Utah Jazz at Milwaukee Bucks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Utah Jazz at Milwaukee Bucks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Utah Jazz (17-14) battle the Milwaukee Bucks (20-8) at Fiserv Forum Saturday. Tip from Milwaukee is set for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Jazz vs. Bucks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Jazz beat the New Orleans Pelicans 132-129 in overtime Thursday, covering as a 1-point home underdog. With the against-the-spread (ATS) win, Utah pushed its record to 18-13 ATS. The Jazz have now covered 3 straight games and are 6-4 ATS over their last 10.

The Bucks were thrashed 142-101 by the Memphis Grizzlies Thursday, falling well short of covering as 3-point road underdogs. Milwaukee’s ATS record is 15-11-2 and it is 4-4-2 ATS over its last 10. Milwaukee’s strength is defense as it allows 4th fewest points per game in the NBA (108.8).

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Jazz at Bucks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Jazz +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Bucks -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Jazz +4.5 (-115) | Bucks -4.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 229.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Jazz at Bucks key injuries

Jazz

  • G Collin Sexton (hamstring) out

Bucks

  • F Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) questionable
  • G Jrue Holiday (non-Covid illness) probable
  • G Khris Middleton (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Jazz at Bucks picks and predictions

Prediction

Bucks 114, Jazz 112

Moneyline

PASS.

I like the Jazz (+150) to cover but am not confident enough to play them straight up. Look to the points for value.

Against the spread

BET JAZZ +4.5 (-115).

The Jazz continue to shock NBA fans and are one of the best ATS teams in the league, covering their last 3 outings.

They’ve done that by their highly efficient offense, ranking 2nd in points per game (117.9), 9th in field goal percentage (47.6%) and 7th in three-point percentage (37.0%).

They also have elite 3-point defense, ranking 3rd in opponents’ three-point shooting (33.7%). The Jazz are 9-6 ATS on the road as well, one of just 11 teams with a road-covering record better than .500.

With the Bucks’ 2nd-best offensive option injured and their 2 other stars both showing up on the injury report, I would be hesitant to back them here. BET JAZZ +4.5 (-115).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 229.5 (-105).

The combination of Sexton and Middleton being out should hurt the offensive firepower in this game.

The Bucks are just 13-15 O/U this season and have gone Under in 4 of their last 7 games. The Jazz have gone Under in 3 of their last 4 contests and 4 of their last 6.

Considering both teams rank top 10 in opponents’ three-point shooting, the volume scoring could be limited. With the trends in mind, back the UNDER 229.5 (-105).

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Utah Jazz at Milwaukee Bucks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Utah Jazz at Milwaukee Bucks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Utah Jazz (4-1) heads to the “Cream City” Sunday to play the Milwaukee Bucks (3-3) for a 7 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Jazz vs. Bucks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Utah had its four-game winning streak snapped Friday after losing to the Chicago Bulls 107-99 as 3.5-point road favorites. The Jazz have the highest net rating in the West, the best defensive effective field goal shooting (eFG%) and are 4-1 against the spread (ATS) this season.

Milwaukee has lost back-to-back home games to the Minnesota Timberwolves Wednesday (113-108 as 6-point favorites) and to the San Antonio Spurs Friday (102-93 as 7-point favorites). The banged-up Bucks are 17th in net rating, 3-3 ATS and play at the fastest pace in the Association.

The Jazz are 4-1 overall and ATS in their last five meetings with the Bucks, which includes winning last year’s regular-season series, 2-0.

Jazz at Bucks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:45 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Jazz -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Bucks +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Jazz -2.5 (-110) | Bucks +2.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 224.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Jazz at Bucks key injuries

Jazz

  • PG Mike Conley (knee) questionable
  • PF Rudy Gay (heel) out

Bucks

  • PG Jrue Holiday (ankle) doubtful
  • Brook Lopez (back) doubtful
  • SG Donte DiVincenzo (ankle) out

Jazz at Bucks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Bucks 116, Jazz 112

Money line

Even though the basketball data supports the Jazz (-135), I’m going to take the BUCKS (+135) as a home underdog.

Simply put, Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton won’t allow the Bucks to lose three straight at home. Especially against another title-contending squad.

While Utah has owned Milwaukee in their recent meetings, Giannis and Middleton have played well in those contests.

In fact, Giannis is averaging 36.0 points per game (PPG) on 61.0% true shooting with 12.5 rebounds (RPG) and 5.0 assists per game (APG) in the last four Jazz-Bucks meetings. Middleton is averaging 23.6 PPG on 48.0% 3-point shooting with 7.8 RPG.

