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The Kansas City Chiefs battle the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl LVII. Kickoff from State Farm Stadium is set for Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s odds for Chiefs RB Isiah Pacheco’s Super Bowl prop bets, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Chiefs beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 27-20 in the Divisional Round and the Cincinnati Bengals 23-20 in the AFC Championship Game. They ended the regular-season with a 14-3 record and the No. 1 seed in the AFC. They were 7-2 on the road this season.
The Eagles were the top seed in the NFC. They took down the New York Giants 38-7 in the Divisional Round and the San Francisco 49ers 31-7 in the NFC title game. They were 7-1 away from Lincoln Financial Field this season.
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Isiah Pacheco 2023 Super Bowl prop bets
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 3:16 p.m. ET.
Rushing yards: OVER 48.5 (-115)
The Eagles have a strong defensive line and a strong secondary. What they haven’t done well this season is stop opposing running backs. The Eagles ranked 24th in opponents’ rushing yards per carry (4.6).
Pacheco has topped this total in 9 of the Chiefs’ last 11 games. The Chiefs should want to keep this ball on the ground and give Pacheco the opportunity to make late-down plays easier.
TAKE OVER 48.5 (-115).
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Rushing attempts: OVER 11.5 (-105)
Pacheco has topped this in 1 of the 2 Chiefs’ postseason games and has topped this in 8 of 13 games he has started.
The Eagles allow 25.8 rushing attempts per game, and although the Chiefs rank No. 1 in passing yards per game (297.8), they should try to make things easier on themselves given the Eagles’ defensive strength. Pacheco should see heavy involvement.
TAKE OVER 11.5 (-105).
Receiving yards: OVER 16.5 (-115)
The Eagles should have the same strategy that every other NFL team tried against Kansas City — limit TE Travis Kelce. If they’re successful in doing so, it should open up the lane for running back Pacheco to get more involved in the pass-catching game.
The Eagles’ league-best defensive line should help dump-off passes and screens be a larger part of the Chiefs’ game plan. Pacheco has topped this total in 3 of his last 5 games.
I’d be stunned if he’s not involved in Kansas City’s pass-catching game.
TAKE OVER 16.5 (-115).
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Receptions: OVER 1.5 (-190)
Pacheco has seen at least 2 targets in 5 of the Chiefs’ last 8 games as well. The Chiefs back has on the field for at least 20% of their snaps in 12 straight games, and his involvement has been paramount to their success.
The Eagles pressing line should make getting Pacheco more involved an easy possibility.
TAKE OVER 1.5 (-190).
Touchdown(s)
- Anytime (+140) | 2+: (+875) | 3+: (+5000)
Pacheco has scored 2 times in his last 7 games. While I expect a heavy dose of the rookie, he may not be the one that consistently finds the end zone with the ball likely going to be in Mahomes’ hands in those moments.
Pacheco has just 5 rushing and receiving touchdowns this season. Ultimately, pass on any touchdown props for the back.
AVOID.
Rushing yards
- 40+: (-215) | 50+: (-110) | 60+: (+160) | 70+: (+260)
- 80+: (+450) | +90: (+650) | 100+: (+950)
There’s value at 70+ (+260) at plus-money. I’m even willing to make a small wager on 80+ (+450).
Since we’re already backing OVER 48.5 RUSHING YARDS (-115), there’s no need to double down on this prop.
More 2023 Super Bowl coverage
- Odds, picks and predictions for the big game
- QB props: Patrick Mahomes | Jalen Hurts
- Cheat sheet: Picks and predictions galore
If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.
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