Two Pac-12 NBA draft prospects are projected to be top-five picks in 2024

You already know #USC’s Isaiah Collier is one of the two #Pac12 players in the top 5. @BuffaloesWire knows the other one.

Travis Branham of 247Sports did not waste any time after the end of the 2023 NBA draft. He sized up dozens of prospects and came up with a way-too-early 2024 NBA draft big board.

Cody Williams, the five-star recruit who will play for the Colorado Buffaloes this season, is at No. 5 overall. Is he the only Pac-12 player with a top-five projection one year before the 2024 draft?

Nope. USC’s Isaiah Collier, the Trojans’ best player and the No. 1-ranked recruit in college basketball, comes in at No. 4 on Branham’s big board. When was the last time you could say that two Pac-12 prospects were both in the top five of NBA draft projections? (Hint: It happened in the past decade, so the length of time is much smaller than you might have originally thought.)

There is a lot of Pac-12 talent on the NBA draft big board. It points to the possibility that this upcoming Pac-12 season could be really special, at USC and elsewhere.

[lawrence-auto-related count=1 tag=696092282]

USC’s Isaiah Collier is a projected top-5 pick in 2024 NBA draft

Bronny James will give #USC hoops nationwide publicity, but we remind you again: Isaiah Collier is the Trojans’ best player.

The 2023 NBA draft is officially over, but it’s never too early to start looking at the 2024 class.

The USC Trojans have two players who will constantly be discussed as first-round draft picks: Isaiah Collier and Bronny James. All eyes will be on them this coming season.

Travis Branham of 247Sports dropped a way-too-early 2024 NBA draft big board. Isaiah Collier landed at No. 4. Here’s what Branham mentioned about the Trojans’ incoming five-star guard:

“Isaiah Collier is a 6-foot-2 point guard with a strong build, ready to make an impact on day one at USC. He has a tremendous feel and IQ for the game to go with elite vision and dynamic passing ability. Collier is an elite playmaker that can see a play before it happens as the game moves at a slower pace than many of his peers. He is also a top tier competitor that brings it every single time he steps on the floor. The one area in his game that has long held him back is his jumper,” Branham wrote.

Collier’s main task will be to get to the rim and force defenses to pack the paint. This will create great 3-point looks for Boogie Ellis and Bronny James on the wings. Boogie and Bronny will get so many wide-open jumpers this season. If they shoot a reasonably high percentage, USC’s offense will be very hard to stop. Keep in mind that even if Boogie and Bronny miss, Vince Iwuchukwu will be there to rebound the ball and put it back for a dunk or layup.

[lawrence-auto-related count=1 tag=696092289]

USC athletics: where the stars want to play

National media interest in #USC — not just football, but basketball — will create a remarkable atmosphere the next 10 months.

USC athletics has enjoyed significant growth and improvement in football since Lincoln Riley arrived, but an upward trajectory has spread to men’s and women’s basketball.

Of course this is still a football school, and of course football matters most to every USC fan, as it should, but the Trojans are entering rare territory within the larger history of their athletic department.

When was the last time USC entered a new college sports cycle in late August with this much excitement and publicity surrounding all three revenue sports: football, men’s basketball, and women’s basketball? Let’s put this exciting time for USC athletics into perspective, savoring the relevance USC has attained and is continuing to build in prominent sports thanks to the arrival of Bronny James, joining Juju Watkins, Caleb Williams, Lincoln Riley, Isaiah Collier, and other bright lights in Los Angeles?

National media figures are more interested in USC. Media podcasts, such as the Last Word On Sports podcast, have talked to us at Trojans Wire. It’s such a new and exciting time.

Let’s give you a taste of the newer, bigger appetite for USC sports across the country:

The big key for USC basketball: not Bronny James himself, but how he teams up with Isaiah Collier

Bronny James does add a lot of value and quality to #USC, but it’s less about himself individually, and more about being a great teammate for Isaiah Collier.

There is so much to love about Bronny James coming to USC to play college basketball, but every college basketball fan needs to be very clear about one thing: Bronny is not the leader of this team. That’s not a criticism, just a reality. USC fans and national college hoops fans all need to know that Bronny James — a really good player by every estimation — is not the best player on the 2023-2024 USC roster. It’s No. 1 recruit Isaiah Collier. That is USC’s best player.

What’s great about Bronny James being on this USC team is that he could be a great teammate for Isaiah Collier, and — for that matter — Boogie Ellis as well. Let’s explore this particular topic with help from Adam Finklestein of 247Sports, who wrote a really good analytical piece about the Bronny-Collier tandem.

