The No. 17 Indiana Hoosiers (19-8, 10-6 Big Ten) visit the Michigan State Spartans (16-10, 8-7) Tuesday for a Big Ten battle in East Lansing.
Tip at Breslin Center is at 9 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Indiana vs. Michigan State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.
Indiana is 4-1 over its last 5 games. The Hoosiers have been improved on the defensive end of late, holding opponents under 40% from the field 7 times in the last 11 games.
The Spartans lost 82-69 at IU on Jan. 22 and are coming off an 84-72 loss at Michigan Saturday. MSU is at home for the 1st time since Feb. 7, where it is 8-1 across its last 9 contests.
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Indiana at Michigan State odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:43 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Indiana +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Michigan State -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Indiana +3.5 (-115) | Michigan State -3.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 135.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Indiana at Michigan State picks and predictions
Prediction
Michigan State 70, Indiana 68
Moneyline
Indiana led by 6 points or more for the last 10 minutes of the first meeting in Jan., and that was with MSU getting to the free-throw line 28 times over the course of the game. Peg IU as the value side here, but on the moneyline only a value at +140 or more.
PASS.
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Against the spread
Michigan State is shooting 40.1% on 3-pointers at home. That includes a 29-of-62 mark (46.8%) over the team’s last 3 games at the Breslin Center. Indiana comes along as a team that plays good perimeter defense (32%, 79th) and one that has been particularly sharp of late (holding teams under that mark 7 of the last 9 games).
The Hoosiers often fare well against lacking interior defense, and MSU is not particularly strong in defending the paint.
Look for IU to have a legitimate shot here; the Hoosiers have been playing a lot of close games on the road lately.
BACK INDIANA +3.5 (-115).
Over/Under
The Over (137.5) connected in the Jan. 22 meeting and is 3-1 in the last 4 IU-MSU games.
Look for faster Indiana to steer this game into a mid-pace affair. A total closer to 138-142 is hittable at a rate of probability making the OVER 135.5 (-110) a solid play.
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