Staff predictions for Chargers vs. Broncos

Find out who the Chargers Wire staff is picking between Los Angeles and Denver in Week 16.

The Los Angeles Chargers kick off Week 16 against the Denver Broncos.

Who is going to come out victorious?

Here is a look at the predictions from each of our writers at Chargers Wire:

Gavino:

This is one of the most important games of the season for the Chargers as they look to avoid a three-game losing streak and improve their chances of making the playoffs. Los Angeles has not lost three straight this season, and I believe they avoid that. Bo Nix has played well this season, but he’s been turnover-prone. He’s thrown five interceptions over the past two weeks. The Broncos’ offense is nowhere near as explosive as the Buccaneers, so I expect a bounce-back performance from Jesse Minter’s unit, especially since Denzel Perryman will be back from injury. Justin Herbert and company will have their work cut out against Denver’s elite defense, but I think the offensive group will be able to do enough to prevail. Chargers 23, Broncos 20

Alex K:

The Chargers have struggled to move the ball since JK Dobbins (knee) went to injured reserve. That issue will likely continue against a Broncos defense with edge rusher Nik Bonitto and cornerback Patrick Surtain II, both of whom are legit Defensive Player of the Year candidates. But Denver’s offense will probably have the same problems against LA, who should be able to bounce back thanks to the return of Denzel Perryman and a better matchup. Chargers 19, Broncos 17

Should you start Justin Herbert in fantasy football this week vs. Broncos? Here’s our take.

Is he a good start in the fantasy football playoffs.

Justin Herbert has flashed moments of QB1 skills in 2024, despite the fact that the Los Angeles Chargers quarterback is on a team that runs the ball a fair amount.

But his ankle injury in Week 14 wasn’t good even though he played all but one snap in Week 15. Now, he’s coming into Thursday night’s game against the Denver Broncos without an injury designation, and if you have him in the fantasy football playoffs, you might be wondering: do you start Herbert?

Denver is just OK against the pass and terrific against the run, but couple that Broncos defense with the short week and the injury recovery, and I’m sitting Herbert. There are assuredly better QBs to start out there.

Good luck!

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5 things to watch for when Broncos face Chargers on ‘TNF’

Here are five storylines to watch for when the Broncos face the Chargers on ‘Thursday Night Football’ in Week 16.

The Denver Broncos (9-5) are set to face the Los Angeles Chargers (8-6) on Thursday Night Football in Week 16. Here are five quick storylines to watch for going into Thursday’s game.

1. Broncos running back rotation: Jaleel McLaughlin has been the team’s best running back in recent weeks, but he was ruled out with a quad injury on Wednesday. That will leave Javonte Williams and rookie Audric Estime as the next men up, and Denver will likely elevate Blake Watson from the practice squad. We could see Marvin Mims mix in at running back as well, something he did leading up to the team’s bye week.

2. Denver’s cornerback depth: Riley Moss (knee) has been ruled out again, marking the third game he has missed. Fortunately, Pat Surtain (ankle) was able to practice this week and he was not given an injury designation for Thursday. Kris Abrams-Draine will likely start across from Surtain with Ja’Quan McMillian playing in the slot and Damarri Mathis getting rotational snaps like last week. When these teams met earlier this season, Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert went 21-of-34 for 237 yards and a touchdown in a game that Surtain left with a concussion.

3. Broncos’ defense against Herbert and Co.: J.K. Dobbins rushed for 96 yards and a touchdown against the Broncos earlier this season, but he’s now on injured reserve. Denver pass rusher Nik Bonitto has scored a touchdown in each of the team’s last two games and he’s just one sack away from tying the NFL leader (Trey Hendrickson has 12.5 sacks). The Broncos, Chargers and Philadelphia Eagles have a three-way tie for the fewest points allowed per game (17.6), so Thursday night could be a defensive struggle.

