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The No. 3 Iowa State Cyclones (7-1) and the Iowa Hawkeyes (7-2) meet Thursday at Carver-Hawkeye Arena. Tip-off is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Iowa State vs. Iowa odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
The Cyclones have won 4 in a row, while covering the past 3 outings. That includes a 100-58 win over the Jackson State Tigers as a 35.5-point favorite on Sunday. It topped the Marquette Golden Eagles prior to that in a marquee matchup on Dec. 4, winning 81-70 as a 5.5-point favorite as the Under (153) cashed. The Over is 4-1 in the past 5 games.
For the Hawkeyes, they suffered an 85-83 loss at the Michigan Wolverines last time out Saturday, but Iowa covered as a 9.5-point underdog as the Over (159) cashed. Iowa has won 2 of 3 games, while going 4-2 against the spread (ATS) in the past 6 games, with the Over hitting in each of the past 3 outings.
– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll
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Iowa State at Iowa odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds. Lines last updated at 10:36 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Iowa State -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Iowa +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
- Against the spread: Iowa State -5.5 (-115) | Iowa +5.5 (-105)
- Over/Under: 160.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Iowa State at Iowa picks and predictions
Prediction
Iowa State 87, Iowa 77
Moneyline
Iowa State (-250) will cost you 2 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk in a rivalry game. The home side has won 4 in a row, with the last road team to win outright coming in Iowa’s 84-68 win in Ames on Dec. 12, 2019.
PASS. Bet the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
Despite the home winning streak in the series, back IOWA STATE -5.5 (-115) on the road.
The Cyclones are a top-5 team, and they’ve been battle tested this season with wins over the Colorado Buffaloes, Dayton Flyers and Marquette, and a narrow 2-point loss to fellow top-5 team the Auburn Tigers in a neutral-floor battle.
Iowa +5.5 (-105) is just 2-4 ATS in 6 games at Carver-Hawkeye this season, and it isn’t up to the task against a top-5 team, at least not yet.
Over/Under
OVER 160.5 (-105) is the play in this Hawkeye State battle.
The Over has hit in 3 in a row for Iowa, going for 80 or more points in each of the outings. The Hawkeyes have allowed 77 or more points in each of the games, too.
For I-State, the Over has hit in 4 of the past 5 outings, going for 81 or more points in each of its 8 games to date.
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