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The Big 12 Conference Championship Game will see the No. 13 Arizona State Sun Devils (10-2, 7-2 Big 12) face the No. 16 Iowa State Cyclones (10-2, 7-2) on Saturday. Kickoff from AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, is scheduled for noon ET (ABC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Arizona State vs. Iowa State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The top two Big 12 teams in the Coaches Poll (US LBM Coaches Poll) won their Week 14 games to clinch a berth in the Texas showdown. Crazily, they have never played each other in college football history.
Arizona State thumped in-state rivals Arizona 49-7 on Saturday, locking in a 5-game win streak heading into the conference title game. Coach Kenny Dillingham has taken this club from 3-9 in his first season to the surprise juggernaut in his second year.
ASU will lean heavily on Heisman Trophy also-ran RB Cam Skattebo, who ranks eighth in the nation with 1,398 rushing yards (5.7 yards per carry) and has scored 19 TDs (17 rushing).
Unfortunately, the Sun Devils will have to go without leading receiver Jordyn Tyson (1,101 yards, 10 TDs) for the rest of the season after undergoing surgery on either his shoulder or collarbone, depending on reports.
The Cyclones, meanwhile, notched their first 10-win season in school history. They survived the Kansas State Wildcats 29-23 last weekend and benefitted from BYU’s win over Houston to qualify for this game.
Which surprising state school will win the Big 12 and punch a ticket to the CFP?
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Arizona State vs. Iowa State odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Friday at 6:31 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Iowa State +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Arizona State -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Iowa State +2 (-105) | Arizona State -2 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 49.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Arizona State vs. Iowa State picks and predictions
Prediction
Arizona State 27, Iowa State 24
Moneyline
ASU’s run game will prove to be the difference in what should be a back-and-forth affair. Skattebo should move the chains and allow the Sun Devils to control the pace for most of the game.
In this likely coin-flip game, Arizona State (-125) might be the top end of this line. Locking in this price is fine, but given the other more profitable ways to wager on this game, waiting for more action to come in and impact the ISU side might be the way to go.
Bettors should ignore unless and until they find ASU juice closer to +100 pregame or live. PASS.
Against the spread
This showdown projects to have too close a margin of victory to grow too excited picking either side of a 2-point spread.
Bettors should instead investigate alternate lines.
FanDuel Sportsbook lists Iowa State +3.5 (-148). This forces us to pay for the juice, sure, but nabbing that extra 1.5 points adds security.
Keep an eye out as betting options ATS expand at BetMGM and FanDuel to check whether the market improves to give ISU more than a field-goal window.
BET IOWA STATE +3.5 (-148) OR BETTER.
Over/Under
The impact that the absence of ASU’s Tyson will have on the total’s upside will be mitigated by Skattebo and ISU’s dynamic receiving pair Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel — the nation’s only pair of 1,000+ receiving yardage compilers for the same school.
Points will pile up in the second half as the game loosens up and a CFP berth grows within reach.
BET OVER 49.5 (-110).
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