4. Bo Nix bouncing back from three turnovers: Nix struggled against the Indianapolis Colts last week, throwing a career-high three interceptions. He had a bit of an in-game bounce back with three touchdown passes in a 31-13 win over Indy, but now Nix will have a fresh game to put those mistakes behind him. Nix will face an L.A. defense that allows the 10th-fewest passing yards per game (211.6), a unit that has totaled the seventh-most interceptions (14) and the eighth-most sacks (40) in the league this season.

5. Denver’s potential return to the postseason: The Broncos have already secured their first winning season since 2016. With one more win, Denver will clinch its first playoff berth since winning Super Bowl 50 following the 2015 season.

Thursday’s game will be available to stream on Prime. The Broncos are one win away from clinching a spot in the 2024 NFL playoffs.

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3 bold predictions for Chargers in Week 16 vs. Broncos

The Chargers run offense has been poor recently, which has forced them to use Justin Herbert’s arm more than usual.

The Chargers are coming off their worst performance of the season in Week 15. They’ll have to shake it off rather quickly, though, as they now turn to face the Broncos on Thursday night.

They are 8-6 after the loss to the Buccaneers and need a win to solidify their chances for the postseason. Here are a few bold predictions for the contest between the two AFC West rivals:

Justin Herbert reaches 35+ pass attempts

Herbert has reached this mark just three times this season. The offense has been unable to run the ball lately, with J.K. Dobbins out of the lineup. Don’t expect that to change this week, as the Broncos are the fifth-best run defense in the NFL by allowing just 98.6 rushing yards per game. With that, expect the Chargers to air it out in this one. In the first meeting between these two teams, Herbert threw the ball 34 times with Dobbins active.

Ladd McConkey reaches 100+ yards for fourth time this season

The rookie wideout has been the Chargers’ best playmaker all season. McConkey is tied for 16th in the NFL in receiving yards (873) despite his recent shoulder injury that forced him to miss a game. The Georgia product has 26 catches over his last four games, including two 100-yard performances. Broncos cornerback Pat Surtain II stays on the perimeter, allowing McConkey to feast on the inside in this contest.

Chargers defense snags 2+ interceptions

Broncos rookie QB Bo Nix has thrown five interceptions over the last two games, which included three against the Colts last weekend. His 11 on the year is tied for sixth most amongst quarterbacks. Meanwhile, the Chargers defense is tied for fourth in the NFL with 14 interceptions on the season. Thanks to Elijah Molden, the opportunistic secondary had one against Nix in the matchup earlier this season. With Nix being a bit overaggressive recently, expect Jesse Minter to dial up some pressure and try to force a few turnovers in this one.

How Week 15 loss affected Chargers place in NFL power rankings

After their loss on Sunday, the Chargers took a little bit of a slide.

The Chargers fell to 8-6 after losing to the Buccaneers last Sunday.

After Week 15, let’s see where Los Angeles stands in NFL power rankings:

USA Today: 16 (Previous: 12)

“After surrendering no more than 20 points in their first nine games, they’ve allowed at least 27 in three of the past five, including a forty-burger to the Bucs in Sunday’s loss.”

NFL: 13 (Previous: 9)

“Holding a 17-10 lead with just over five minutes left in the second quarter on Sunday, the Chargers fell on a Bucs fumble, and the game appeared to be tilting in their direction. From that point on, Tampa outscored L.A. 30-zip. The Bolts have had some unbelievably poor halves this season, but they absolutely crumbled after halftime in this one and were completely out of it midway through the fourth quarter. It was a hard fall for this team, which has now dropped three of the past four games and appears to be treading water — at best — even with a pretty darned good grasp on a playoff spot. A few weeks ago, the Chargers looked like the kind of first-round opponent no division winner wanted to face in the postseason. Now the defense has been humbled, and a flatlining Justin Herbert is dealing with a left ankle injury heading into a big game against Denver with seeding on the line.”

ESPN: 12 (Previous: 9)

Biggest improvement: Play-action offense

“Before the Chargers’ Week 5 bye, they used play-action just 25.4% of the time. And it wasn’t particularly effective, either, as quarterback Justin Herbert had a QBR of 40.1 on those plays. Some of this likely had to do with his high ankle sprain from Week 2. Still, since Week 6, they’ve run play-action 34.4% of the time and Herbert has a 61.1 QBR. He also averages 12.1 yards per completion and 7.7 yards per attempt on these plays in that span, which is higher than the first four weeks of the season.”

