Indiana Pacers at Cleveland Cavaliers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Indiana Pacers at Cleveland Cavaliers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Indiana Pacers (1-0) and Cleveland Cavaliers (1-1) meet Saturday at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pacers vs. Cavaliers odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting of 2023; Cavs won last season’s series 3-2

The Pacers belted the Washington Wizards by a 143-120 score Wednesday, covering a 4.5-point number as the Over (235) easily connected.

Indiana hit 52.0% (56-of-107) from the field, while knocking down 47.0% (20-of-43) from behind the 3-point line. The Pacers were also an impressive 92.0% (11-of-12) from the charity stripe. Eight different players scored 11 or more points, with G Tyrese Haliburton going for 20 points and 11 assists for a double-double. The latter is under the weather, and listed as questionable for Saturday.

Cleveland opened the season with a 114-113 win in Brooklyn Wednesday, while suffering a 108-105 loss at home against the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Cavs have failed to cover either outing, while splitting the Over and Under so far.

Pacers at Cavaliers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:31 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pacers +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Cavaliers -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Pacers +3.5 (-115) | Cavaliers -3.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 223.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Pacers at Cavaliers key injuries

Pacers

  • G Tyrese Haliburton (illness) questionable

Cavaliers

  • C Jarrett Allen (ankle) questionable
  • G Darius Garland (hamstring) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Pacers at Cavaliers picks and predictions

Prediction

Cavaliers 111, Pacers 108

Moneyline

The CAVALIERS (-145) are worth playing lightly, although there is plenty of risk. First off, Cleveland suffered a setback against OKC at home Friday. Playing in a back-to-backs situation can be difficult, and they played Friday’s game without Allen or Garland. Both are listed as questionable for the second end of the back-to-back.

Against the spread

The PACERS +3.5 (-115) are worth a look on the road, as this should be a close battle, and potentially a one-score game.

Indiana has covered 3 of the past 4 meetings, including both battles in Cleveland last season. The Cavaliers -3.5 (-105) aren’t quite at 100 percent, and they’re 0-2 ATS so far. Back the visitors.

Over/Under

UNDER 223.5 (-105) is worth a look, but go lightly.

The Under has cashed in the past 2 meetings in this series. It’s a risky play after Indiana dropped 143 points in the opener. However, with Haliburton green in the gills, the Pacers offense should drop off a bit. Plus, there is no way Indiana can sustain the amazing type shooting it had in the opener.

The Under cashed in Friday’s game for the Cavs against OKC, too, and they might have to do it again without Allen and Garland, 2 starters.

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Indiana Pacers at Cleveland Cavaliers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Indiana Pacers at Cleveland Cavaliers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Indiana Pacers (34-44) and Cleveland Cavaliers (48-30) meet Sunday at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pacers vs. Cavaliers odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Pacers covered the spread as 6-point home underdogs Friday in a 121-117 win vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder. G T.J. McConnell scored 21 points as Indiana snapped its 4-game skid.

The Cavaliers failed to cover as 3-point home favorites Friday in a 130-116 loss vs. the New York Knicks. Cleveland has lost back-to-back games for the 1st time since dropping 3 in a row from Feb. 15-24.

The Cavaliers lead this season’s series 2-1 straight up (1-2 against the spread) and the Over is 2-1. Cleveland covered as a 4.5-point road favorite 122-103 as the Under (227.5) cashed in the most recent meeting Feb. 5.

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Pacers at Cavaliers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pacers +575 (bet $100 to win $575) | Cavaliers -900 (bet $900 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Pacers +12.5 (-110) | Cavaliers -12.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 231.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Pacers at Cavaliers key injuries

Pacers

  • Chris Duarte (ankle) out
  • Tyrese Haliburton (ankle, elbow) out
  • Myles Turner (ankle) questionable

Cavaliers

  • Jarrett Allen (groin) questionable
  • Isaac Okoro (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Pacers at Cavaliers picks and predictions

Prediction

Cavaliers 129, Pacers 110

Moneyline

PASS.

Cleveland (-900) should bounce back after losing 2 straight, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the moneyline when the Cavaliers should win by margin. Bet the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

BET CAVALIERS -12.5 (-110).

Cleveland has beaten up on inferior competition at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse lately and is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 home games vs. teams with a losing road record. Indiana has also struggled to string together good performances and is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games after covering in its previous contest. Look for the Cavaliers to bounce back after losing back-to-back games and bully the shorthanded Pacers.

Over/Under

BET OVER 231.5 (-110).

The Over is 4-0 in Indiana’s last 4 games and 4-1 in Cleveland’s last 5 after a double-digit loss at home.

The Over has hit in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these teams and since this game will most likely be a blowout, it should feature a lot of meaningless scoring in garbage time to push it over the total.

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Indiana Pacers at Cleveland Cavaliers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Indiana Pacers at Cleveland Cavaliers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Indiana Pacers (15-14) visit Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers (18-11) Friday. Tip is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Pacers vs. Cavaliers odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Cavaliers beat the Dallas Mavericks 105-90 Wednesday, covering as 2.5-point road underdogs. The Cavs have covered the spread in 5 of their last 8 and are 16-11-2 against the spread (ATS) this season. Cleveland is 1st in scoring defense with just 104.6 points allowed per game.

