Jazz Mavericks odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Utah Jazz (29-40) are on the road Thursday to face the Dallas Mavericks (40-29). Tip-off is at 8:30 p.m. ET at American Airlines Center. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Jazz vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Jazz have lost 3 straight games and are 3-14 in their last 17 games. They played Wednesday night to kick off a 3-game road trip, losing 119-107 to the Oklahoma City Thunder but covering the 15.5-point spread as underdogs. They are 12th in the West, 7.5 games behind Golden State for the final play-in berth.

The Mavericks have won 2 in a row and 6 of 7. They are currently 7th in the West, half a game out of the sixth seed, a guaranteed spot in the playoffs rather than having to be part of the play-in games. They beat the San Antonio Spurs 113-107 on the road Tuesday, failing to cover as 9-point favorites.

Jazz at Mavericks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:21 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Jazz +675 (bet $100 to win $675) | Mavericks -1100 (bet $1,100 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Jazz +14.5 (-115) | Mavericks -14.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 237.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Jazz at Mavericks key injuries

Jazz (estimated, not yet submitted)

G Jordan Clarkson (groin) questionable
F Lauri Markkanen (quad) questionable

Mavericks

G Josh Green (ankle) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Jazz at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 123, Jazz 107

Moneyline

The Jazz, who only have 3 wins in their last 17 games, are just 9-25 on the road this season and have lost 8 straight road games. Meanwhile, the Mavs have won 6 of their last 7 overall and 7 of their last 9 games at home.

The Jazz did blow out the Mavs in Salt Lake City 127-90 on Jan. 1 when they were 4.5-point underdogs, but the have not beaten the Mavs in Dallas since 2020.

But betting the Mavs isn’t a good wager at -1100. You don’t make enough money to make it worth your time.

PASS.

Against the spread

The Jazz covered the 15.5-point spread in their loss on Wednesday, but failed to cover the spread in their previous 4 losses. They are 15-19 ATS on the road this season.

The Mavs are 17-19 ATS at home this season and, before failing to cover the spread in their win over the Spurs on Tuesday, were 6-0 ATS in their previous 6 games.

But they will remember the blowout loss in January.

BET MAVERICKS -14.5 (-105).

Over/Under

Both meetings this season were blowouts. The 1st game, a 147-97 Mavs win, had a total of 244, while the Jazz’ win in January had 217 total points.

Only 1 of the last 9 meetings has surpassed 237 total points.

The Jazz have scored 107 or fewer points in 4 of their last 5 games while the Mavs’ high in scoring in their last 4 games is 119 points.

BET UNDER 237.5 (-110).

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Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Utah Jazz (6-2) square off against the Dallas Mavericks (3-3) on Wednesday at the American Airlines Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Jazz vs. Mavericks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Jazz continue to be 1 of the most surprising teams in the NBA and they are currently on a 2-game winning streak, with both wins over the Memphis Grizzlies. Utah is likely ecstatic with the early production they’ve gotten from F Lauri Markkanen as he’s averaging 22.6 points, 9.3 rebounds, 2.9 assists, and 1 block per game on 50.7% shooting from the field.

The Mavericks secured a 114-105 victory over the Orlando Magic on Sunday as they pushed as 9-point favorites at home. There’s no doubt that G Luka Doncic is firmly in the MVP race as he’s posting 36.7 points, 9.5 rebounds, 8.7 assists, and 1.7 steals per game on 50.3% shooting from the field.

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Jazz at Mavericks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:26 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Jazz +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Mavericks -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Jazz +6 (-112) | Mavericks -6 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 221.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Jazz at Mavericks key injuries

Jazz

G Leandro Bolmaro (health & safety protocols) out
F Simone Fontecchio (health & safety protocols) out

Mavericks

F Davis Bertans (knee) out
G Frank Ntilikina (ankle) out
F Christian Wood (non-COVID illness) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Jazz at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 115, Jazz 107

Moneyline

With the Mavericks favored at home, just AVOID the moneyline in this game. The current odds for Dallas to win aren’t worth taking straight up as Utah has shown they can compete with some of the best teams in the NBA.