CBS Sports: 13 (Previous: 9)

“That was a horrible showing against the Bucs. They have lost two straight and now face a big Thursday game on the road against the Broncos.”

Sports Illustrated: 14 (Previous: 13)

“I have been accused of being a silver linings guy and that’s a disposition I’m happy to have been saddled with. So I’ll say this after the Chargers were totally boat-raced by the Buccaneers: this isn’t indicative of some developing issue, it’s merely the point in which Los Angeles’s current level of talent and health has met the realities of their situation. I think we can all agree that this team has looked and felt different than the cardiac Chargers of the past, but Jim Harbaugh was saddled with one of the worst rosters—QB removed—in the NFL and is counting on a lot of young talent.”

Bleacher Report: 13 (Previous: 10)

“Sometimes, statistics don’t tell the whole story about a team. Los Angeles came into Week 15 with the No. 1-ranked scoring defense, slowing down mediocre and below-average offenses, some of which were led by rookies. Whenever Los Angeles plays a high-scoring opponent, its defense looks more porous than stout. The Buccaneers dropped 40 points on the Chargers at SoFi Stadium, and it should leave you questioning whether this club can hang with playoff-caliber teams.”

Chargers injury report: Quentin Johnston estimated as non participant ahead of Week 16 vs. Broncos

Ahead of their Week 16 matchup against the Broncos, the Chargers released their first practice report.

Ahead of their Week 16 matchup against the Broncos, the Chargers released their first practice report of the week on Monday.

Los Angeles did not practice today, which means the report is simply an estimation of a player’s participation if they held a practice.

Tight end Will Dissly (shoulder), cornerback Cam Hart (concussion), wide receiver Quentin Johnston (ankle), defensive back Elijah Molden (knee), defensive tackle Otito Ogbonnia (pelvis) were estimated to be out of practice.

Cornerback Kristian Fulton (knee), quarterback Justin Herbert (ankle), and linebacker Denzel Perryman (groin) were estimated as limited participants.

Chargers PFF grades: Best, worst performers in Week 15 loss to Buccaneers

Spotlighting Pro Football Focus’ highest and lowest-graded Chargers players from the loss to the Buccaneers.

In Week 15, the Chargers were outmatched by the Buccaneers in their 40-17 loss.

Along the way, there were some standout performers and others who did not contribute as much.

Here are the best and worst performers from Sunday’s contest, according to Pro Football Focus’ player grades.

Top 5 Offense

OT Joe Alt — 75.1

WR Quentin Johnston — 73.2

OT Rashawn Slater — 69.6

QB Justin Herbert — 63.4

OL Jamaree Salyer — 63.3

Top 5 Defense

DT Poona Ford — 79.0

DT Teair Tart — 78.5

S Derwin James — 75.6

S Elijah Molden — 72.3

LB Junior Colson — 72.2

Bottom 5 Offense

RB Kimani Vidal — 45.9

WR Josh Palmer — 47.8

TE Eric Tomlinson — 49.9

TE Stone Smartt — 50.5

TE Tucker Fisk — 50.8

Bottom 5 Defense

CB Cam Hart — 26.0

LB Daiyan Henley — 35.7

EDGE Khalil Mack — 39.1

DT Otito Ogbonnia — 41.0

S Marcus Maye — 45.8

Chargers overwhelmed by Buccaneers: Instant analysis of Week 15 loss

Here’s our recap of the Chargers’ loss to the Buccaneers, who overwhelmed Los Angeles in every facet of this game.

The Chargers stood no chance against the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay won, 40-17. Los Angeles is now 8-6.

Here’s our recap of L.A.’s Week 15 loss.

It was over when…

Baker Mayfield connected with Mike Evans for a 35-yard touchdown to go up 30-17. There was no answer to the Buccaneers’ offensive dominance.

