The Miami Dolphins (2-3) host the New York Jets (0-5) in an AFC East battle Sunday. Kickoff at Hard Rock Stadium is slated for 4:05 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Jets-Dolphins Week 6 betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and best bets.
Jets at Dolphins betting odds and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 11:50 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Jets +320 (bet $100, win $320) | Dolphins -400 (bet $400, win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Jets +8.5 (-110) | Dolphins -8.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 46.5 (O: -115, U: -106)
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Jets at Dolphins game notes
- Jets QB Sam Darnold, who missed last week’s 30-10 loss to the Arizona Cardinals, has been ruled out for the game at Miami due to a shoulder injury. QB Joe Flacco (18-for-33 last week) stands in for a second straight game.
- The Dolphins have scored 97 points over their last three games. QB Ryan Fitzpatrick threw for 350 yards and three touchdowns against the San Francisco 49ers last week. He had a similar line (288 yards, 3 TDs) in last year’s 26-18 home win against the Jets.
- Miami scored 30 first-half points in its Week 5 win at San Francisco. The Dolphins scored 21 in the first half in their other victory this season (Sept. 24 at the Jacksonville Jaguars).
- The Jets’ 176.0 passing yards per game ranks last in the NFL. New York’s AFC entry has averaged under 5.0 net yards per attempt in each of its last three games.
- New York’s woeful start has actually come alongside a plus-2 in the turnover department.
Jets at Dolphins key injuries
Jets
- OT Mekhi Becton (shoulder) questionable
- QB Sam Darnold (shoulder) out
- DL Quinnen Williams (hamstring) probable
- WR Breshad Perriman (ankle) questionable
Dolphins
- DT Davon Godchaux (bicep) out
- LB Kyle Van Noy (groin) questionable
- LB Shaq Lawson (shoulder) questionable
Jets at Dolphins: Odds, betting lines, picks and prediction
Prediction
Dolphins 34, Jets 14
Money line (?)
PASS on the straight-win action. Take advantage of less juice and what is solid leverage on a Miami side against the spread.
Against the spread (?)
The Miami offense is trending in the right direction. The Dolphins rank in the league’s top-10 in most drive-efficiency metrics. Their pass protection for Fitzpatrick and overall ability to stay ahead of schedule hides some inadequacies in run blocking and coming up with key short-yardage pickups when needed. To that end, the team they’ll see in the trenches Sunday afternoon may well tilt some rushing numbers back into a more positive light.
The Jets are 0-3-1 over their last four trips to Miami. The Dolphins are 5-2 against the spread over their last seven games. Look for the DOLPHINS -8.5 (-110) to cover and win by at least 9 points, and run that trend to 6-2.
Over/Under (?)
The Over is 5-1 over Miami’s last six games against teams with losing records and 5-1 in the team’s last half-dozen contests at home. The total here has come down since being market-launched at 50. It’s ripe to take the high side in a game in which the Dolphins can stretch out and be dominant in most phases. Back the OVER 46.5 (-115).
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Also see:
- With little NFL practice time, Jets won’t rush Denzel Mims after injury (Jets Wire)
- How can the Dolphins improve their running game in 2020? (Dolphins Wire)
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