In a women’s flyweight bout on the main card, Joanne Wood and Alexa Grasso meet Saturday at UFC on ESPN 33 at Nationwide Arena in Columbus, Ohio. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN 33 Wood vs. Grasso odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The fights can be viewed on ESPN/ESPN+ with the prelims starting at 4 p.m. ET and the main card starting at 7 p.m. ET.
Wood, formerly known as Joanne Calderwood, might be fighting to stick around in the UFC. She has lost back-to-back fights, including a first-round submission loss to Taila Santos in November. Wood is also just 4-6 across her last 10 UFC fights.
Grasso has posted consecutive unanimous-decision wins over Ji Yeon Kim (Aug. 2020) and Maycee Barber (Feb. 2021) after a majority-decision setback to Carla Esparza Sept. 21, 2019. Her last four fights, and nine of her last 10 professional bouts, have gone the distance.
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UFC on ESPN 33 Wood vs. Grasso: Odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Wood +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Grasso -270 (bet $270 to win $100)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -350 | No +230)
[tipico]
UFC on ESPN 33 Wood vs. Grasso: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Wood (15-7-0) | Grasso (13-3-0)
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
Neither of these fighters has been particularly good on the ground, so don’t worry about that aspect when trying to figure out a winner. Grasso has just one submission result in her pro career, losing to Tatiana Suarez in May 2018. Wood is 1-4 via submission in her career, all at the UFC level.
Instead, focus on GRASSO BY POINTS (-155). Wood’s fights have gone the distance when she’s not been tapped out. Five of her last seven bouts have needed the judges to figure out a winner, and she is 3-2 in those outings.
Grasso has had just one stoppage in her last 10 fights. It would be a shock if she didn’t go the distance.
Over/Under (O/U)
Yes (-350): Fight to go the distance will cost you three and a half times your potential return. There is just no value here.
AVOID, and focus on the method of victory instead.
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