USC buzz as Pac-12 title favorite grows with the arrival of Bronny James

Isaiah Collier is the main reason #USC can dream about winning its first #Pac12 hoops title since 1985, but Bronny James adds a big, new piece to the puzzle.

The last time USC men’s basketball won the Pac-12 championship, the Pac-12 did not exist. The 1985 Pac-10 season marked the rise of USC under then-coach Stan Morrison. Nearly 40 years later, USC is still searching for its next conference championship on the hardwood. The year 1985 was a time when the USC women’s basketball program was enjoying its dynastic period under future icon Cheryl Miller. The Trojans won multiple national championships in the mid-1980s and were a regular Final Four team. Men’s basketball is still waiting for that next conference crown, and for its first Final Four trip since 1954.

Just how serious a contender is USC in the 2024 Pac-12, the last season of Pac-12 basketball for the program before its move to the Big Ten? Let’s take an early look. Some national commentators, as you will quickly find out, are already buying in. Bronny James is part of this, but it’s also about the roster Bronny James is joining at USC:

Bronny James gives USC basketball instant name recognition, but he’s not the Trojans’ best player

Everyone knows who Bronny James is, and to be sure, that’s valuable for #USC. Let’s be clear, though: Isaiah Collier is USC’s best player. There’s no debate.

Casual sports fans — in and beyond Los Angeles — are going to pay attention to USC men’s basketball now that Bronny James is a Trojan. That’s great for the USC basketball brand. The Trojans are finally going to taste a sample of what UCLA basketball has normally enjoyed as a matter of course for decades since the John Wooden years: preferred status as the popular men’s college basketball program in Los Angeles. For one season, USC will be the hotter ticket than UCLA, at least at the start of the campaign.

USC hoops will be the media-magnet program. It’s great for publicity, and it gives the Trojans and Andy Enfield a chance to build their brand and reach whole new levels of national relevance.

Bronny James is giving USC that opportunity because of his name, his family, and most centrally, his father.

However: While Bronny is putting USC squarely in the national headlines and making USC hoops popular with casual sports fans, let’s be very clear about a few things connected to USC basketball and next season’s roster. Bronny is the most recognizable player on this USC team, but he isn’t the best player. Let’s start there and then continue our conversation:

USC’s run of elite recruiting has one superstar left to go: Bronny James

Isaiah Collier, No. 1 MBB recruit. Juju Watkins, No. 1 WBB recruit. Bear Alexander, No. 1 portal prospect. Can #USC land Bronny now?

It has been a remarkable college sports cycle for USC athletics in its revenue sports. The Trojans put both basketball teams in the NCAA Tournament and reached a New Year’s Six bowl in football, something done by only two other schools in this cycle: Alabama and Tennessee.

USC recruited the top-ranked prospects in men’s and women’s basketball, landing Isaiah Collier and JuJu Watkins. It retained Boogie Ellis for one more season. It just landed the top-ranked (spring) transfer portal prospect, Bear Alexander. We’re waiting to see if the Trojans can close the door and land Bronny James, who — though not the No. 1 prospect on the board — would carry value beyond recruiting rankings. Bronny choosing USC would make Trojan basketball much more of a destination program for other recruits. USC becoming “the place to be” for basketball, not just football, is exactly how Andy Enfield can build the Trojans into a Final Four-level program, a team which can expect to contend for college basketball’s biggest prizes. Let’s say more about this below:

What an Isaiah Collier-Boogie Ellis substitution pattern might look like at USC

Here’s how Andy Enfield can play Collier and Boogie for big minutes, not overwork them, and have them together most of the time.

Given the decision by Boogie Ellis to return to USC, the Trojans and their fans are naturally excited about the prospect of having Boogie and Isaiah Collier together on the floor. That’s going to be a knockout combination. However, one of the specific advantages of having two elite guards is that Andy Enfield can stagger them. This is true regardless of whether Bronny James joins the Trojans. If Bronny joins, that’s great, and USC will have a plan to juggle the three guards. However, if Bronny goes to Oregon or Ohio State, USC can still make great use of a Collier-Boogie backcourt.

Let’s look at how Enfield can use Collier and Boogie specifically, excluding Bronny from the equation.

Obviously, Enfield will want to have these two electric players together in crunch time. That will put maximum pressure on opposing defenses. Crucially, it will be very hard for defenses to double-team or trap either player, since doing that will free up the other.

