Indiana at Michigan State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Indiana at Michigan State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 13 Indiana Hoosiers (8-0, 5-0 Big Ten) and the Michigan State Spartans (4-4, 2-3) meet Saturday at Spartan Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (Peacock). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Indiana vs. Michigan State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Hoosiers’ improbable run continued as Indiana improved to an undefeated record with a 31-17 victory over the Washington Huskies Oct. 26. They covered the spread as a 5-point home favorite, while the total stayed under 54 points. A key pick-6 from DB D’Angelo Ponds in the first quarter set the tone for the afternoon. QB Tayven Jackson hit WR Omar Cooper Jr. for a 42-yard touchdown in the 2nd quarter, and RB Justice Ellison powered through with 29 carries for 123 yards and a touchdown, sealing the win.

The Spartans dropped their 4th game in the last 5, losing to in-state rival Michigan 24-17 Oct. 26. They failed to cover as 3-point road underdogs, and the game went Over (38). QB Aidan Chiles finished with 189 passing yards and a touchdown, while RB Nate Carter added 118 rushing yards and a score, highlighting their offensive strengths despite the tough loss.

– US LBM Coaches Poll: Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

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Indiana at Michigan State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Indiana -350 (bet $350 to win $100) | Michigan State +260 (bet $100 to win $260)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Indiana -7.5 (-115) | Michigan State +7.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 53.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Indiana at Michigan State picks and predictions

Prediction

Indiana 34, Michigan State 24

Moneyline

PASS.

Indiana (-350) will win this game, but I’m not going to bet $350 to win $100 in return. I’ll take my bet to the spread.

Against the spread

BET INDIANA -7.5 (-115).

Indiana heads into this matchup against Michigan State with plenty of momentum. The Hoosiers have been scoring consistently, covering the spread in 7 consecutive games, and enter with a solid 7-1 ATS record. Indiana’s balanced offense has been effective at sustaining drives, boasting a 51.28% third-down conversion rate and maintaining possession for over 31 minutes per game.

Michigan State, on the other hand, has seen its numbers decline against tougher opponents. Led by Oregon State transfer QB Chiles, who has thrown more interceptions (9) than touchdowns (7), the Spartans have struggled, especially in high-stakes moments. Michigan State ranks 91st in total offense, averaging 365 yards and 21 points per game, but it has allowed an average of 28 points over their last 4 matchups.

Despite the 7.5-point spread, Indiana’s track record and consistent scoring make it a strong pick to cover on the road once again.

Over/Under

BET OVER 53.5 (-110).

The 52.5-point total here slightly exceeds Indiana’s season game average of 49.5, reflecting its potent offense, which ranks 2nd nationally at 46.5 points per game. Michigan State’s defense has struggled, allowing 28 points per game over its last 4 matchups against tougher Big Ten competition. While the Spartans generally keep scores lower (3-5 O/U), Indiana has been consistently high-scoring, clearing 40 points in both road games, including a 56-point showing against Nebraska.

Indiana being 6-2 to the Over suggests a high-scoring game here, making it likely that this matchup will exceed the usual Big Ten grind. Back the Over in what could be a spirited offensive battle.

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First look: Indiana at Michigan State odds and lines

Looking at Saturday’s Indiana at Michigan State college football odds, lines and trends. Here’s what you need to know.

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The 13th-ranked Indiana Hoosiers (8-0, 5-0 Big Ten) and the Michigan State Spartans (4-4, 2-3) meet Saturday at Spartan Stadium in East Lansing. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (Peacock). Below, we look at Indiana vs. Michigan State from BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds before making our expert college football picks and predictions later in the week.

The Hoosiers have fired out to an 8-0 record, and suddenly coach Curt Cignetti’s Indiana football team is being talked about as a potential playoff team. Indiana topped Washington 31-17 as a 5-point home favorite this past Saturday at The Rock, moving to 5-0 inside the conference. The Under (54) cashed Saturday, halting a 6-0 run for IU to the Over.

