The Cleveland Indians (42-39) and Tampa Bay Rays (48-36) play the opener of a three-game set Monday at Tropicana Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Indians vs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Logan Allen is the projected starting pitcher for the Indians. He is 1-5 with a 8.38 ERA, 1.66 WHIP, 7.0 K/9 and 4.2 BB/9 in 19 1/3 IP over six starts.
Allen has taken losses in his last four starts. He allowed 3 runs (2 earned) and 3 hits with 2 walks in 3 2/3 innings Wednesday in a loss to the Tigers.
LHP Rich Hill is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays. He is 6-3 with a 3.70 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 and 3.3 BB/9 in 82 2/3 IP over 16 starts.
Hill was plagued by the long ball Tuesday coughing up 4 runs on 8 hits and a walk with 3 homers across 6 innings taking a loss at Washington. It was just the third time in 16 starts that he allowed multiple homers.
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Indians at Rays odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:58 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Indians +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Rays -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Indians +1.5 (-110) | Rays -1.5 (+110)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Prediction
Rays 7, Indians 3
Money line (ML)
The Rays (-210) are a little too expensive and are a much better play on the run line. Tampa Bay is 6-3 in Hill’s past nine outings despite the loss last time out.
AVOID.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The RAYS -1.5 (-110) are a strong play at Tropicana in the series opener. Tampa Bay will be very happy to get back on its home field after an ugly road trip with little success. The Rays won four of the past five at home and have picked up victories in 12 of the last 15 in St. Pete. They’re the play against erratic Logan Allen and the Indians.
Over/Under (O/U)
The OVER 8.5 (-120) is the play in Monday’s opener, and the home side has a chance of taking care of the number on their own against Allen. The Indians pitcher has served up 7 home runs across his past 7 1/3 innings over three starts. The Rays are ninth with 4.83 runs per game and are 16th with 1.2 home runs per contest.
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