Indiana Pacers at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Indiana Pacers at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Indiana Pacers (24-27) visit the Memphis Grizzlies (31-18) Sunday. Tip-off from FedEx Forum is set for 6 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Pacers vs. Grizzlies odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Indiana is coming off a 141-131 loss Friday as a 6.5-point home underdog at Milwaukee. It was the Pacers’ 2nd loss in a row and their 9th in the last 10 games. They’re an ugly 2-8 against the spread (ATS) — unless of course, you’ve been fading (betting against) them — during the slide which has seen them fall from 23-18 to 24-27.

This will be a tough battle for Indiana, which lost as a 7.5-point home dog to Memphis 130-112 Jan. 14 in the 1st head-to-head of the season. Indiana is terrible on the road (8-17), while Memphis is an NBA-best 20-3 at home.

Surprisingly, the Grizzlies enter on a 5-game skid, losing every game off a 5-game road trip against Western Conference opponents. Their most recent outing was a 111-110 loss as 1.5-point favorites at Minnesota Friday. Memphis went 1-4 ATS during the swing.

Overall, expect the Grizzlies to be excited — and focused — to return to their home floor for this matchup against a struggling Pacers club.

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Pacers at Grizzlies odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:37 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pacers +290 (bet $100 to win $290) | Grizzlies -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Pacers +8.5 (-110) | Grizzlies -8.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 241.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Pacers at Grizzlies key injuries

Pacers

  • Tyrese Haliburton (knee, elbow) out

Grizzlies

  • Steven Adams (knee) out
  • Desmond Bane (knee) doubtful

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Pacers at Grizzlies picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 121, Pacers 108

Moneyline

AVOID.

Memphis (-350) should win this game, but the fact that it is this heavily favored is a little outrageous. Neither team is hot and Memphis has lost 5 in a row. Much of this line is likely due to Indiana missing its best player in Haliburton, but the line is still a bit absurd.

Memphis should win, but the risk of wagering 3.5 to win 1 unit is not worth the reward.

Against the spread

BET GRIZZLIES -8.5 (-110).

As mentioned, the Pacers have been terrible ATS recently, and without Haliburton, they pose little to no threat against anyone, especially vs. the Grizzlies.

The Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing off a day of rest, and despite the Grizzlies being so cold right now, this should be an easy bounce back win for Memphis.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 241.5 (-112).

The Under is 5-0 in Memphis’ last 5 games. While those were all losses, this game likely will not be, but the Under is still a safer lean here. However, be warned: Memphis hit 8 Overs in a row prior to the 5-game slide.

With Indiana missing their best player and with Memphis missing role players, there will be scoring missed on both sides. Neither team is shy about playing defense, which also makes the Under a much better bet for this one.

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Indiana Pacers at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Indiana Pacers at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Memphis Grizzlies (50-23) try to extend their win streak to three games when they host the Indiana Pacers (25-48) Thursday. Tip-off from FedExForum will be at 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Pacers vs. Grizzlies odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Pacers are coming off a narrow 110-109 loss to the Sacramento Kings Wednesday, losing as 6-point favorites. They’re now just 4-6 in their last 10 games and have fallen out of the playoff picture in the Eastern Conference.

SG Buddy Hield led the team with 25 points in the loss to the Kings, while PG Tyrese Haliburton dished out 15 assists. SF Oshae Brissett had a double-double with 10 points and 10 boards.

The Grizzlies handled the Brooklyn Nets 132-120 at home Wednesday. PF Kevin Durant scored 35 and PG Kyrie Irving had 43 of his own, but the Grizzlies still pulled out a 12-point win thanks to three players scoring 20-plus points despite being without PG Ja Morant. The Grizzlies are second in the Western Conference, but they’re nine games back of the Phoenix Suns for the top seed.