The Pacers enter off a 125-119 home victory over the Golden State Warriors Wednesday, using a 47-point 2nd quarter to pull ahead. The Pacers are 16-13 ATS this season and 3-3 ATS over their last 6. They are led by G Tyrese Haliburton, who is averaging 19.8 points per game.

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Pacers at Cavaliers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:55 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pacers +260  (bet $100 to win $260) | Cavaliers -320 (bet $320 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Pacers +8.5 (-115) | Cavaliers -8.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 224.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Pacers at Cavaliers key injuries

Pacers

  • G Chris Duarte (G-League assignment) out

Cavaliers

  • G Dean Wade (shoulder) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Pacers at Cavaliers picks and predictions

Prediction

Cavaliers 118, Pacers 108

Moneyline

PASS.

The Cavaliers are 12-2 at home, and the Pacers are 6-8 on the road. The odds here are justified but neither side is worth playing.

Against the spread

LEAN CAVALIERS -8.5 (-105).

The Cavaliers are a league-best 11-2-1 ATS at home this season.

With the Pacers’ top 3 scoring options all being guards and the Cavaliers having 2 of the better rim protectors in the league in F Evan Mobley and C Jarrett Allen, expect Indiana to struggle with its efficiency.

The Pacers are 7-7 ATS on the road this season, and the Cavaliers 11-5-2 ATS in conference games, so expect them to have their way with Indiana. Back the CAVALIERS -8.5 (-105).

Over/Under

BET OVER 224.5 (-115).

All signs point to the Under hitting. The Cavaliers are 1-9 O/U in their last 10 and allow the fewest points in the league.

However, no game over that span has been at this total because of how Indiana plays. The presence of C Myles Turner and his ability to space the court should draw out Allen and help Haliburton attack the rim.

The Pacers are 4th in pace, and the last time the Cavaliers played a team top 10 in pace, they had their lone Over of their last 10 games.

The Pacers also rank 20th in defensive rating, so expect the Cavaliers, behind star G Donovan Mitchell, to score with ease. Overall, back the OVER 224.5 (-115).

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Indiana Pacers at Cleveland Cavaliers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Indiana Pacers at Cleveland Cavaliers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cleveland Cavaliers (32-21) host the Indiana Pacers (19-35) Sunday at the Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. The tip-off is scheduled for 6 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Pacers vs. Cavaliers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Indiana has lost three of its past four, including back-to-back home games versus the Orlando Magic (119-118 Wednesday) and Chicago Bulls (122-115 Friday). Over the past two weeks, the Pacers are 2-5 straight up (SU) and 2-4-1 against the spread (ATS).

Cleveland has alternated between winning and losing over the past five games with the most recent being a 102-101 victory versus the Hornets in Charlotte. The Cavs are 4-2 SU but just 2-4 ATS in the last 14 days.

The Cavs defeated the Pacers 108-104 in Cleveland, Jan. 2, and pushed as 4-point home favorites with the Over cashing on a 207.5-point total.

Pacers at Cavaliers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pacers +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Cavaliers -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Pacers +5.5 (-112) | Cavaliers -5.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 216.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Pacers at Cavaliers key injuries

Pacers

  • PG Malcolm Brogdon (Achilles’) questionable
  • PG Domantas Sabonis (health and safety protocols) questionable
  • Myles Turner (foot) out
  • C Goga Bitadze (foot) questionable

Cavaliers

  • PG Darius Garland (back) questionable
  • PF Lauri Markkanen (ankle) out

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Pacers at Cavaliers odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Cavaliers 108, Pacers 101

Money line

PASS.

I only “lean” to Cleveland laying points and cannot justify betting the Cavaliers (-230) given the uncertainty surrounding both teams’ injury reports.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the CAVALIERS -5.5 (-108) because the Pacers +5.5 (-112) struggle against quality defenses, and Cleveland is third in defensive rating.

For instance, Indiana has a minus-7.7 adjusted net rating versus top-10 defenses (ranked 23rd) and a minus-4.1 ATS margin (ranked 23rd), according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Furthermore, the Cavs are 15-9-1 ATS at home with an NBA-best plus-5.1 ATS margin while the Pacers are 11-13-2 ATS on the road and 3-7 ATS versus Central Division co-tenants.

Lastly, both teams attempt a lot of shots at the rim and attack the paint. But, Cleveland has a better offensive and defensive field goal percentage at the rim (per CTG), and Indiana is 26th in paint points per game allowed.

It’s only a “LEAN” to the CAVALIERS -5.5 (-108) because Cleveland is 0-6 ATS in the last six games as a favorite.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 216.5 (-112) for several reasons.

First of all, the Cavs are 7-17-1 O/U at home with a minus-4.1 total margin and the Pacers are 6-12 O/U as a road underdog with a minus-3.8 total margin.

Second, roughly two-thirds of the public is betting the Over (according to Pregame.com), and my instinct is to fade a one-sided betting market.

Also, each team could be without significant offensive pieces, and even if said players return, it might take them a few quarters or games to knock off rust.

That said, Indiana hasn’t been able to defend anyone recently, which is the major reason the Pacers are 6-0-1 O/U in their last seven games.

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