The Spartans suffered a 24-17 loss, failing to cover as 3-point underdogs, against the rival Michigan Wolverines on the road as the Over (38.5) cashed. Michigan State has lost 4 of the past 5 games after a 3-0 start. The Spartans are 3-2 against the spread (ATS) in those last 5 games. The Over has cashed in the past 2 games after a 4-0 run to the Under.

RankingsUS LBM Coaches Poll: Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

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Indiana at Michigan State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Tuesday at 4:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Indiana -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Michigan State +240 (bet $100 to win $240)
  • Against the spread: Indiana -7.5 (-110) | Michigan State +7.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Indiana vs. Michigan State head-to-head

Michigan State leads the all-time series 50-18-2.

The road team has won the past 4 meetings in this series, including a 24-21 win by Michigan State as a 3.5-point underdog last November. Indiana needed overtime two seasons ago to win in East Lansing 39-31 as an 11.5-point underdog.

The road team has covered in 6 straight in this series dating back to Sept. 22, 2018, with the Under going 3-1 in the past 4 in the series.

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Indiana at Michigan State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Indiana at Michigan State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 17 Indiana Hoosiers (19-8, 10-6 Big Ten) visit the Michigan State Spartans (16-10, 8-7) Tuesday for a Big Ten battle in East Lansing.
Tip at Breslin Center is at 9 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Indiana vs. Michigan State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

Indiana is 4-1 over its last 5 games. The Hoosiers have been improved on the defensive end of late, holding opponents under 40% from the field 7 times in the last 11 games.

The Spartans lost 82-69 at IU on Jan. 22 and are coming off an 84-72 loss at Michigan Saturday. MSU is at home for the 1st time since Feb. 7, where it is 8-1 across its last 9 contests.

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Indiana at Michigan State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:43 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Indiana +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Michigan State -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Indiana +3.5 (-115) | Michigan State -3.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 135.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Indiana at Michigan State picks and predictions

Prediction

Michigan State 70, Indiana 68

Moneyline

Indiana led by 6 points or more for the last 10 minutes of the first meeting in Jan., and that was with MSU getting to the free-throw line 28 times over the course of the game. Peg IU as the value side here, but on the moneyline only a value at +140 or more.

PASS.

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Against the spread

Michigan State is shooting 40.1% on 3-pointers at home. That includes a 29-of-62 mark (46.8%) over the team’s last 3 games at the Breslin Center. Indiana comes along as a team that plays good perimeter defense (32%, 79th) and one that has been particularly sharp of late (holding teams under that mark 7 of the last 9 games).

The Hoosiers often fare well against lacking interior defense, and MSU is not particularly strong in defending the paint.

Look for IU to have a legitimate shot here; the Hoosiers have been playing a lot of close games on the road lately.

BACK INDIANA +3.5 (-115).

Over/Under

The Over (137.5) connected in the  Jan. 22 meeting and is 3-1 in the last 4 IU-MSU games.

Look for faster Indiana to steer this game into a mid-pace affair. A total closer to 138-142 is hittable at a rate of probability making the OVER 135.5 (-110) a solid play.

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Indiana at Michigan State odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Tuesday’s Indiana Hoosiers at Michigan State Spartans odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Indiana Hoosiers (12-12 overall, 7-10 Big Ten) visit the Michigan State Spartans (13-10, 7-10) in a Tuesday night Big Ten tussle at Jack Breslin Students Events Center in East Lansing Mich. Tip-off will be at 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Indiana-Michigan State odds and lines, with NCAA college basketball picks and predictions.

Indiana at Michigan State: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indiana +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Michigan State -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Indiana +2.5 (-110) | Michigan State -2.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 135.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Indiana at Michigan State: Three things to know

  1. Indiana enters this game on a three-game losing skid which started with a 78-71 home loss to these Spartans Feb. 20. Over the trio of losses, IU has been outshot, 48.0% to 39.4%, and out-rebounded by a margin of 4.7 per game. The skid includes one road game and the Hoosiers have lost two in a row away from Assembly Hall after having win three straight away games from Jan. 10-Feb. 10.
  2. Michigan State is coming off a 73-55 loss to Maryland Sunday. The Spartans shot just 33.3% from the floor in what was a disappointing setback after wins against Ohio State, Illinois, and Indiana.
  3. For the season, Michigan State is averaging 70.6 points per game while yielding 71.6 PPG. At home, the Spartans have scored 74.5 PPG while allowing 68.5. In those home games, MSU is 10-3 straight up but just 4-9 against the spread.