Against the spread

MAVERICKS -6 (-112) is where I’m leaning as the Jazz have to slow down at some point, right? Doncic is almost guaranteed to post a near triple-double every night, Dallas just needs some of its role players to step up to cover the spread.

The Jazz are 1-10 ATS in the last 11 meetings against the Mavericks and they are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Dallas.

Over/Under

The Mavericks own the best offensive rating while the Jazz have the 15th-best offensive rating in the NBA thus far. With the success these offenses have had to begin the season, OVER 221.5 (-112) is an enticing bet in this game.

The Mavericks have hit the Over in 5 straight games this season.

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Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks Game 5 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks Game 5 lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 5 seed Utah Jazz (2-2) returns to the Big D Monday after evening their Western Conference first-round series with the No. 4 seed Dallas Mavericks (2-2). Tip-off at American Airlines Center is set for 9:30 p.m. ET and airs on TNT. Below, we look at the Jazz vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Utah tied the series in Game 4 by beating Dallas 100-99 thanks to a Jazz SG Donovan Mitchell-to-C Rudy Gobert alley-oop dunk with seconds remaining to key the victory.

Game 4 was Mavericks All-Star PG Luka Doncic‘s first game in this series after returning from a calf injury. He scored 30 points on 52.4% shooting (4-for-10 from behind the arc) with 10 rebounds.

Jazz at Mavericks odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Jazz +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Mavericks -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
Against the spread: Jazz +3.5 (-110) | Mavericks -3.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 212.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Jazz at Mavericks key injuries

Jazz

None

Mavericks

None

[tipico]

Jazz at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 111, Jazz 103

Money line

LEAN MAVERICKS (-160) because I’m confident enough in them to lay the points but wouldn’t hate a Dallas ML wager.

The Mavs are 4-1 straight up (SU) and ATS in their last five home games versus the Jazz dating back to last season including these playoffs. Utah’s lone victory in Dallas over that span was Game 1 of this series when the Mavs were playing without Luka.

The main reason the Jazz won Game 4 was their plus-19 free-throw attempt differential, which will most likely regress now that the series is back in Dallas.

Both teams are top 10 in net efficiency and top 10 in defensive efficiency. However, Dallas has a winning record and plus-ATS margin versus top-10 teams and defenses while Utah has a losing record and minus-ATS margin in those spots, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

It’s only a LEAN to the MAVERICKS (-160) because I’d rather bet their cheaper spread but Dallas will put Utah’s back against the wall with Game 5 victory.

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Against the spread

BET the MAVERICKS -3.5 (-110) for 1 unit based on the previous analysis and because this is a much more profitable spot for Dallas.

The Mavs are 8-4 ATS as 3-to-4.5-point favorites and 27-15 ATS versus teams with a winning record while the Jazz are 10-26-2 ATS versus winning teams. On top of that, Utah’s lone ATS win over Dallas was in Game 1 of this series and by only a half-point.

The MAVERICKS LAYING THE POINTS is my favorite bet in this game unless their ML falls to -140 or lower, at which point I’d take Dallas to win SU.

Over/Under

PASS because the Over has been steamed up by a sharp line move but Jazz-Mavericks is the second-slowest series in the first round and fewer possessions generally mean fewer points unless both teams are shooting well.

Furthermore, Dallas is 5-1 O/U in the last 6 games as a favorite but the Under has cashed in five of the last seven Jazz-Mavericks meetings.

I cannot call it either way so PASS.

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Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks Game 2 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks Game 2 and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (0-1) host the Utah Jazz (1-0) for Game 2 in their Western Conference first-round playoff series. Monday’s tip-off at the American Airlines Center is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (NBATV). Below, we look at the Jazz vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Utah beat a Luka Doncic-less Dallas 99-93 in Game 1 Saturday, barely covering as 5.5-point road favorites and the Under easily cashed on a 208.5-point total. These teams split the four quarters and the “four factors”.

Jazz All-Star SG Donovan Mitchell rallied from a slow start in Game 1 to score 30 of his game-high 32 points after halftime, sinking 10 of his 11 second-half free-throw attempts.

