New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Islanders (11-8-0) and Toronto Maple Leafs (10-5-4) meet Monday at Scotiabank Arena. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Islanders vs. Maple Leafs odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Islanders have dropped the past 2 games at the Dallas Stars and Nashville Predators, allowing 5 goals in each setback. New York looks for the bounce-back here, trying to even its record at 2-2 on the 4-game road trip.

The Maple Leafs spanked the Buffalo Sabres Saturday night by a 5-2 count, moving to 3-0-1 across the past 4 games overall. The Leafs’ defense and goalie situation has been improved lately, allowing just 2.3 goals per game (GPG) during the 4-game span.

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Islanders at Maple Leafs odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Islanders +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Maple Leafs -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Islanders +1.5 (-160) | Maple Leafs -1.5 (+130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: +105 | U: -125)

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Islanders at Maple Leafs projected goalies

Ilya Sorokin (7-5-0, 2.41 GAA, .925 SV%, 1 SO) vs. Matt Murray (2-1-1, 2.76 GAA, .913 SV%)

Sorokin coughed up 5 goals on 31 shots in his most recent showing Thursday in Nashville. He had conceded 3 or fewer goals in each of his prior 7 starts and 8 appearances dating back to Oct. 22.

The 28-year-old Murray has picked up his play since returning from a month-long injury, going 2-0-1 with a 2.34 GAA and .933 SV% in 3 November starts. He was stellar Saturday against the Sabres, turning aside 32 of 34 shots.

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Islanders at Maple Leafs picks and predictions

Prediction

Maple Leafs 4, Islanders 2

Moneyline

The MAPLE LEAFS (-180) are right at my personal limit for a moneyline play, but Toronto is totally worth it.

Toronto has been playing with a lot of confidence lately, and it has won 4 straight meetings in this series, all as the favorite. New York last won in this series on Nov. 13, 2019.

Puck line/Against the spread

The MAPLE LEAFS -1.5 (+130) are worth a roll of the dice on the puck line. Not only has Toronto won the past 4 in this series, but it has outscored New York by a 13-3 count during the span, including a pair of shutouts. Toronto has covered the puck line as the favorite in each of the wins during the 4-game streak.

Over/Under

UNDER 6.5 (-125) is worth a look Monday.

The Under is 3-0-1 in the past 4 meetings in this series while going 4-1 in New York’s past 5 meetings against Atlantic Division foes.

The Under is 9-3 in the past 12 home games for the Leafs, while going 8-1 in the previous 9 against teams with a winning record, too.

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