In a women’s strawweight bout on the main card, Jessica Andrade and Yan Xiaonan meet Saturday at UFC 288 at Prudential Center in Newark, N.J. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC 288: Andrade vs. Yan odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The early prelims are on ESPN+ at 6:30 p.m. ET, with prelims on ESPN/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. ET. The main card can be viewed on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m. ET.
Andrade is likely hungry to get back in to the octagon after a shocking Round 2 submission loss to Erin Blanchfield last time out in the main event in mid-February on a fight night card. “Bate Estaca” is just 4-4 across the past 8 bouts, although she had won 3 in a row prior to the Blanchfield setback.
In addition, Andrade has had just a single fight go the distance in the past 6, and 8 stoppages across the previous 10 bouts.
Yan slapped the brakes on a 2-bout losing skid with a majority-decision win over Mackenzie Dern last time out in the main event of a fight night card in early October. Since arriving at the UFC level, Yan has ended up going the distance in 8 of her 9 fights.
Andrade holds a 6.84-to-5.45 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, and she is much more accurate, too, at 57.20% to just 49.54% for Yan. Andrade is also more likely to record a takedown, posting a 2.64-to-0.87 takedown average margin, although Yan is more accurate in the category.
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UFC 288: Andrade vs. Yan odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:05 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Andrade -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Yan +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
- Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -300 | Under +210)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -135 | No +100)
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UFC 288: Andrade vs. Yan picks and predictions
Records: Andrade (24-10-0) | Yan (16-3-0)
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
Look for Andrade (-185) to get well against Yan (+150) in his main card offering, although I’m not willing to risk nearly 2 times my potential return. My personal limit for a standalone wager is -180, and this is just a little too pricey for my liking.
Instead, PASS on the 2-way line, and look to the method of victory instead. ANDRADE ON POINTS (+200) for a chance to double up is much more appealing.
Over/Under (O/U)
Take YES: FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE (-135), as Yan has had 8 of her 9 bouts at the UFC level decided by the judges, with only a KO/TKO against Carla Esparza as the lone stoppage on May 22, 2021.
There is risk here, however, as Andrade has had the judges involved just once in the past 6 outings, so proceed with caution and go lightly.
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