction, game preview, and fantasy player to watch.

Kansas City Chiefs vs New England Patriots prediction, game preview, and fantasy player to watch.

Kansas City Chiefs vs New England Patriots Broadcast

Date: Monday, October 5
Game Time: 7:05 ET
Venue: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Network: CBS

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– All of the CFN Fearless Predictions

Kansas City Chiefs (3-0) vs New England Patriots (2-1) Game Preview

For latest lines and to bet on the NFL, go to BetMGM

Why New England Patriots Will Win

The defense has to come up with something special, and that includes generating a whole lot of turnovers.

Going into this weekend, the Patriots led the NFL in takeaways with seven, has owned games on the ground, and has been able to control the clock and the tempo.

That changes with Cam Newton out and Brian Hoyer likely in – at least, that changes when it comes from quarterback rushing yards – and again, it’s going to to be up to the defense to control the Kansas City machine and keep this from getting out of hand.

Why Kansas City Chiefs Will Win

The New England passing game wasn’t all that great when Newton was playing, and now the Chief defense gets to go all in to send its great pass rush at Hoyer.

The offense gets all the love thanks to the dizzying array of stars, but it’s the defense that’s been the biggest key, stuffing Lamar Jackson and Baltimore and keeping down Deshaun Watson and Jared Goff in wins.

So far, the offense has turned it over just once in three games. Don’t make mistakes, don’t press, get up quickly, let the D take care of Hoyer.

Fantasy Football Player To Watch

RB Rex Burkhead, New England
Quick, name the Patriot wide receivers who have caught touchdown passes so far this year? None of them have – Newton threw just two TDs in the first three games.

Hoyer will likely do more to bomb away and spread the ball around, but he needs help from the running game. With Sony Michel banged up – but questionable – Burkhead needs to build off his three-touchdown day against the Raiders and be even more of a factor on the ground.

What’s Going To Happen

New England will pitch a gem for a half.

The defense will clamp down and stiffen in the red zone time and again, but the lack of offensive firepower will be a problem. Michel is hurting, Julian Edelman is pushing through a knee injury, and it’s going to be a struggle.

Don’t expect anything pretty, but it’ll be an effective win for the defending champs.

Kansas City Chiefs vs New England Patriots Prediction, Line

Kansas City 31, New England 17
Bet on Kansas City Chiefs vs New England Patriots with BetMGM
Kansas City -10.5, o/u: 49.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3

Must See Rating: 3

5: ANYTHING else
1: THAT debate

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Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots odds, lines, picks and best bets

Previewing the Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots huge Week 14 matchup, with NFL betting odds, lines, picks and best bets

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The New England Patriots (10-2) host the Kansas City Chiefs (8-4) at Gillette Stadium Sunday with kickoff scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET. We analyze the Patriots-Chiefs odds and betting lines, providing actionable wagering advice around this huge Week 14 NFL matchup.

Chiefs at Patriots: Week 14 preview, betting trends and notes

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Bet $1, WIN $100 in free bets if QB Tom Brady completes a pass against the Chiefs Sunday, Dec. 8th. Bet now!
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  • The Patriots lost two of their last four and didn’t win the other two games convincingly over the last month. They’re coming off a 28-22 loss to the Houston Texans, where their offensive issues were once again on full display.
  • The Chiefs easily bested the Oakland Raiders 40-9 last weekend and have won their past two games.
  • Since 2016, these two teams have met four times, including two playoff battles. The last meeting was a 37-31 overtime victory for New England this past January. The Patriots have won three of the last four.
  • Only one of their last four matchups was by a wide margin: A 42-27 victory for Kansas City in ’17. In that span, the Patriots averaged 33.5 points and the Chiefs averaged 33.3.
  • Patriots QB Tom Brady has looked mortal recently; four of his last five games have sported completion rates lower than 56%. Each of his past two games have been 51.1% or lower, which includes a 45.9% showing in a win over the Dallas Cowboys. Contain WR Julian Edleman and RB James White right now and you contain (and frustrate) Brady.
  • New England ranks 14th in the league with 360.8 yards per game and rank sixth with 26.8 points per game. The Patriots have averaged just 18 PPG the past month. The Chiefs D allows 372.1 YPG, eighth-worst in the NFL.
  • Kansas City averages 384.7 YPG, fourth-best in the league. It’s third-best with 29 PPG. New England’s D has been a storyline all season, but it has shown holes against better offenses. The Patriots rank first in scoring defense (12.1 points/game) and second in yardage (258.0 yards/game).

Chiefs at Patriots: Key injuries

Brady (toe, right elbow), WR Mohamed Sanu Sr. (ankle) and Edelman (shoulder) are all likely to be questionable for the week; expect them to play. It’s too early to tell whether CB Jason McCourty (groin) will return.

RB Damien Williams (rib) is a question mark for the Chiefs; DE Frank Clark (shoulder) was limited Wednesday.

Chiefs at Patriots: Odds, betting lines and prediction

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 10:15 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Chiefs 24, Patriots 20

Moneyline (?)

Beating New England (-173) at Gillette, where they are 5-0 this year, is never easy, but KC, 4-1 on the road, has played here a lot the last few years. It’s rare I advocate betting against the Pats at home, but there haven’t been enough signs the running game will improve to help the passing game. Take the plus-money on KANSAS CITY (+145) to the bank.

New to sports betting? A $10 wager on Kansas City to pull the upset profits $14.50 with an outright win.

Against the Spread (?)

The Patriots are just 3-2 ATS at home this year and 7-5 overall. Kansas City is also 7-5 ATS, but 4-2 on the road. A 2.5-point line has been given to the home team (-134) here; but sticking with the CHIEFS (+2.5, +110) is the play.

The moneyline has a better return, so I’d put my money there rather than pay for the 2.5 points of insurance.

Over/Under (?)

The line of 49.5 is tied for highest on this weekend’s slate. In the last four meetings, these two averaged 66.8 combined points per game. With the Pats’ (who are 2-3-0 vs. the O/U at home (4-8-0 overall)) offense struggling, it’s a lofty line. The defense will break at points, but even when they have against better teams this year, they’ve given up 28 or more points just twice all season. The Chiefs are 3-3-0 vs. the O/U on the road. Keep riding the UNDER (-115).

Want action on this game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Ryan’s NFL Picks: 27-15

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