Jazz at Mavericks odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:24 p.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Jazz -220 (bet $220 to win $100) | Mavericks +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
Against the spread: Jazz -5.5 (-107) | Mavericks +5.5 (-115)
Over/Under: 205.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Jazz at Mavericks key injuries

Jazz

None

Mavericks

PG Luka Doncic (calf) doubtful

[tipico]

Jazz at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

Jazz 106, Mavericks 103

Money line

Slight LEAN to the MAVERICKS (+175), if at all, because I like them to cover the spread and Dallas could have won Game 1 by making a few more free throws or finishing off a couple of defensive possessions with rebounding.

Furthermore, the Jazz (-220) have suspect ball security and a bad defensive free-throw attempt rate. The Mavs had half the turnovers of the Jazz in Game 1 and their dribble penetration should result in a bunch of visits to the foul line.

However, it’s tough to get behind Dallas here since Luka probably won’t play in Game 2 and Utah has the second-, third- and fourth-best players in this series otherwise.

The prediction is an honest projection of the score.

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Against the spread

BET the MAVERICKS +5.5 (-115) because their ATS loss Saturday was a bad beat, the Jazz -5.5 (-107) looked disjointed on offense and this is a Pros vs. Joe’s game in the betting market.

SF Bojan Bogdanović carried Utah early, scoring 20 of its 45 first-half points, and Mitchell took over in the second half. Otherwise, the Jazz struggled to get clean looks and didn’t utilize their size advantage since C Rudy Gobert attempted just 1 field goal and got all 5 of his points at the foul line.

However, Gobert’s defense kept Utah in this game and the Mavs ball-handlers were getting into the paint at will, but couldn’t finish because of his presence. If the Mavs get the same dribble penetration in Game 2 then Dallas could get Gobert into foul trouble and/or collapse Utah’s perimeter defense.

Also, according to Pregame.com, more than three-fourths of the cash is on the Mavs but roughly 60% of the bets placed are on the Jazz.

Since professional bettors put up more dough than your average Joe, the cash column is considered the sharp side of the market.

BET the MAVERICKS +5.5 (-115).

Over/Under

PASS because I don’t have a strong enough grasp of the total here. Part of me thinks Game 2 ping pongs Over the total since Game 1 went Under by 16.5 points.

But, Jazz-Mavericks are 2-6 O/U in their last 8 meetings, Utah is 1-11 O/U in the last 12 games as road favorites and Dallas is missing the center of its offensive gameplan.

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Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Utah Jazz (45-29) seek to end a 3-game losing skid as they play the fifth of a 6-game road trip, facing the Dallas Mavericks (45-29) Sunday. Tip-off is 7:30 p.m. ET at American Airlines Center. Below, we look at the Jazz vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Jazz and Mavericks both are battling for seeding in the Western Conference playoffs. The outcome of this game could determine who gets the No. 4 seed and home-court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. As things now stand, they would face each other in the first round.

The Jazz have lost 3 straight games and are 7-7 straight up (SU) in their last 14 games.

The Mavericks have dropped 3 of their last 5 games and are coming off a 116-95 road loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves.

Jazz at Mavericks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:27 p.m. ET.

Money line: Jazz -117 (bet $117 to win $100) | Mavericks -103 (bet $103 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Jazz -1.5 (-105) | Mavericks +1.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 213.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

Jazz at Mavericks key injuries

Jazz

C Udoka Azubuike (ankle) out
F Bojan Bogdanovic (calf) out
F Danuel House Jr. (knee) out
C Hassan Whiteside (foot) questionable

Mavericks

F Davis Bertans (knee) probable
G Sterling Brown (health and safety protocols) out
G Trey Burke (illness) questionable
G Tim Hardaway Jr (foot) out

[tipico]

Jazz at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 111, Jazz 106

Money line

The Jazz have been average on the road this season at 19-18 SU. The home team has won six straight meetings in the Mavericks-Jazz head-to-head series.

The Mavericks are 25-12 SU at home and have won 5 of their last 6 home games.