Pacers at Grizzlies odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:49 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pacers +570 (bet $100 to win $570) | Grizzlies -900 (bet $900 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Pacers +11.5 (-107) | Grizzlies -11.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 236.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Pacers at Grizzlies key injuries

Pacers (not officially submitted)

  • SG Chris Duarte (toe) questionable
  • PF Isaiah Jackson (head) questionable
  • PG T.J. McConnell (wrist) out
  • PF Jalen Smith (illness) questionable
  • C Myles Turner (foot) out

Grizzlies (not officially submitted)

  • PG Ja Morant (knee) questionable
  • PF Killian Tillie (knee) questionable

[tipico]

Pacers at Grizzlies odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 126, Pacers 112

Money line

The Grizzlies (-900) are heavily favored in this game, as they should be. But that doesn’t mean you should bet on the money line. That means a $900 bet returns a profit of only $100. That’s not worth the risk.

PASS.

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Against the spread

The Grizzlies are 6-3 ATS have been favored by at least 10 points. They’ve covered the spread easily in three of their last four games and if Morant is back, they’ll have an even better chance to cover, However, he may be held out with the Pacers being a lesser opponent.

I like the GRIZZLIES -11.5 (-115).

Over/Under

The Grizzlies put up 132 points Wednesday without Morant. They now face a terrible Pacers defense which allows 113.1 points per game, 24th in the NBA.

Bet the OVER 236.5 (-108), which has hit in six of the Grizzlies’ last 10 games.

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Indiana Pacers at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Indiana Pacers at Memphis Grizzlies NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Indiana Pacers (24-27) stop by FedExForum for a 8 p.m. ET game against the Memphis Grizzlies (26-24). Below, we analyze the Pacers-Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Indiana has won three of its last four games (2-2 against the spread) including back-to-back victories over the Minnesota Timberwolves Tuesday and Orlando Magic Thursday.

Memphis had its four-game win streak snapped by the New York Knicks in a heartbreaking 133-129 overtime Thursday. The Grizzlies are 5-2 overall and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games and sit at eighth in the Western Conference.

The Pacers have beaten the Grizzlies in three straight (0-3 ATS) since the beginning of last season with the latest being a 134-116 whooping Feb. 2.

Pacers at Grizzlies: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pacers +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Grizzlies -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pacers +3.5 (-110) | Grizzlies -3.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 233.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Pacers at Grizzlies: Key injuries

Pacers

  • C Myles Turner (ankle) probable

Grizzlies

  • PF Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) out
  • PG De’Anthony Melton (leg) out
  • SF Justise Winslow (quadriceps) out

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Pacers at Grizzlies: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Grizzlies 120, Pacers 113

Money line (ML)

PASS on Memphis outright, but I’d entertain putting Grizzlies (-160) in a parlay with the Chicago Bulls’ money line for a plus-money payout.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Grizzlies big Jonas Valančiūnas missed the first Pacers-Grizzlies game this season, which is a major reason Indiana grabbed more rebounds and scored points in the paint.

According to CleaningTheGlass.com, Valančiūnas is in the 96th percentile of bigs for on-off offensive rebounding rate and 97th percentile for defensive rounding rate.

Controlling the glass is a big part of what Memphis does. The Grizzlies average the most paint points and second-chance points per game.

This is a problem for the Pacers who give up the second-most paint points per game and the most second-chance points per game.

The other reason Indiana boat raced Memphis the first time around was because it shot an insane 60% from the field and 55% from behind the arc.

Well, the Grizzlies’ defense is better with Valančiūnas on the floor, and their 3-point defense has vastly improved as the season has progressed.

In fact, according to CleaningTheGlass.com, opponents shoot 3.3% worse from three with Valančiūnas on the floor, which puts him in the 88th percentile of bigs.

The basketball rationale behind this is simple: Memphis can extend its perimeter defense because it trusts Valančiūnas will protect the rim and control the interior.

And post-All-Star break, Memphis is eighth in defensive 3-point percentage, but before the All-Star Game, the Grizzlies were 21st.

Finally, since BetMGM projects a close-one in Pacers-Grizzlies, I’d rather not have my money on an Indiana team that has the sixth-worst net rating in clutch situations.

If this game is close late, Memphis has the edge in half-court basketball and late-game execution.

BET GRIZZLIES -3.5 (-110) for 1 unit only because we are getting the worst of the number since most of the market is backing Memphis.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS because my numbers align with BetMGM‘s total. However, the only side of this I’d bet is the Over 233.5 (-110). Both teams are top-10 in pace and should have success in transition.

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