The Indianapolis Colts (11-5) earned the AFC’s final and No. 7 seed, returning to the postseason after missing out a year ago. They’ll play the second-seeded Buffalo Bills (13-3) in an AFC Wild Card matchup Saturday as betting underdogs. Below, we analyze the Colts’ 2021 Super Bowl LV odds, how they stack up against other NFL playoff teams and look at their 2020 regular-season betting trends. Check out SportsbookWire.com for more NFL betting predictions.
Latest Indianapolis Colts 2021 Super Bowl LV odds
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:05 p.m. ET.
+4000 | $10 bet returns a profit of $400
Of the 14 playoff teams, the Colts are tied for the third-longest odds to win Super Bowl LV. The +4000 odds represent an implied win probability of 2.44%. The odds can be expressed as a fraction of 40/1 or a decimal of 41.00.
The Kansas City Chiefs have the best odds of winning Super Bowl LV at +240, which is an implied win probability of 29.41%. A $10 bet on the Chiefs to win the Super Bowl would return a profit of $24 if they do so.
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Indianapolis Colts’ 2020 betting trends
Money line (?)
Indianapolis registered an 11-5 record, and narrowly missed out on an AFC South Division title to the Tennessee Titans (11-5) due to tiebreakers. The Colts finished up strong, and might have been playing their best football down the stretch. They won four of their final five games, although they did fail to cover in the final three. They also won four of their final five road games.
Against the spread (?)
The Colts posted 4-1 ATS mark in their final five games on the road. Overall, they were 5-3 ATS on the road, which is where their Wild Card game will be. Indy was just 8-8 ATS overall on the season. The good news, if you’re an Indianapolis backer, is that they haven’t failed to cover in four consecutive games since an 0-4 ATS skid from Nov. 26-Dec. 14, 2017. The Colts are 15-7 ATS in the past 22 games against winning teams, but they’re also only 4-10 ATS in the previous 14 against AFC teams, and 1-3-1 ATS in the past five as road underdogs. Indy is also 0-3-1 ATS in the past four as a dog.
Over/Under (?)
Indianapolis has alternated Under and Over results in each of the past six games. Overall, the Over edged the Under 9-7 this season for the Colts. Indy started to piece together more continuity on offense, scoring 24 or more points in each its final eight games. The Over has cashed in five straight for the Colts against teams with a winning record, while cashing in five of their past six on the road. The Over is 4-1 in their past five following a straight-up win, too.
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Colts Wire:
- Indianapolis embracing underdog role vs. Buffalo
- Manning, Wayne named Pro Football Hall of Fame finalists
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