Big 12 Tournament: Iowa State vs. Kansas odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Iowa State vs. Kansas odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Iowa State Cyclones (19-12) take on the No. 4 Kansas Jayhawks (26-6) Friday in the semifinal round of the Big 12 Tournament. Tip from T-Mobile Center is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Iowa State vs. Kansas odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Iowa State took down Baylor 78-72 in the quarterfinals Thursday, covering as a 4.5-point underdog. It has now won back-to-back games but is just 4-6 straight up and against the spread (ATS) in its last 10 games. The Cyclones are 16-15 ATS on the season.

Kansas rolled over West Virginia 78-61 in the quarterfinals Thursday, covering as a 3-point favorite. It has won 8 of the last 10 games and is 6-4 ATS in that span. The Jayhawks are 15-17 ATS this season.

Kansas and Iowa State split the season series this year with Kansas beating Iowa State 62-60 at home but failing to cover as a 7.5-point favorite on Jan.  and 14 Iowa State beating Kansas 68-53 to cover as a 1-point home favorite on Feb. 4.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Iowa State vs. Kansas odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:48 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Iowa State +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Kansas -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Iowa State +4.5 (-105) | Kansas -4.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 129.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Iowa State vs. Kansas picks and predictions

Prediction

Kansas 65, Iowa State 58

Moneyline

PASS.

There is no value in a moneyline play on Kansas (-210) in this matchup, although it should pull out the victory.

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Against the spread

LEAN KANSAS -4.5 (-115).

Kansas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games following an ATS win and is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600. It is also 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games.

Iowa State is just 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games following an outright win and just 3-6 ATS in its last 9.

The favorite is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings between these programs.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 129.5 (-105).

The Under is 6-0 in the Cyclones’ last 6 Friday games, 5-0 in their last 5 against a team with a winning outright record and 7-2 in their last 9 neutral site games.

For Kansas, the Under is 5-0 in its last 5 games, 4-0 in its last 4 following an outright win and 5-0 in its last 5 games against a team with a winning outright record.

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Iowa State at Kansas odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Iowa State at Kansas odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 14 Iowa State Cyclones (13-2, 4-0 Big 12) and No. 2 Kansas Jayhawks (15-1, 4-0) battle in a Big 12 top-15 tussle in Lawrence. The opening tip at Allen Fieldhouse will be at 4 p.m. ET (Big 12 Network/ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Iowa State vs. Kansas odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

Iowa State is 6-0 straight up and 5-1 against the spread since Dec. 11. The top defensive team in the Big 12 (57.7 points allowed per game) has held foes to a 40.6% mark from the floor while forcing 18.3 turnovers per game over that 6-game stretch.

The Jayhawks have had a few close calls of late, but they have won 9 straight games. Over its last 4 games, Kansas has had 3 wins by 4 points or fewer. In the most recent of those on Tuesday, KU was down by 10 points with 5 minutes remaining before coming back for a 79-75 victroy against Oklahoma.

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Iowa State at Kansas odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Iowa State +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Kansas -360 (bet $360 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Iowa State +7.5 (-110) | Kansas -7.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 133.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Iowa State at Kansas picks and predictions

Prediction

Kansas 75, Iowa State 67

Moneyline

Peg the value for both sides being around 300: +300 for ISU, -300 for KU. So, NOTHING TO SEE HERE.

Against the spread

These programs split a pair of games ATS last season. Peg Kansas by 3 possessions as a fair margin here: no leverage on either side. PASS.

Over/Under

The Over has an actionable lean in this game.

When looking at KU’s offensive numbers, take into account the quality of its schedule so far but the quality on the defensive side of the ball in that slate. KenPom rates the Jayhawks’ opposing defenses as 4th best in the nation.

Slow-tempo Iowa State has been dragged into Overs in 3 recent games against fast teams. With some push from the transition and offensive rebounding games, look for a battle that makes its way to nearly 140 points.

TAKE THE OVER 133.5 (-115).

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Iowa State at Kansas odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Iowa State at Kansas odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Kansas Jayhawks (4-0, 1-0 Big 12) welcome the Iowa State Cyclones (3-1m 0-1) to KU Memorial Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Iowa State vs. Kansas odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Jayhawks are one of the nation’s surprise teams this season. They’re among the 21 teams still undefeated. Kansas has taken down Tennessee Tech, West Virginia, Houston and Duke.

It’s led by star QB Jalon Daniels who has 11 touchdowns and 1 interception. He has 890 passing yards and also is the team’s leader on the ground with 320 rushing yards.