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Indiana at Michigan State: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Indiana 70, Michigan State 66

Money line (ML)

Indiana’s conversion rates on 3-pointers (34.7%) along with its high rate of free throws make this contest a near-pick ’em. Getting INDIANA at +125 MAKES FOR DECENT VALUE.

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Against the spread (ATS)

IU has shown improvement in its offensive rebounding numbers in recent weeks and MSU’s defensive rebounding has been headed the wrong way of late.

Michigan State’s three-game win streak from Feb. 20-25 was constructed on a foundation of solid shooting and opponent misfires from 3-point range. Both don’t figure as sustainable (and weren’t in the step-back loss to Maryland).

The underdog has covered five straight in this series. MSU is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games as a home favorite.

TAKE THE HOOSIERS +2.5 (-110).

Over/Under (O/U)

NO PLAY on a well-made total here.

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Indiana at Michigan State odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Indiana Hoosiers at Michigan State Spartans sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Indiana Hoosiers (3-0 overall, 3-0 Big Ten) visit the Michigan State Spartans (1-2, 1-2) Saturday in a battle for the Old Brass Spittoon. Kickoff is set for noon ET. Below, we analyze the Indiana-Michigan State college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Indiana is ranked 10th in the Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports. The last time the Hoosiers were a top-10 team was in 1969 (AP poll).

Indiana at Michigan State: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 5:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indiana -264 (bet $264 to win $100) | Michigan State +210 (bet $100 to win $210)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Indiana -7.5 (+100) | Michigan State +7.5 (-121)
  • Over/Under: 51.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Indiana at Michigan State: Three things to know

  1. Indiana upset Michigan 38-21 at home last week as a 4.5-point underdog, snapping a 24-game losing streak in the series. QB Michael Penix Jr. has thrown for 750 yards with 7 touchdowns vs. 1 interception in three games. RB Stevie Scott III leads the ground attack with 235 rushing yards and 4 TDs, while Penix’s top target is WR Whop Philyor (252 receiving yards, 1 TD, 21 catches).
  2.  Michigan State was roughed up in a 49-7 loss at Iowa as a 5.5-point underdog last week, seven days after upsetting Michigan 27-24 in Ann Arbor as a 21.5-point dog. QB Rocky Lombardi, who was intercepted 3 times at Iowa, has thrown for 869 yards with 6 TDs vs. 5 INTs. WR Jalen Nailor leads the receiving corps with 271 yards and 1 TD on 12 catches. The running game, which ranks last in the Big Ten with 78.3 yards per game, has only one RB with 100-plus yards in Jordan Simmons (132 yards, 0 TD).
  3. Michigan State has won the last three and 10 of 11 vs. IU. The Spartans won 40-31 at home last season, but the Hoosiers covered the 14-point spread. The Spartans are 26-6-1 at home in the series, taking the last eight with the Hoosiers last win coming in 2001.

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Indiana at Michigan State: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Indiana 38, Michigan State 24

Money line (ML)

PASS. The Hoosiers (-264) will improve to 4-0 for the first time since 1987, but this price is more expensive than I like. Let’s make money on the spread.

Against the spread (ATS)

INDIANA -7.5 (+100) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1.5 times your usual wager. The Hoosiers are 3-0 ATS, averaging 37.0 points per game and allowing 25.7 PPG. The Spartans are 1-2 ATS, average 20.3 PPG and yield 37.0 points per game. INDIANA continues to roll.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 51.5 (-110) is the play. Indiana owns a 3-0 O/U record; Michigan State is 2-1.

Look for the Hoosiers to jump out early before letting their foot off the gas in the final quarter as they rest starters in anticipation of facing No. 3 Ohio State next week. Yes, this is what the season has turned into for the once-proud Spartans.

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2020 overall record (all sports) 138-104-3
Strongest plays (all sports) 68-39-1

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