Michigan State sent waves of bodies at Boogie Ellis in the NCAA Tournament. USC didn’t have another elite ballhandler to counter that move. Collier is that counter next season. Naturally, having those two in a closing lineup makes complete sense.

The staggers, then, will happen in the early and middle stages of games.

How can Enfield play these guys close to 30 minutes per game but not overextend them (33-35 minutes) and still have them on the floor together in crunch time? Let’s map it out.

You know that there are media timeouts at the first dead ball following the 16, 12, 8, and 4-minute marks of each half. That’s eight media timeouts per game.

Obviously, if either Collier or Boogie is on fire, there’s no point in taking him out of the game. This shouldn’t be an overly strict plan where rotations and substitution patterns are rigid. If one is cooking, let him continue to cook, and then sub him out later after he cools down. If he never really cools down and he winds up playing 35 minutes, that’s fine. Just sit him a few more minutes the next game, especially if that game is a Saturday game following a Thursday game. Give more minutes to the other backcourt player in such a situation to keep the two fresh over the course of the full season, thereby giving them a full tank for the NCAA Tournament.

In the absence of special circumstances, though, the media timeout structure would enable Enfield to do something like this:

  • Have both players start the game on the floor together. Sub out one of the two between the first two media timeouts (under-16 and under-12), near the 14-minute mark. If a player leaves near the 14-minute mark, he misses two live game minutes but is able to rest during the under-12 media timeout, thereby getting several minutes of real-time rest.
  • Sub out the other player at the under-12 media timeout. This gives the player multiple minutes of real-time rest plus the next few minutes after the under-12 timeout.
  • Bring back the first player between the under-12 and under-8 media timeouts, near the 10-minute mark. That player will have missed four live-game (scoreboard clock) minutes and received close to 10 minutes of real-time rest.
  • Bring back the second player at the under-8 media timeout. That player will also have missed roughly four live-game minutes, but by resting during both the under-12 and under-8 media timeouts, that player will get close to 12 or 13 minutes of real-time rest.
  • Give the first player a rest between the under-8 and under-4 media timeouts, near the 6-minute mark. Then bring that player back at the under-4 media timeout. That player will wind up missing six live-game minutes, meaning he will have played close to 14 minutes in the first half. If this substitution pattern is replicated in the second half, that player will wind up playing 28 minutes in a game. If one eliminates the two-minute sub-out late in the half, that player could play 30 minutes in a game.
  • Give the second player a one-minute rest after the under-4 media timeout in the first half, while the other player comes back in. This extends that player’s real-time rest. Reinsert that player with 2:30 to 3:00 left in the half. If this substitution/rest pattern is replicated in the second half, that player will play close to 30 minutes in a game.

Let’s map this out numerically.

Boogie Ellis minutes by half: Play from minutes 20-14, sub out at 14, return at 10 minutes, sub out at 6 minutes, return at 4 minutes, play until halftime/end of game. 14 minutes per half, 28 per game.

Isaiah Collier minutes by half: Play from minutes 20-12, sub out at 12, return at 8, sub out at 4, return at 3, play until halftime/end of game. 15 minutes per half, 30 per game.

Naturally, if a game is closer or especially important, Collier would come back at the under-4 media timeout in the second half. He wouldn’t miss that crucial minute late in the second half, so he would then play 31 minutes instead of 30. Similarly, Boogie might get a smaller rest late in a second half. Instead of sitting from the 6-minute mark all the way until the under-4 media timeout in the second half, he might sit for just one minute and come back with nearly five minutes left. He would play 29 minutes instead of 28.

All sorts of small alterations and tweaks could exist. The larger roadmap, however, is clear: Enfield would have both players together in the first four and last three minutes of each half, and in the last four minutes of each game, while not pushing them for 33-35 minutes every night. One of the two would be on the court at all times.

This is a sustainable long-term plan which would keep both players fresh throughout the season and yet have at least one of them guiding the team every minute of every game. Does that excite you as a USC hoops fan?

It certainly should.

[mm-video type=video id=01gxnh9qvxe2jzpyrtbq playlist_id=none player_id=01f5k5y2jb3twsvdg4 image=https://images2.minutemediacdn.com/image/upload/video/thumbnail/mmplus/01gxnh9qvxe2jzpyrtbq/01gxnh9qvxe2jzpyrtbq-91a512ee55db30a983d3d04886d3636e.jpg]

[lawrence-auto-related count=1 tag=696091895]

Why the Boogie Ellis decision doesn’t mean Bronny James will reject USC

Bronny won’t come to #USC to play 20 minutes per game, but even with Boogie and Isaiah Collier, he can still play close to 30.

