Detailed figures on Jimmy Garoppolo 3-year deal with Raiders

Break down of Jimmy Garoppolo 3-year deal with Raiders shows far more affordable than original reports

For some reason whenever a contract is announced, it is necessary to remind everyone to wait until the actual specific details come out. The first numbers that are released come from the agent and are always what the absolute maximum is.

For instance, Derek Carr’s deal with the Saints was said to be worthg $150 million! With $100 million guaranteed! When in reality, it’s only got $60 million in guarantees at signing and another $10 million kicks in in year two.

Coming to Las Vegas today to try and replace Carr with the Raiders is Jimmy Garoppolo. Initial numbers had his contract at $67.5 million over three years with $34 million guaranteed.

In and of itself, that deal is still half of the numbers we ultimately found out Carr’s deal was worth in New Orleans in terms of guaranteed money. And that’s *before* we found out what the *real* figures are.

Those figures have now come out.

In case you’re wondering what this means in terms of cap numbers, it means the Garoppolo will count a shade over $16 million against this year’s cap.

In terms of “fully” guaranteed money, it’s actually $22.5 million. Which means they could cut ties with him after one season with just $7.5 million in dead money.

Raiders to give QB Jimmy Garoppolo a three-year, $67.5 million deal. Grade: C

The Raiders have reunited Jimmy Garoppolo with Josh McDaniels on a 3-year, $67.5 million deal. The question is, why?

Jimmy Garoppolo has been reunited with Josh McDaniels, as the Las Vegas Raiders will give the veteran quarterback a three-year, $67.5 million contract with $34 million guaranteed, per ESPN’s Adam Schefter.

McDaniels, now the Raiders’ head coach, worked with Garoppolo as the New England Patriots’ offensive coordinator from 2014 through 2016 after the Patriots took Garoppolo in the second round of the 2014 draft out of East Illinois. Garoppolo completed 67% of his passes for 690 yards, five touchdowns, and no interceptions as Tom Brady’s backup, which set him up for the San Francisco 49ers to trade for him in October, 2017. The 49ers signed Garoppolo to a five-year, $137.5 million extension in 2019, and Garoppolo walked through just about all of that contract, for better or worse.

Garoppolo’s numbers with the 49ers look very good — a 67.6% completion rate over six seasons, with 82 touchdown passes, 42 interceptions, and a passer rating of 99.2. But Garoppolo never really lifted his team above its station — certainly not in the 49ers’ Super Bowl season of 2019, and not since. The 49ers had already moved beyond Garoppolo with the major trade that netted them Trey Lance, and the fact that Brock Purdy was able to lead that offense last year at a level Garoppolo really couldn’t last season after both Lance and Garoppolo were hurt says a lot.

There’s little doubt that McDaniels will get the most out of Garoppolo, but what does that really mean? And is Garoppolo even better than Derek Carr, who McDaniels was so eager to jettison after one season? This low grade is not about how great Jimmy Garoppolo is or isn’t, and more about the Raiders’ plan. They have Garoppolo on a relatively lowball deal, which is nice, but a bridge quarterback with a bad defense isn’t a recipe for postseason success.

It might be the end of the Jimmy Garoppolo era in San Francisco, and that’s okay

The relationship between the 49ers and Jimmy Garoppolo might come to an end after the 2020 season. Doug Farrar points out why that’s okay.

The Eagles might dispute this, but has any NFL team been snake-bit by injuries more than the 49ers in 2020? Edge-rushers Nick Bosa and Dee Ford, cornerback Richard Sherman, center Weston Richburg, safety Jimmie Ward… the list goes on and on. After San Francisco’s 37-27 loss to the Seahawks on Sunday, it was announced that both tight end George Kittle and quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo would miss serious time — Kittle with a foot injury, and Garoppolo with an ankle issue he’s been dealing with most of the season.

Garoppolo might make it back for the last couple of games of the 49ers’ season, but when it comes time for the 2021 league year, and the attendant accounting thereof, he’ll be the epicenter of a major decision. Per OverTheCap.com, when the fourth year of Garoppolo’s five-year, $137.5 million contract, he’ll have a cap number of $26.9 million — the 11th-highest in the league — but just $2.8 million in dead money if he’s cut. .

Over his nearly four seasons in San Francisco, Garoppolo’s injuries and limitations have prevented him from becoming the franchise quarterback head coach Kyle Shanahan and general manager John Lynch clearly thought they were getting. He’s started just 33 games, including the postseason, with the 49ers, and while he ranks 10th in Adjusted Net Yards per Pass Attempt from 2017 through 2020 at 6.98, he’s tied with Josh Allen with a 46-touchdown, 26-interception ratio. Allen was drafted in 2018, and it wasn’t until 2020 that the light went on. Garoppolo’s touchdown rate of 5.2% ranks 11th among all starting quarterbacks through that time frame, but his interception rate of 2.94% is the eighth-worst of that particular era.

Moreover, and this is especially true when a quarterback has a head coach and offensive play-designer of Shanahan’s quality, Garoppolo has not come close to maximizing his opportunities in San Francisco’s offense. Coaches will say all kinds of things about how much they believe in their players, but you’ll know how they really feel when you see what happens on the field. In the 2019 postseason, Garoppolo attempted just 58 passes, completing 37, for 427 yards, two touchdowns, and three interceptions. He has seven touchdowns and five interceptions this season, which was the same total he had in his first season with the 49ers, and a lot of the problems he had in 2017 are the same problems he has now.

All you have to do to limit Garoppolo’s effectiveness is to mush-rush the edges so it’s harder for him to boot outside, and muddy the middle reads so he has to think beyond his capabilities. In football parlance, Garoppolo is not, and has never been a comfortable “Middle of the Field Closed” (MOFC) thrower. If things don’t make sense to him over the middle, bad things are going to happen. This interception by Patriots safety Devin McCourty in Week 7 is a perfect example.

Pre-snap, the Patriots showed a Cover-0 look — a man-based blitz concept with no deep safety. But McCourty dropped to the deep third, safety Terrence Brooks worked to rob the middle, and Garoppolo threw behind Kittle for an easy pick. You see this a lot from Garoppolo and other rudimentary quarterbacks — they throw late, and throw their receivers closed — because their processing speed does not match the speed of the game.

This is not to say that Jimmy Garoppolo is an awful quarterback. But he has never been transcendent, and when you’re talking cap hits of this magnitude, and missed opportunities on offense with the best offensive play-caller in the NFL, and it’s impossible to think that the 49ers couldn’t do better. And given the money involved, it’s nearly impossible to think that they haven’t already thought that.