Iowa vs Wisconsin Prediction, Game Preview

Iowa vs Wisconsin prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines, and why each team might – or might not – win this Saturday.

Iowa vs Wisconsin prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 30


Iowa vs Wisconsin How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 30
Game Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Camp Randall Stadium, Madison, WI
How To Watch: ESPN
Record: Iowa (6-1), Wisconsin (4-3)
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Iowa vs Wisconsin Game Preview


Why Iowa Will Win

As you’re reading this, Wisconsin probably just turned the ball over.

It’s insane how bad a program that’s been built on being so good at doing everything right has become so consistently awful when it comes to giveaways.

It’s not that past Badger teams were perfect, but when there were turnovers, they usually came in a total meltdown – more often than not against Northwestern.

It’s become a steady stream of bad, giving it up 17 times this year in seven games, 28 times in the last 12 games, and going back to the middle of 2019, the program has turned it over 45 times in 22 games for an average of just over two giveaways per game.

Turnovers can usually be overcome if they’re the cost of doing business – if you have a high-powered offense that scores in bunches, no big deal. But the Wisconsin offense has all but abandoned the idea of a successful downfield throw.

By the way, the Iowa defense is pretty good at the whole takeaway thing with 16 in six games before the loss to Purdue, and Penn State – with 107 yards – is the only team to rush for over 100 yards on this bunch.

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Why Wisconsin Will Win

As you’re reading this, the Iowa offensive line probably just gave up another tackle for loss.

For all of the love and affection given to the Hawkeye line – especially future NFL star C Tyler Linberbaum – it’s not all that great at blocking.

When it came to plays behind the line, the Purdue, Penn State, and Maryland defensive lines wore the Hawkeye front five as a hat.

Iowa’s Big Ten-worst offense was exposed by Purdue – the points dried up fast without any takeaways – and it’s not like things are about to get a whole lot better in Madison.

Wisconsin is No. 1 in the nation against the run – and that’s with a win over Army and another against an Illinois offense that cranked out two 300-yard rushing days in two of its last three games.

The Badgers are No. 2 in total defense behind Georgia, it’s tenth in passing yards allowed, and just assume eight tackles for loss and go from there.

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What’s Going To Happen

But the takeaways …

Iowa is rested, is should be a whole lot fresher than it looked and played against Purdue, and it’s about to come up with at least three takeaways against a Badger offense that’ll give them away like fun-size Kit Kats.

It’s not like the Iowa O will produce much of anything – set the total yards over/under at about 240 – but it’ll capitalize on the Badger mistakes just like Penn State, Michigan, and Notre Dame did.

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Iowa vs Wisconsin Prediction, Lines

Iowa 23, Wisconsin 16
Line: Wisconsin -3.5, o/u: 36.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3

Must See Rating: 4

5: The French Dispatch
1: Finch

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Iowa vs Wisconsin Prediction, Game Preview

Iowa Hawkeyes vs Wisconsin Badgers prediction and game preview.

Iowa vs Wisconsin prediction and game preview.


Iowa vs Wisconsin Broadcast

Date: Saturday, December 12
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Kinnick Stadium, Iowa City, IA
Network: FS1

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Why Wisconsin Will Win

The Wisconsin defense continues to be special.

The Badgers lead the the nation in total defense by a relative mile – allowing just 229 yards per game – run defense, third down defense, and time of possession. They’re holding he ball a whopping 3:18 a game more than the No. 2 team in time of possession, Rice.

Iowa passing game is okay, but nothing special. It doesn’t have to run to win, but it has to be at least decent, and it has to do something to control the clock – it’s going to lose the time battle by at least ten minutes.

Worst of all for the Hawkeyes, they’re awful on third downs, and now they have to deal with that D that allowed teams to covert just 24% of the time.

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Why Iowa Will Win

The Wisconsin offense continues to be awful.

Most of the top wide receivers are banged up, the running game can’t get going – it ran for 140 yards or fewer in back-to-back games for the first time since early in the 2016 season – and the team just can’t score.

The offense hasn’t stalled, but it can’t put the biscuit in the basket. The last time the program failed to score more than seven points in back-to-back games was in early November of 1991.

Iowa hasn’t been spectacular, but it’s been rock-solid with great line play – it’s Iowa – a good turnover margin, and enough of an offensive balance to be fine. It’s a formula team that isn’t going to be great in shootouts, but handles itself well in tough battles.

Welcome to the Wisconsin game.

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What’s Going To Happen

It’s going to be a low-scoring battle with neither team able to establish anything throughout the game. However, Wisconsin is stalling way too much.

It’s a simple problem. Defenses are loading up against a running game that’s missing a Jonathan Taylor-type of back, Graham Mertz doesn’t have the top targets to throw to and hesitates a bit too much, and the whole thing has come to a stop.

The offense will get creative, but it won’t work well enough. Iowa will have to live off of several Keith Duncan field goals, but it’ll come up with a strong, tough home win.

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Iowa vs Wisconsin Prediction, Line

Iowa 19, Wisconsin 13
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PICK, o/u: 42
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3

Must See Rating: 3.5

5: Wonder Woman 1984
1: A Holly Dolly Christmas

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