DaSilva: Kansas City Chiefs good bet to repeat, win 2021 Super Bowl LV

Cameron DaSilva predicts the Kansas City Chiefs will win 2021 Super Bowl LV with a look at NFL futures betting odds at BetMGM Sportsbook.

The Kansas City Chiefs went 14-2 in the 2020 NFL regular season and finished first in the AFC, earning the coveted first-round bye. As the defending Super Bowl champions, the Chiefs are primed to repeat thanks to an explosive offense and a defense that deserves more credit than it gets. Below, I make the case for the Chiefs as my prediction to win the 2021 Super Bowl LV, along with other NFL playoff picks and best bets.

Kansas City Chiefs year in review

The Chiefs absolutely rolled through the regular season with their only real stumble coming in Week 5 against the Raiders – a shocking 40-32 loss at home. Their other loss came in Week 17 when QB Patrick Mahomes and most key starters got the week off to rest for the playoffs.

Despite resting their starters in the season finale, the Chiefs still finished sixth in scoring, first in yards, first in first downs, first in passing, third in touchdown passes and first in plays per drive. It was yet another season dominated by Mahomes and the offense, scoring at least 21 points in all but one game.

Defensively, the Chiefs deserve more credit than they’ve gotten, too. They allowed 38 points to the Chargers in Week 17 and finished 10th in points allowed and 16th in yards – both of which were lower than they should’ve been due to the backups playing on Sunday. Where Kansas City must be better is in the red zone, ranking only 14th offensively and 32nd on defense.

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Why the Kansas City Chiefs will win the 2021 Super Bowl

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 8:53 a.m. ET.

It’s easy to like the Chiefs as a Super Bowl contender, even at the low +240 odds. They had the best record in the regular season, are the reigning champs and are mostly healthy heading into the playoffs. Few teams in the NFL can keep up with this offense when they really put the pedal down, which is a massive hurdle for opponents on its own.

The AFC isn’t exactly loaded this year, either. The Pittsburgh Steelers offense is underwhelming, the Tennessee Titans defense sorely lacks talent, the Baltimore Ravens can at times be one-dimensional, the Indianapolis Colts are inconsistent and the Cleveland Browns are once again dealing with COVID-19 complications. That leaves the Buffalo Bills as the biggest threat to Kansas City in the AFC.

Fortunately, the Chiefs won’t face the Bills in the divisional round, as Buffalo will have to win two games to potentially meet the Chiefs in the NFC Championship. The Chiefs will face the lowest remaining seed in the conference after this weekend, which in a worst-case scenario will be the fourth-seeded Titans, or in a best-case scenario will be the Colts (who face Buffalo this weekend).

The Chiefs have a better chance than any other team to win the Super Bowl, and it all starts with Mahomes. A quarterback who rarely has an off day, combined with two of the best pass-catchers in football (WR Tyreek Hill and TE Travis Kelce) make Kansas City dangerous. It’ll just come down to whether an opponent catches them on a bad day.

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Chiefs Wire:

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Williams: Kansas City Chiefs are best bet to win 2021 Super Bowl LV

Joe Williams predicts the Kansas City Chiefs will win the 2021 Super Bowl LV with a look at NFL futures betting odds at BetMGM Sportsbook.

The Kansas City Chiefs went 14-2 in the 2020 NFL regular season and finished 10-2 in the AFC. Below, I make the case for the Chiefs as my prediction to win the 2021 Super Bowl, along with other NFL playoff picks and best bets.

Kansas City Chiefs year in review

The defending champion Chiefs were the top offense in the NFL, tossing up 415.8 total yards per game while managing 303.4 yards per game through the air, also No. 1 in the league. They checked in sixth in the NFL with 29.6 PPG, too.

Defense wins championships, though, right? Well, Kansas City’s numbers were rather middling in that department, allowing 358.3 total yards per game to rank just 16th, although they yielded just 22.6 PPG to check-in 10th in the NFL. Still, they are 4-0 straight up and 3-1 against the spread against playoff teams this season while scoring 29.7 PPG in those contests, and they will be able to outscore anyone who comes to town.

All of those stats, numbers and trends are fine, but I like experience. QB Patrick Mahomes, who won the Super Bowl MVP last season, completed 66.3% of his passes for 4,740 yards, 38 touchdowns and just 6 interceptions this season. The kid just never makes mistakes, and when he does, rarely are they costly and game-changing miscues. He had a pair of 1,000-yard pass-catchers in WR Tyreek Hill (87 receptions, 1,276 yards, 15 touchdowns) and TE Travis Kelce (105-1,416-11), and that double-dip makes it difficult for opposing defenses.

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Why the Kansas City Chiefs will win the 2021 Super Bowl

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 8:40 a.m. ET.

I know, I know. Betting the favorite, the CHIEFS (+240), is not exactly going out on a limb or the sexy pick. Don’t overthink it. It’s not so much that I am in love with the Chiefs, but they will have somewhat of a home-field advantage, allowing fans on a limited capacity. Don’t underestimate that. Even a smattering of boisterous fans will give the home side the extra juice when they need it most.

In addition, I love what I have seen from the Buffalo Bills (+700) this season, but while I am all-in on QB Josh Allen being a bona fide star, I am not sold on their running game, and their defense wasn’t nearly as dominant as last season. And hey, we’ve already seen these two AFC titans square off, with the Chiefs winning 26-17 in Buffalo back in Week 6. The results won’t be different in a potential AFC Championship Game at Arrowhead Stadium.

The Chiefs lost their Week 17 matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers, but that game can be tossed out since they rested all major players. That will actually help them, as the stars will get two full weeks to rest their bumps and bruises. Kansas City won its previous four home games, and they rattled off 10 consecutive wins overall before their loss to the Bolts.

This team has all the tools to hoist the Lombardi Trophy again, becoming the first team to repeat as Super Bowl champs since the New England Patriots won Super Bowls XXXVIII and XXXIX.

Want action on 2021 Super Bowl futures? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Chiefs Wire:

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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