Iowa State has also played well this season as well, taking down rival Iowa 10-7 on the road Sept. 10. It also beat SEMO and Ohio with its only loss coming to Baylor 31-24 last Saturday.

RB Jirehl Brock has taken over as the team’s top back for Breece Hall who departed for the NFL. Brock has 353 yards and is averaging 5.5 yards per carry. QB Hunter Dekkers has been underwhelming this season with a 10:5 touchdown to interception ratio.

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Iowa State at Kansas odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Iowa State -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Kansas +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Iowa State -3.5 (-102) | Kansas +3.5 (-122)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 58.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Iowa State at Kansas picks and predictions

Prediction

Kansas 31, Iowa State 27

Moneyline

SPRINKLE ON KANSAS (+140).

The former 3-star junior Daniels took over the starting job this season, and the Jayhawks haven’t looked back. They’ve scored 48.5 points per game, the 4th most in the NCAA.

While it may seem like an easy schedule is the reason for their success, Houston and West Virginia are actually capable sides. Iowa State’s defense will be their toughest task yet, but Daniels is the star I’d back. Kansas’ offense is dynamic, averaging 7.8 yards per play which is 3rd in the nation.

Iowa State has a terrific defense, but the real question is if its offense can keep up. The Cyclones also allowed Baylor QB Blake Shapen to put up 3 touchdowns and a 71% completion rate. He’s not the threat Daniels is, so the star quarterback should be able to find some holes.

Against the spread

BET KANSAS +3.5 (-122).

I prefer the Kansas moneyline for it to pull off the upset and win at home, but getting 3 points and a hook is a nice addition as well. The Jayhawks have Daniels, and that’s all they really have needed so far this season.

They’ll need their defense to step up, but Dekkers hasn’t been great. He’s thrown 5 interceptions through 4 games, including 2 last Saturday against Baylor, and he just hasn’t taken over a game like Daniels.

I back the better quarterback here.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 58.5 (-110).

I expect Kansas to be able to put some points on the board, but if there’s a part of Iowa State’s team that is legit it is its defense.

Combine that with Dekkers’ struggles with turnovers, and points may be somewhat at a premium. Iowa State is 2-2 O/U while Kansas is 3-1 O/U, but the latter hasn’t played a defense of this caliber yet.

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Iowa State at Kansas odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Iowa State Cyclones at Kansas Jayhawks odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 16 Iowa State Cyclones (13-2, 1-2 Big 12) and No. 10 Kansas Jayhawks (12-2, 1-1) lock horns and match wits for a ranked tussle in Lawrence, Kan. The Big 12 skirmish at Allen Fieldhouse is scheduled for an 8 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Iowa State vs. Kansas odds and lines and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Iowa State is on the road for a second straight game after losing 79-66 at Oklahoma Saturday. ISU sports some of the best defensive numbers in the Big 12, and its 79 points allowed marked a season-high. Iowa State excels in defending the 3-ball: the Cyclones had held foes to a 24.8% mark from distance until the Sooners went 7-for-12.

The Jayhawks lead the Big 12 in scoring with 83.1 points per game, but they’re coming off a loss at Texas Tech Saturday. The defeat snapped an eight-game win streak with an average margin of nearly 19 points a game. Senior G Ochai Agbaji is shooting a career-best 47.3% on 3-point attempts and leads the conference in scoring with 20.5 PPG.

Iowa State at Kansas odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Iowa State +470 (bet $100 to win $470) | Kansas -700 (bet $700 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Iowa State +11.5 (-112) | Kansas -11.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 141.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Iowa State at Kansas odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Kansas 78, Iowa State 67

Money line

Too much juice: figure the true odds as being drowned in the middle. PASS.

Against the spread

The Cyclones are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games as underdogs and are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss.

Iowa State is the likable side in this contest, even at Allen Fieldhouse against an angry Jayhawks squad looking to bounce back from a loss, and not because of its defense — it’s had a couple of sneakily decent offensive games of late.

While the Cyclones haven’t played a great schedule overall, they have performed well against the likes of Xavier, Memphis, Creighton, Iowa, Baylor, and Texas Tech as they’ve posted five ATS wins and an ATS loss by just 1 point.

TAKE IOWA STATE +11.5 (-112).

Over/Under

The Over is 4-1 in the Jayhawks’ last five games against teams playing .600 or better basketball and it’s 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these Big 12 opponents.

ISU’s defensive numbers are a bit suspect because of its schedule. Look for the Jayhawks to have their tempo cranked up off a creaky non-conference home win on New Year’s Day over George Mason and two road games including a loss.

BACK THE OVER 141.5 (-110).

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