Jazz Hawks odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Utah Jazz at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Utah Jazz at Atlanta Hawks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Hawks (7-3) welcome the Utah Jazz (9-3) to State Farm Arena on Wednesday. Tip is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Jazz vs. Hawks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Jazz sit atop the Western Conference and are 1 of 5 teams in the conference with just 3 losses. They have won 3 straight, all coming by at least 8 points.

Utah was supposed to be a rebuilding team, but a resurgence by F Lauri Markkanen, who is averaging 21.9 points per game, has stabilized the franchise. Six players average double figures.

The Hawks, on the other hand, tried their best to build a contender this offseason by adding G Dejounte Murray. He and G Trae Young combine to average 50.5 points per game. They are among the NBA’s best backcourts.

Atlanta has won 3 straight and handed the Milwaukee Bucks 1st first loss of the season as well. Atlanta is 4-1 at home.

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Jazz at Hawks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 10:09 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Jazz +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Hawks -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Jazz +3.5 (-110) | Hawks -3.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 227.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Jazz at Hawks key injuries

Jazz

None

Hawks

G Bogdan Bogdanovic (knee) out
G Trae Young (shin) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Jazz at Hawks picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 118, Jazz 112

Moneyline

PASS.

The Hawks have been solid at home and have the length to slow down Utah. I wouldn’t play them at -155 though.

Against the spread

LEAN HAWKS -3.5 (-110).

Atlanta is 5-5 ATS this season and 3-2 ATS as the home team.

Last season, it was 25-19 ATS as the home team so it has had success at State Farm Arena. The Hawks also have the length in F John Collins and F De’Andre Hunter to limit the Jazz’s open looks.

Utah has players outperforming expectations and on the road it should eventually regress. I’d back the Hawks as they have proven to be a solid home play over the last year.

Over/Under

BET OVER 227.5 (-108).

These teams rank No. 1 (Jazz) and No. 2 (Hawks) in offensive rating. With G Jordan Clarkson scoring at a high level and Young also a microwave-type scorer, there will be a lot of difficult shot-making abilities on display.

While neither team necessarily plays at a high pace, the Jazz do sit 5th in offensive rebounding, and the Hawks have the league’s lowest turnover rate, both of which help to get more shots up and points scored.

Atlanta is 4-2 O/U as a favorite this season. With it 26th in defensive rating, the Jazz should be able to get open looks. Utah isn’t an elite defensive team either.

Back the Over 227.5 (-108).

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Utah Jazz at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Utah Jazz at Atlanta Hawks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Utah Jazz (6-1) travel to the “Big Peach” Thursday for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off with the Atlanta Hawks (4-4) at State Farm Arena. Below, we look at the Jazz vs. Hawks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Utah rallied back from a first-half deficit in its last game to beat the Sacramento Kings 119-113 Tuesday. However, the Jazz failed to cover as 9.5-point home favorites. Utah is 5-2 against the spread (ATS) and 2-5 Over/Under (O/U).

Atlanta has lost three of its last four games including 117-108 at the Brooklyn Nets Wednesday as a 4.5-point underdog. Atlanta ranks 20th or worse in defensive efficiency and effective field goal shooting (eFG%) and is 3-5 ATS and 4-4 O/U.

The Jazz hammered the Hawks by 20-plus points in both regular-season meetings last year. Utah guard Donovan Mitchell balled in both games and the Jazz shut down Atlanta’s Trae Young in his one appearance against Utah.

Jazz at Hawks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:45 p.m. ET.

Money line: Jazz -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Hawks +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
Against the spread (ATS): Jazz -2.5 (-110) | Hawks +2.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 219.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Jazz at Hawks key injuries

Jazz

C Hassan Whiteside (ankle) probable
SG Donovan Mitchell (ankle) questionable
PF Royce O’Neal (ankle) questionable
PF Rudy Gay (heel) out

Hawks

C Onyeka Okongwu (shoulder) out
PF John Collins (foot) questionable

Jazz at Hawks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Jazz 106, Hawks 98

Money line

“LEAN” to the JAZZ (-140) because at the moment we don’t know who’s suiting up for Utah Thursday. If Mitchell is out there, then I’d upgrade the Jazz’s money line to a “like”, but if he misses the game it becomes a pass.

However, Utah has the second-best net rating in the Association and clubbed Atlanta twice last season. So not only are the Jazz more locked-in currently, but Utah also matches up really well against Atlanta.

