Tag: Iowa Purdue odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

The No. 5-seeded Iowa Hawkeyes (25-9) take on the third-seeded Purdue Boilermakers (27-6) in the Big Ten Championship Sunday. Tip from Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we look at the Iowa vs. Purdue odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Iowa is coming off a win over Indiana in which it trailed for most of the game.

The Hawkeyes won 80-77 but failed to cover as 5.5-point favorites. Iowa kicked off its Big Ten Tournament with a 112-76 rout of Northwestern, easily covering as an 8.5-point favorite. Iowa then beat Rutgers 84-74 as a 6-point fave.

The Hawkeyes are 21-13 against the spread (ATS) on the season. As for Purdue, it is 13-18-2 ATS and is led by G Jaden Ivey, who averages 17.3 points per game (PPG).

Purdue beat Penn State by 8 and Michigan State by 5 to get to this point, failing to cover as a 10.5-point and a 6.5-point favorite, respectively. Purdue is a perfect 6-0 straight up in neutral-court matchups.

Purdue is No. 9 in the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports. Iowa is No. 23.

Iowa vs. Purdue odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at11:03 a.m. ET.

• Money line: Iowa +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Purdue -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
• Against the spread: Iowa +2.5 (-115) | Purdue -2.5 (-107)
• Over/Under (O/U): 151.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Iowa vs. Purdue odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Purdue 80, Iowa 76

Money line

LEAN to PURDUE (-140).

The Boilermakers typically walk onto the court and have two things: Size advantage and the best available player.

Seven-foot-4 C Zach Edey is the team’s second-leading scorer, averaging 14.6 PPG. Edey and Ivey are a huge reason why the Boilermakers rank third in the nation in field-goal percentage and seventh in scoring.

Purdue is also 2-0 against the Hawkeyes this season, beating Iowa at home and on the road. Purdue won 77-70 at home and 83-73 on the road.

While Iowa is a talented side led by F Keegan Murray (23.7 PPG), it ranks 80th in the nation in shooting (45.9%) despite ranking fifth in scoring.

Against Purdue, it won’t have those second-chance opportunities with Edey down low. Expect the Hawkeyes to be limited offensively and struggle to keep up defensively.

Against the spread

PASS.

I like Purdue to win as it did in the two previous matchups against Iowa. However, I’d prefer to play the money line as this is projected to be a highly-competitive battle.

Over/Under

BET OVER 151.5 (-112).

If there’s one thing both teams have good at this season, it’s hitting Overs. Iowa is 22-11-1 O/U, while Purdue is 18-15 O/U.

Iowa averages 83.3 PPG and Purdue scores 80.7 PPG. The Boilermakers are third in the nation in both field-goal percentage (49.7%) and 3-point field-goal percentage (397%).

The Over is 1-1 in the two Purdue-Iowa matchups this season. The time is missed, Iowa was 5-for-21 from 3-point land and still managed 70 points. Purdue won 77-70 with the total set at 158.

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The Iowa Hawkeyes (7-0, 0-0 Big Ten) and No. 2 Purdue Boilermakers (7-0, 0-0) meet Friday for a Big Ten battle in West Lafayette, Ind. Tip-off from Mackey Arena is slated for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Iowa vs. Purdue odds and lines and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

High-scoring Iowa has played an easy schedule so far but is coming off a solid 75-74 win at Virginia. Iowa shot 47.6% from 3-point range in a game it controlled by two-plus scores for much of the night in Charlottesville, Va.

The Hawkeyes rank in the top-10 nationally in effective field-goal percentage (an accuracy measure leveling the distribution of 2- and 3-point baskets) and lead the country in scoring at 94.0 points per game.

The Boilermakers rank second in NCAA-I in scoring (92.4 PPG), but Purdue’s schedule has included North Carolina, Villanova (current No. 6), and Florida State, and fewer bottom-100 types than Iowa.

Purdue is coming off a 93-65 shellacking of Florida State where it shot 59.3% from the floor and 48.0% from beyond the arc.

Iowa at Purdue odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:18 p.m. ET.

• Money line: Iowa +570 (bet $100 to win $570) | Purdue -900 (bet $900 to win $100)
• Against the spread (ATS): Iowa +12.5 (-108) | Purdue -12.5 (-112)
• Over/Under (O/U): 160.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Iowa at Purdue odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Purdue 83, Iowa 73

Money line

PASS. The Under is likely the best play here, and Iowa plus the points has become a decent wager as well.

Against the spread

Purdue has taken on the early money and the spread has reacted. The Hawkeyes’ recent shooting touch from distance (43.6% in their last four games) makes for some optimism on that side of 11 or 11.5 points.

F Keegan Murray — a sophomore averaging 24.6 points per game and 8.9 rebounds per game — is an x-factor talent for which Purdue will have to account.

Consider a partial-unit play on IOWA +12.5 (-108).

Over/Under

The Over has gone a combined 11-3 in this season’s UI and PU games, but look for a push-back in this Big Ten opener for both.

The competition and the styles and stakes get a shade deeper as we roll into conference play. Expect second-chance points and turnovers to be dialed back as both teams could be a bit ground down after facing decent foes and a bit over-amped for a key conference test.

Part of the O/U market for this contest has surged into the low 160s. The play is lukewarm UNDER 160.5 (-110) and maybe even wait for it to rise to 161.5 with two of the top-scoring teams duking it out.

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