The decision of Boogie Ellis to return to USC for the 2024 college basketball season has elicited a lot of thoughts, as you might expect. One such thought is, “Now that USC has Boogie, it really doesn’t need Bronny James.” A related thought: “Bronny will look at Oregon or Ohio State, since he won’t get enough playing time with the Trojans.”

Those are reasonable, logical lines of thought, but one should not assume that Bronny James can’t fit on next season’s USC roster as a central player who logs nearly 30 minutes per game. It can certainly happen.

With Isaiah Collier and Boogie on the roster, it’s true that Bronny — in the event that he chooses USC — would come off the bench at the start of the season, and maybe throughout the whole season. It could be that Bronny would rebel against being a sixth man with the Trojans. That’s certainly possible.

However, he could very realistically play close to 30 minutes per game and get the amount of playing time he thinks he needs and deserves in order to develop his game.

Yes, we would not see Collier, Boogie and Bronny as a trio on the floor at the same time. If you’re thinking that lineup combination is going to exist for more than 10-12 minutes per game, you need to adjust your expectations.

However, if Bronny does pick USC, you are very likely to see Andy Enfield put at least two of those three players on the floor at the same time for a whole game, and that’s where the Trojans can give Bronny enough minutes.

It’s simple math: Two guards playing 40 minutes apiece equals 80 minutes per game. If you put a third guard into the mix, three players sharing 80 minutes works out to 26.7 minutes per game if distributed equally.

Getting 27 minutes per game is not an especially heavy workload, but it isn’t light, either. It’s not “peripheral role player” playing time. It’s significant run, but it also means that over the course of the full season, a player is not going to be overextended. Guys will stay fresh. If a game goes into overtime, they will have plenty left in the tank. On the second game of a road trip (the Saturday game after a Thursday game), players will have ample energy.

Of course Bronny James won’t come to USC if he gets just 18 to 20 minutes per game … and Andy Enfield can pretty easily make sure Bronny will play over 25 minutes per game.

Given how much Bronny has seen his father, LeBron James, deal with load management in recent years with the Los Angeles Lakers, the idea of playing managed minutes — but still more than 60 percent of every game — shouldn’t be a turn-off for him.

[mm-video type=video id=01gx3p671encce3kbqjw playlist_id=none player_id=01f5k5y2jb3twsvdg4 image=https://images2.minutemediacdn.com/image/upload/video/thumbnail/mmplus/01gx3p671encce3kbqjw/01gx3p671encce3kbqjw-25660ab9f4ac39c181dc5db72a18dd7b.jpg]

[lawrence-auto-related count=1 tag=696090230]

Juju Watkins, Isaiah Collier had amazingly similar weeks for USC basketball

Juju Watkins and Isaiah Collier made parallel journeys in their national showcase games. The news is great for #USC.

Juju Watkins and Isaiah Collier have a lot in common. They are both No. 1-ranked recruits. They’re both entering the USC basketball program this year. They are both in a position to significantly increase and elevate the national profile of USC hoops.

They created more similarities and parallels at the McDonalds All-American Game on Tuesday.

Collier showed why he is the No. 1 men’s basketball recruit in the nation, scoring a game-high 25 points on 9-for-14 shooting and knocking down two of his four attempts from 3-point range, a main weakness in his game. He drew lots of fouls, collected three rebounds, had two assists, and showed his two-way prowess with two steals and a blocked shot.

Juju Watkins was presented with the Naismith Player of the Year Award at Sierra Canyon High School in Brentwood (Calif.). She also won state and national Gatorade Player of The Year honors.

Watkins, just like Collier, delivered a 25-point performance in the women’s version of the McDonald’s All-American Game in Houston on Tuesday night. Like Collier, Watkins was a co-MVP of the game.

It’s such an exciting time to be a fan of USC basketball. If these two players continue to live — and play — up to the hype they have generated, the Trojans will have highly-seeded teams at next year’s NCAA Tournaments, men and women alike.

[mm-video type=video id=01gwq92nnywbgkjzpnaf playlist_id=none player_id=01f5k5y2jb3twsvdg4 image=https://images2.minutemediacdn.com/image/upload/video/thumbnail/mmplus/01gwq92nnywbgkjzpnaf/01gwq92nnywbgkjzpnaf-56f6911d16b0fd81f33abb41d1706eba.jpg]

[lawrence-auto-related count=1 tag=696091895]