In a light heavyweight bout in the main event, Jan Blachowicz and Magomed Ankalaev meet Saturday at UFC 282 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The early prelims begin at 6:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+, with the prelims set to begin at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN2/ESPN+ and the main card starting at 10 p.m. ET on Pay-Per-View (PPV).
Blachowicz bounced back after losing his strap to Glover Teixeira in Oct. 2021 with a 3rd-round KO/TKO win over Aleksandar Rakic in May. Just 1 of his past 5 fights has gone the distance.
Blachowicz steps into the octagon with a 3.55 significant strikes landed per minute rate while posting a 53.33% takedown accuracy percentage.
Ankalaev will be looking to avoid the canvas. He has a 1-inch height advantage in his one, but he gives up 3 inches in the reach department.
The Team Gorets veteran has won 9 straight fights at the UFC level since losing to Paul Craig via submission in his debut in March 2018. He knocked out Anthony Smith at UFC 277 in his most recent showing in July, although his 3 previous fights went the distance.
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UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev odds
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:08 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Blachowicz +265 (bet $100 to win $265) | Ankalaev -340 (bet $340 to win $100)
- Over/Under: 3.5 rounds (Over -120 | Under -113)
- Fight to go the distance: Yes (+140) | No (-200)
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UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev picks and predictions
Records: Blachowicz (29-9-0) | Ankalaev (18-1-0)
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
BLACHOWICZ (+265) has been a belt holder before, and he wants to get there again. I think he is able to pull off the shocker in the main event, using a 3-inch reach advantage to keep Ankalaev at a distance, picking and choosing his spots to go for the big blow.
He will frustrate Ankalaev in this one, handing him his first setback since March 17, 2018.
I don’t think Blachowicz will be able to get the finish, however, and he’ll be looking to wow the judges and win on points. BLACHOWICZ ON POINTS (+670) is worth a roll of the dice, however unlikely it seems.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 3.5 ROUNDS (-120) is a solid value. Blachowicz is a proud veteran looking to get another title shot. I think he has the experience to make this a very long evening for Ankalaev and slow the Russian’s upward trajectory inside the light heavyweight division.
Three of Ankalaev’s past four fights have gone to the judges’ scorecards, and this one will be no different.
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