Indiana Pacers at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Indiana Pacers at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Indiana Pacers (34-28) take on the Dallas Mavericks (34-27) Tuesday with tip-off from American Airlines Center set for 8:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pacers vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Pacers lead 1-0

The Pacers have dropped 3 of 4, including a 117-105 stinker against the San Antonio Spurs as 6.5-point favorites Sunday. G Tyrese Haliburton is just 4-for-23 (17.4%) from the floor over the last 2 games. He’s averaging just 11 PPG over his last 5 games. He had 17 against Dallas 5 games ago, and the team was strong enough around him to win 133-111 Feb. 25.

Dallas is struggling, too. The Mavs have dropped 4 of 5 after a 120-116 defeat by the Philadelphia 76ers as 7.5-point favorites. G Luka Doncic has 3 straight triple-doubles, and he’s averaging 35 points, 11.3 boards and 12.3 dimes per game during the stretch.

Pacers at Mavericks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pacers +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Mavericks -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Pacers +4.5 (-110) | Mavericks -4.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 246.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Pacers at Mavericks key injuries

Pacers

  • G Doug McDermott (calf) out
  • G Aaron Nesmith (quadriceps) questionable

Mavericks

  • G Luka Doncic (ankle) questionable
  • F Derrick Jones Jr. (shoulder) questionable
  • F Maxi Kleber (knee) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Pacers at Mavericks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 124, Pacers 118

Moneyline

This probably isn’t a situation the Mavs should be so heavily favored in. They’re just 18-14 at home and 16-13 on the road and just lost to Philly without Joel Embiid at home. But this is more of a fade on the Pacers, who are 14-17 away from Gainbridge Fieldhouse, and something is clearly not right with Haliburton.

I don’t expect a lot of defense to be played, so SGP MAVERICKS AND OVER 236.5 (+110) together for a nice return.

Against the spread

The Mavs are 6-4 ATS over the last 10. Over the last 10 meetings, the team that won the game was the one covering the spread. This is a very hittable spread for a team that’s a -190 favorite.

Take the MAVERICKS -4.5 (-110).

Over/Under

As mentioned, I don’t see much defense in the crystal ball. The Pacers have allowed 120.5 PPG over their last 4 games, and Dallas has allowed 127.4 PPG over its last 5.

LEAN OVER 246.5 (-110).

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Indiana Pacers at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Indiana Pacers at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Indiana Pacers (27-35) face the Dallas Mavericks (32-30) Tuesday at American Airlines Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Pacers vs. Mavericks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Pacers ended an 11-game road losing streak when they beat the Orlando Magic on Saturday 121-108 as 2.5-point underdogs. They are 2 games outside of the play-in, but after a 4-point overtime loss to the Boston Celtics last Thursday, a post-All-Star Game run has some hope.

The Mavericks are 1-3 since adding G Kyrie Irving and that win was against the lowly San Antonio Spurs. They come into Tuesday’s game after blowing  a 27-point lead and losing to the Los Angeles Lakers 111-108.

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Pacers at Mavericks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at Monday at 9:32 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pacers +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Mavericks -270 (bet $270 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Pacers +6.5 (-110) | Mavericks -6.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 236.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Pacers at Mavericks key injuries

Pacers

  • None

Mavericks

  • F Davis Bertans (calf) out
  • F Maxi Kleber (hamstring) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Pacers at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 123, Pacers 115

Moneyline

Dallas gets it points from 3s and free throws. They rank 3rd in both 3-point attempts and free throw attempts. A home game against the 12th-worst defense against 3-pointers is a good matchup for both these areas of scoring.

The current line is a bit too high so you can AVOID and perhaps consider a Mavericks quarter 1 spread/moneyline, since Indiana is last in the league in 1st-quarter scoring.

Against the spread

In the last 7 games against a team with a winning home record, the Pacers are just 1-6 ATS. The Mavericks haven’t been much better, covering just 1 time in their last 5, but a home game against the Pacers is an ideal get right spot.

LEAN MAVERICKS +6.5 (-110).

Over/Under

Since the All-Star break Dallas has averaged 125 points a game while Indiana has put up 129.5. That kind of production can’t go on forever but I expect it to last at least 1 more game. The Pacers are rested and the Mavericks will come out swinging after their previous heartbreaking loss.

LEAN OVER 236.5 (-112).

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Indiana Pacers at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Indiana Pacers at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Indiana Pacers (18-32) travel to American Airlines Center Saturday to take on the Dallas Mavericks (28-21). Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Pacers vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Mavericks are coming into this game after defeating the Trail Blazers by 20 to commence their short two-game road trip. They were 1-1 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS).

On the season, the Mavericks are 25-24 ATS. They’re 15-9 SU at home this season.

As for the Pacers, they’re just 6-19 SU on the road this season.

They’re 5-4-1 ATS over their past 10 games, most recently covering in overtime as a 1.5-point favorite in Oklahoma City. This is the second night of a back-to-back for the Pacers.

Pacers at Mavericks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pacers +440 (bet $100 to win $440) | Mavericks -650 (bet $650 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Pacers +10.5 (-112) | Mavericks -10.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 217.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Pacers at Mavericks key injuries

Pacers

  • C Goga Bitadze (foot) questionable

Mavericks

  • F Tim Hardaway Jr. (foot) out

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Pacers at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 110, Pacers 102

Money line

PASS on the money line.

I expect the Mavericks to cruise, but no regular-season money line is worth betting at -650. Look to the spread for value.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the PACERS +10.5 (-112).

This is a play to fade the public, and there are trends that back why it might be a solid play.

For starters, the Pacers are coming in without rest. While that sounds like a disadvantage, Indiana is 6-2 ATS with no rest. As for Dallas, when it has a rest advantage, it’s just 4-7 ATS.

Similarly, the Mavs will be without one of their leading scorers for the foreseeable future. While the Mavericks defense has been their staple for the past few weeks, they’ve given up over 110 points per game in two straight games.

While I anticipate a lower-scoring game, Dallas is still averaging just 105.5 points per game his season.

Over/Under

BET on the UNDER 217.5 (-115).

The Mavericks, as noted, have been so great this season because of their defense.

They allow just 103.3 points per game, the third-fewest in the league, and play at the second-slowest pace. With Indy in the bottom third of the league in pace as well, this should be a slow-moving game.

Dallas’ Under has hit in 8 of its last 10 games. Indy is also 24-25-1 O/U this season.

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