Also, this feels like a buy-low spot for the Bucks. For instance, according to Pregame.com, nearly 60% of the action is on the Jazz and oddsmakers have moved this game from a pick ’em on the opener to Utah laying 2.5 points.

Finally, we are getting Milwaukee at a cheap price because of cluster injuries to its starting 5. But, if Conley cannot play Sunday then Utah’s health edge is significantly reduced. The Bucks get forward Bobby Portis back, supposedly, and the Jazz are still without backup forward Rudy Gay.

It’s more of a “LEAN” pending Conley’s final game status otherwise I’m on the BUCKS (+135).

Against the spread

Definitely BET the BUCKS +2.5 (-110) heavier than or instead of Milwaukee’s money line since it does provide a little insurance for what’s a coin-flip game most likely.

Furthermore, since money is coming in on the Jazz, let’s wait until closer to tip-off to see if the Bucks’ spread goes to 3 or higher. If Conley plays then the Jazz will definitely get more expensive.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 224.5 (-108) since the Bucks play at the fastest pace and the Jazz have the highest 3-point volume in the league.

On top of that, this is a “Pros vs. Joe’s” game with the presumed sharp side of the market backing the Over whereas the public is betting on the Under.

Since I can explain this discrepancy in the market, I’m comfortable placing a SMALL WAGER on the OVER 224.5 (-108).

The “wiseguys” see Milwaukee’s pace (more possessions) and Utah’s 3-point volume (more points) as the path to the Over. The public sees how Conley’s absence influenced Utah’s offense Saturday and the cluster injuries for the Bucks. Both make a good point, so it’s only a “LEAN”.

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Utah Jazz at Milwaukee Bucks odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s Utah Jazz at Milwaukee Bucks NBA betting odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Utah Jazz (4-4) are in Cream City Friday to play the Milwaukee Bucks (5-3) at Fiserv Forum at 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Jazz-Bucks NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

This is Utah’s fourth game of a seven-game road trip. The Jazz lost back-to-back games, straight up and against the spread, in New York coming into Friday. First, to the Brooklyn Nets 130-96 Jan. 5 and then to the New York Knicks 112-100 Wednesday.

Milwaukee swept the Detroit Pistons in a two-game set as part of a three-game winning streak. The Bucks covered in two of those wins but they were all at home and the other win against an unproven Chicago Bulls team. Despite the three early losses, Milwaukee is well on its way to being the Eastern Conference’s 1-seed again this season; the Bucks lead the NBA in net rating and true shooting percentage.

The Jazz and Bucks split their two-game season series last year but Utah covered the spread in both meetings. Jazz (+2.5) won 103-100 in Utah and the Bucks (-9) won 122-118 in Milwaukee. The Over/Under has alternated in the past five Jazz-Bucks meetings with the latest going Over the total.

Jazz at Bucks: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Jazz +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Bucks -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Jazz +4.5 (-105) | Bucks -4.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 231.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Jazz at Bucks: Key Injuries

Jazz

  • C Derrick Favors (knee) probable
  • SF Joe Ingles (Achilles) questionable

Bucks

  • SG Pat Connaughton (groin) out
  • SF Torrey Craig (nose) out

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Jazz at Bucks: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Bucks 121, Jazz 112

Money line (ML)

PASS ON THE MONEY LINE since I like the Bucks in this game but they are too expensive to bet outright.

Against the spread (ATS)

Giannis Antetokounmpo has dominated the Jazz in recent years, scoring 30 or more points in six of seven meetings including a 50 Burger with 14 rebounds and 6 assists in the last Jazz-Bucks game.

The Bucks are just 3-4 in their last seven games vs. the Jazz but this current Utah team has struggled defensively and is turning the ball over. Utah is 18th in defensive rating, 29th in opponent’s 3-point percentage and 22nd in offensive turnover percentage. Also, there isn’t a lot of ball movement in Utah’s offense at the moment as the Jazz rank 28th in assists per game.

We can count on an MVP-type performance out of Giannis and Milwaukee having the highest offensive rating in the NBA gives me confidence we get a barrage of Bucks’ points. BET BUCKS -4.5 (-115) for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

TAKE OVER 231.5 (-110) for 1 unit because the Bucks have put up at least 114 points in their last three home games vs. the Jazz and Utah’s mediocre defense isn’t much of a match against Milwaukee in its current form.

Each team chucks threes—the Bucks shoot the fourth-most threes per game and the Jazz fifth—but Milwaukee is 22nd in 3-pointers allowed per game so Utah will get its looks. The Jazz have four players that can get hot from deep so I’m expecting some points to be scored in Jazz-Bucks.

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