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Inter Miami (18 wins, 5 draws, 4 losses) welcomes the Philadelphia Union (7-9-11) to Chase Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (Apple TV). Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Inter Miami vs. Philadelphia Union odds, and make our best expert MLS picks and predictions.
Inter Miami will be welcoming F Lionel Messi back to the pitch as he’s been out since sustaining an injury with the Argentine national team. Inter sits atop the league and has the most points in the Eastern Conference. They have tallied 62 goals, the most in the MLS by 9. Miami has a +22 goal differential, having allowed 40 goals through 27 matches. Inter is led by F Luis Suarez, who has netted 16 goals this season.
The Union have struggled to find their footing this season after being among the best teams in the East over the last several seasons. Philadelphia sits 11th and is the only team outside the top 7 with a positive goal differential. It has scored 47 and allowed 43. The Union have won 3 of their last 4 games and have outscored opponents 10-2 in that span. They are led by F Daniel Gazdag, who has 14 goals in 23 matches.
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Inter Miami vs. Philadelphia Union odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6:14 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Inter Miami -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Philadelphia Union +500 (bet $100 to win $500) | Draw +375 (bet $100 to win $375)
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +110 | U: -160)
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Inter Miami vs. Philadelphia Union picks and predictions
Prediction
Inter Miami 2, Philadelphia Union 2
Moneyline (ML)
LEAN DRAW (+375).
For starters, there’s no telling how much Messi is going to play. This will be his 1st action since June, so it seems unlikely Miami, which are destined for a deep playoff run, will take any risks. Inter has an older roster and may struggle as the season progresses. They had 0.9 fewer expected goals in their last home game, 2-0 win over FC Cincinnati.
Philadelphia has some of the most technical players in the league and needs to get a result to keep its club within playoff reach. The Union have won 3 of their last 4 games, so they’ve been putting it together. They had more expected goals than Inter in a home loss earlier in the season. Philadelphia has drawn 5 of 13 road games as well.
While this is only a partial-unit play, there is value in DRAW (+375).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER 3.5 (+110).
Both teams have elite and efficient offensive players. The Union are averaging 1.74 goals per game and are allowing 1.59 per game. Star GK Andre Blake is unlikely to play as well after landing on the injury report.
The Union have scored 10 goals in their last 4 matches and have tallied at least 2 in 5 of their last 8. Inter has netted at least 2 in 4 straight and have gone Over this total in 3 of their last 5 games. They are averaging 2.30 goals per game.
Take OVER 3.5 (+110).
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