Notable number

Justin Herbert’s streak without an interception ended at 357 attempts. Herbert failed to become the first player in NFL history without an interception in 12 consecutive games within a single season.

3 stars of the game

  1. WR Ladd McConkey: 5 catches, 58 yards, touchdown
  2. WR Quentin Johnston: 5 catches, 45 yards, TD
  3. S Elijah Molden: 9 tackles, tackle for loss

Quick hits

  • The Chargers were outgained by nearly 300 yards. They only had 207 compared to the Buccaneers’ 505.
  • Los Angeles was 0-of-6 on third-down opportunities, while the Buccaneers were 9-of-15.
  • The Chargers allowed the Buccaneers to rush for 223 yards. Los Angeles only had 32 rushing yards.
  • The Chargers’ cornerbacks struggled to cover Mike Evans all game. Evans had nine catches for 159 yards and two touchdowns.
  • The Chargers’ second-half offensive struggles continued, as they failed to score a single point. On the other hand, the Buccaneers scored on five consecutive possessions and put up 27 points in the second half.
  • Baker Mayfield was kept upright for most of the game, as he was only hit three times. The same can’t be said about Justin Herbert, who was under duress for most of the game. Herbert was hit 13 times and sacked three times.
  • The Chargers defense held the Buccaneers to one score on four trips to the red zone.
  • Los Angeles forced two turnovers, an interception and a forced fumble.

What’s next?

The Chargers face the Broncos (9-5) in a crucial divisional matchup on Thursday night, Dec. 19, at 5:15 pm PT.

Chargers highlight: Quentin Johnston picks up 8th touchdown of the season

It’s shaping up to be a good Quentin Johnston week.

It’s shaping up to be a good Quentin Johnston week.

The second-year receiver has been much maligned by Chargers fans this season despite taking a step forward, leading LA with 7 receiving touchdowns on just 29 receptions coming into the week.

After Tarheeb Still intercepted Baker Mayfield to get the Chargers the ball back at the Bucs 27 in the second quarter, LA gained 7 yards twice in a row with a Gus Edwards run and a short throw to Stone Smartt. With first down at the 13, Justin Herbert dropped back to pass again, finding Johnston on a sit route near the sticks.

Johnston turned upfield and spun off a would-be tackler, diving into the end zone to give the Chargers a 17-10 lead. The score, Johnston’s eighth of the season, pulls him into a tie for fourth in the NFL in touchdown receptions this year.

Los Angeles immediately got the ball back again on a Buccaneers fumble, setting them up to extend the lead further in the second quarter.

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Chiefs TE Travis Kelce praises the Chargers Week 14 performance: ‘A lot of heart’

Kansas City #Chiefs TE Travis Kelce praises the Los Angeles #Chargers Week 14 performance: ‘A lot of heart’ | @EdEastonJr

The Kansas City Chiefs’ Week 14 victory over the Los Angeles Chargers will be best remembered for the thrilling game-winning field goal. All-Pro tight end Travis Kelce appreciated his opponent’s play more and saw potential future success for their starting quarterback.

On the latest episode of the New Heights podcast, Travis and Jason praised what they recognized from the Chargers on Sunday night.

“I think the Chargers a (f******) hell of a (good) football team,” Kelce said. (Jim) Harbaugh’s got those guys playing their tail off, with a lot of heart.”

Los Angeles is in its first season with new head coach Jim Harbaugh, who has earned a reputation for turning teams around at different levels to become winners. The good vibes extended to their quarterback, who has been one of the more efficient players in the league this season.

“You can’t tell me Justin Herbert isn’t one of the (f******) quarterbacks in the National Football League,” said Kelce, speaking highly of Herbert’s gutsy performance last Sunday night. The Chargers quarterback finished the game 21 of 30, passing for 213 yards and a touchdown.

Kansas City swept the season series this year over Los Angeles, but each game was close and could have gone either way.

“They got that thing figured out right now,” said Kelce. “They’re playing really, really good football right now, and they played us pretty tough both times we got them.”