Both teams have their best players available. I LEAN MAVERICKS (-103).

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Against the spread

The Jazz have struggled ATS this season. They are 31-40-3 ATS overall and 15-21-1 ATS on the road.

Meanwhile, the Mavericks are 40-33-1 ATS on the season and 20-17 ATS at home.

The Jazz are 4-5-1 ATS in their last 10 games. They have failed to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5 road games.

The Mavs are 5-5 ATS in their last 10.

The winner of each game this season between the two teams has done so by at least four points.

Again, I LEAN MAVERICKS +1.5 (-120).

Over/Under

Tonight’s projected total is relatively low considering the total of the three previous matchups. Those games finished with totals of 236, 223 and 214 points.

Using their season averages for scoring, the two teams combine for an average of 220.1 points per game.

Take OVER 214.5 (-110).

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Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Utah Jazz at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (39-25) host the Utah Jazz (40-23) Monday at American Airlines Center for an 8:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Jazz vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

This is Utah’s final of a five-game road swing. The Jazz are 3-1 straight up (SU) and 1-3 against the spread (ATS) through the first four outings with the latest being a 116-103 beatdown of the Thunder Sunday in Oklahoma City.

Dallas enters on a four-game win streak (2-1-1 ATS), which includes two victories over the Golden State Warriors and a 114-113 victory over the Sacramento Kings Saturday without All-Star G Luka Doncic.

The Jazz are 2-0 SU versus the Mavs but 0-2 ATS in their two regular-season meetings so far and both games went Over the total.

Utah did a good job defending Luka Feb. 25, holding him to 23 points on 44.6% true shooting (.333/.333/1.000) with a minus-22 net rating.

Jazz at Mavericks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:10 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Jazz +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Mavericks -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
Against the spread: Jazz +1.5 (-110) | Mavericks -1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 217.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

Jazz at Mavericks key injuries

Jazz (not officially submitted)

None

Mavericks

PG Jalen Brunson (foot) questionable
PG Luka Doncic (toe) probable
PF Maxi Kleber (ankle) questionable

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Jazz at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Jazz 113, Mavericks 105

Money line

“LEAN” to the JAZZ (+100) since I prefer their spread because Utah is playing its third game in the last four nights.

The Jazz have much higher effective field goal shooting and rebounds per game differentials and do a better job working the officials than the Mavericks. Utah is second in offensive FT/FGA rate and first in defensive.

Dallas also struggles down the stretch in close games and Utah is a little more efficient versus quality opponents.

The Mavs have a minus-14.7 net rating in the “clutch” (ranked 26th). “Clutch” is defined by games within a 5-point margin inside of five minutes to play.

The Jazz have a plus-3.1 adjusted net rating versus teams in the top-10 of net efficiency (ranked third), according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

On top of that, communication and team defense is the best way to defend Luka and these are two areas in which Utah obviously excels. The Mavs are just 2-6 SU versus the Jazz in games Luka is active for and Luka has a career minus-9 net rating against Utah.

I prefer Utah’s spread but, either way, the JAZZ (+100) are the right side despite their possible fatigue at the end of this road trip.

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Against the spread

The JAZZ PLUS THE POINTS is my favorite wager in this contest based on all the previous analyses.

There could be some additional value on the Jazz here since they have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games.

Since big Rudy Gobert returned from injury the Jazz are 5-2 SU and are just 14th in net rating over that span mostly due to a 34-point shellacking Utah took at the hands of the New Orleans Pelicans Friday.

Otherwise, the JAZZ +1.5 (-110) are getting back into form.

Over/Under

PASS because the Under 217.5 (-108) is the only way I’d bet the total but my Jazz-Mavericks prediction is still above the projected total.

However, there could be fewer visits to the foul line since the officiating crew assigned to this game has a combined 49-69 O/U record.

Also, Utah is 4-5 O/U in the second of a back-to-back and 14-16-1 O/U on the road. While Dallas is 7-15-1 O/U as a home favorite and 5-7-1 O/U with a rest advantage.

That said, I prefer the Utah sides more so than the total, which is beneath my buy-price.

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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