Against the spread

PASS because I can only “lean” towards Utah’s money line and won’t lay it with the Jazz -2.5 (-110).

For what it’s worth, there’s been a “sharp line move” to Utah. This game opened at a pick ’em but the Jazz have been steamed up by the market to a favorite.

Over/Under

TAKE the UNDER 219.5 (-108) for 1 unit as my best bet in the Jazz-Hawks game for several reasons.

First of all, there’s a “line freeze” in the betting market as more than 90% of the cash is on the Over but the total hasn’t budged from the opener according to Pregame.com at the time of writing.

The Hawks are 21st in eFG% and 23rd in offensive FT/FGA while the Jazz are first in defensive eFG% and defensive FT/FGA. There’s a good chance Utah stifles Atlanta.

Conversely, the Jazz attempt the most off-the-dribble 3-pointers but the Hawks have the best defensive efficiency vs. off-the-dribble 3-pointers (according to ShotQuality.com). Plus Atlanta big Clint Capela is an elite rim protector that’s going to make it difficult for Utah to execute lobs to Gobert.

Atlanta plays at the 26th-fastest pace in the NBA and has the sixth-best turnover rate whereas Utah has the worst defensive turnover rate. So the Hawks will be able to run their inefficient offense.

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Utah Jazz at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Thursday’s Utah Jazz at Atlanta Hawks NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Utah Jazz (16-5) stop by State Farm Arena Thursday for a 7:30 p.m. ET game against the Atlanta Hawks (10-11). Below, we analyze the Jazz-Hawks NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The Jazz rebounded after a loss to the Denver Nuggets Sunday snapped their 11-game win streak. They beat the Detroit Pistons 117-105 Tuesday but missed the cover by a half-point. Over its last 10 games, Utah is second in net rating, rebounding percentage and true shooting percentage.

Atlanta lost its second straight game Wednesday night to the Dallas Mavericks 122-116 as 2-point home underdogs. The Hawks are 5-5 straight up but 6-4 against the spread over their last 10 games but aside from the Mavs, the other four losses were against teams with above-.500 records.

Utah is 3-1 vs. Atlanta since the Hawks selected PG Trae Young in the 2018 NBA Draft, and won both meetings last season, but is 2-2 ATS in those games.

Jazz at Hawks: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

Money line: Jazz -350 (bet $350 to win $100) | Hawks +275 (bet $100 to win $275)
Against the spread/ATS: Jazz -7.5 (-120) | Hawks +7.5 (+100)
Over/Under: 225.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Jazz at Hawks: Key injuries

Jazz

None affecting the betting odds.

Hawks

C Onyeka Okongwu (Achilles) probable
SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (knee) out
SF De’Andre Hunter (knee) out

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Jazz at Hawks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Jazz 117, Hawks 103

Money line (ML)

PASS since I like the Jazz but no way I’d lay -350 on their money line.

Against the spread (ATS)

There are a few reasons why I’m on the JAZZ -7.5 (-120) in this spot.

First, the Hawks thrive at the charity stripe, leading the league in FTA/FGA rate and Young—who has attempted the most free throws in the NBA—is a big part of that.

However, Utah has the second-best defensive FTA/FGA rate and Young has struggled against the Jazz thus far in his career. He is averaging 21.3 points on .333/.310/.759% shooting with a 98 offensive rating in four career games vs. Utah.

Second, Atlanta has been a bad bet when playing with no rest. The Hawks have the lowest cover percentage and worst ATS margin in the second of a back-to-back since the beginning of last season.

Lastly, the Jazz have the highest offensive rebounding percentage in the Association whereas the Hawks give up the third-most offensive rebounds per game.

TAKE JAZZ -7.5 (-120) for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

If I’m going to take a big ATS favorite to cover, I generally lean to the Under because typically the game is essentially decided early in the fourth quarter. Also, it has been profitable fading the public misconception of Atlanta being a high-octane offense.

The regular fan sees Young’s 30-plus foot bombs but maybe hasn’t noticed Atlanta is 24th in effective field-goal percentage and has a 6-15 O/U record.

I lean UNDER 225.5 (-110) for a quarter-unit.

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Also see:

Rookie Wire Power Rankings: Immanuel Quickley floats to the top spot (Rookie Wire)
Hoops Hype rumors: Jazz | Hawks

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