In a welterweight bout on the main card, Li Jingliang meets Khamzat Chimaev Saturday at UFC 267 at Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. Below, we analyze the UFC 267 Jingliang vs. Chimaev odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The card can be viewed on ESPN+ with the prelims at 10:30 a.m. ET and the non-PPV main card at 2 p.m. ET.
Li heads into this fight on the heels of a first-round KO/TKO against Santiago Ponzinibbio, flattening the Argentine fighter with a nasty left hook in January. It was a nice rebound after a unanimous-decision loss to veteran Neil Magny at UFC 248.
Three of Li’s last four fights have resulted in KO/TKO victories, but the win over Ponzinibbio was his quickest since dropping Zak Ottow inside of three minutes Nov. 25, 2017.
Chimaev, a.k.a. “Borz”, is a perfect 9-for-9 so far in his pro MMA career, including 3-0 at the UFC level. Each of his three fights in the UFC have resulted in stoppages, including a pair of first-round KO/TKO wins. That includes a knockout of Gerald Meerschaert in just 17 seconds last time out at UFC Fight Night 178 Sept. 19, 2020.
UFC 267 Jingliang vs. Chimaev: Odds and lines
Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:25 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Jingliang +400 (bet $100 to win $400) | Chimaev -600 (bet $600 to win $100)
- Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -135 | Under -101)
- Will the fight go the distance? (OTB)
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UFC 267 Jingliang vs. Chimaev: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Jingliang (18-6-0) | Chimaev (9-0-0)
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
There is just no value playing Chimaev at -600. He’ll face his most stern test to date, and playing JINGLIANG (+400) is a much better play. He has knocked out three of his past four opponents and has won nine times via KO/TKO with no losses by the method across his 24 career bouts.
The only thing that worries me about Jingliang is he is giving up 3.5 inches in reach, while Chimaev holds a 9.03-to-4.52 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, so go lightly on Li.
Over/Under (O/U)
I believe this fight ends by way of KO/TKO, but I’m thinking it will not be quick, especially backing the challenger. OVER 1.5 ROUNDS (-135) is the value play here.
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