Indiana at Iowa odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Indiana at Iowa odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 19 Indiana Hoosiers (10-3, 1-1 Big Ten) meet the Iowa Hawkeyes (8-6, 0-3) Thursday at Carver-Hawkeye Arena in Iowa City. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Indiana vs. Iowa odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

The Hoosiers return to Big Ten play after 4 games out of conference around the holidays, including losses to Arizona (89-75, Dec. 10) and Kansas (84-62, Dec. 17). Indiana has failed to cover the past 4 games dating back to an against the spread (ATS) win over Nebraska on Dec. 7, its most recent conference contest.

The Hawkeyes return home after a pair of conference losses at Nebraska (66-50, last Thursday) and Penn State (83-79, Sunday), and have failed to win or cover in 3 Big Ten games so far. The Over is 4-1 in the past 5 games for Iowa.

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Indiana at Iowa odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:22 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Off the board (OTB)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Indiana +1.5 (-115) | Iowa -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 152.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Indiana at Iowa picks and predictions

Prediction

Indiana 78, Iowa 75

Moneyline

The moneyline is off the board at the time of publishing, but Indiana will be a solid play as a road underdog if it opens as such. The Hoosiers are a little more battle-tested and won’t be fazed by a trip to Carver-Hawkeye Arena.

The last time Iowa was home, it lost to Eastern Illinois by a 92-83 count on Dec. 21, and the lack of defense has really hurt the Hawkeyes.

Against the spread

INDIANA +1.5 (-115) is quite a bit more expensive, so it will probably best to just play the moneyline when it opens.

The Hoosiers are just 1-3-1 ATS in the previous 5 games on the road, but the Hawkeyes are 1-4 ATS in the past 5 games overall. The underdog has cashed in 6 of the past 8 meetings in this series, too.

Over/Under

OVER 152.5 (-105) is the lean in this Big Ten battle, but go lightly.

The Over has cashed in 4 of the past 5 games against Iowa while going 9-2 in its last 11 games against teams with a winning record.

The Over has hit in 4 of the past 5 games for Indiana too while going 21-6 in its last 27 games against winning teams.

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Indiana at Iowa odds, expert picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Indiana at Iowa odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 17 Indiana Hoosiers travel to Kinnick Stadium for a Big Ten showdown against the No. 18 Iowa Hawkeyes for both teams’ season opener. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Indiana vs. Iowa odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings according to the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Indiana was one of the surprise stories in the Big Ten last season with a 6-2 record and finished in the top-25 for the first time since 1988. The Hoosiers return 17 starters (eight on offense, nine on defense) including junior QB Michael Penix Jr., who was lost to a season-ending torn ACL against the Maryland Terrapins Nov. 28.

After falling to 0-2, Iowa rattled off six straight wins to end its 2020 campaign and five of those victories were by double digits. The Hawkeyes bring back 14 starters (seven on each side of the ball) including junior QB Spencer Petras, leading rusher RB Tyler Goodson and preseason All-American C Tyler Linderbaum.

Indiana at Iowa odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 3:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indiana +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Iowa -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Indiana +3.5 (-105) | Iowa -3.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Indiana at Iowa odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Iowa 30, Indiana 21

Money line

PASS even though I like the Hawkeyes in this spot because Iowa (-200) is a little out of my price range for an outright win.

Iowa has won seven of the last eight meetings against Indiana but the last time these programs faced each other was in 2018.

Against the spread

GIMME IOWA -3.5 (-115) for 1 unit because the Hawkeyes should maul the Hoosiers up front and I have a few reasons to think Indiana will regress this season.

Iowa consistently develops offensive linemen that get drafted while Indiana isn’t known for its defensive prowess and ranked 113th in line yards allowed per play last season.

On top of that, Indiana ranked 111th in yards per rush last season, Iowa’s defense was fifth in yards per rush allowed and the Hawkeyes return their entire secondary. So, I’m expecting Indiana to have a lot of third and long situations and the Hoosiers were 82nd in third-down conversion rate.

Also, the Hoosiers had a minus-0.4 yards per play differential last season and benefitted from a conference-leading 20 takeaways. Iowa ranked 26th in offensive turnover rate and had a plus-1.1 yards per play differential.

Finally, there are a couple of other minor factors giving me confidence in Iowa such as a return back to a legitimate home-field advantage this season, Penix returning from a torn ACL and Petras being in his second season at the helm of Iowa’s offense.

BET IOWA -3.5 (-115).

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to OVER 46.5 (-112) for a tiny wager if at all because I much prefer Iowa to cover rather than the total.

However, we have some “reverse line movement” as roughly 85% of the cash wagered is on the Over, according to Pregame.com, but the total has been steamed down from the 47.5-point opener. It’s always a red flag when the House makes the more popular side cheaper.

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Week 1 first look: Indiana Hoosiers at Iowa Hawkeyes odds and lines, Iowa slight favorite in Top 25 Big Ten tilt

Previewing the college football Week 1 matchup between the Indiana Hoosiers and Iowa Hawkeyes, with odds, trends and head-to-head records.

The Indiana Hoosiers and Iowa Hawkeyes meet Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET at Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City, Iowa. Below, we look at the Indiana vs. Iowa odds and lines; check back for our college football picks and predictions.

Seventeenth-ranked (USA TODAY Sports AFCA Coaches Poll) Indiana is a program on the rise, and fifth-year head coach Tom Allen is looking to keep the upstart Hoosiers on the same trajectory that saw the program go from 5-7 to 8-5 to 6-2 over the last three years. IU was a combined 7-0 against the spread as a road dog over those three seasons. The Hoosiers are 0-3 ATS in their last three games against these Hawkeyes.

No. 18 Iowa matched Indiana’s 6-2 mark a year ago. The Hawkeyes’ two losses came in their first two games. They went undefeated the rest of the way, winning five games by a multiple scores. Iowa’s two losses? They came by a combined five points. The Hawkeyes are 9-5 ATS over their last 14 games as home favorites.

Indiana at Iowa odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 8:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indiana +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Iowa -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Indiana +3.5, -117 (bet $117 to win $100) | Iowa -3.5, -103 (bet $103 to win $100)
  • Total (Over/Under): 44.5, O: -117 (bet $117 to win $100) | U: -103 (bet $103 to win $100)

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2020 betting stats:

  • ML: Indiana 6-2 | Iowa 6-2
  • ATS: Indiana 7-1 | Iowa 5-2-1
  • O/U: Indiana 4-4 | Iowa 3-5

Indiana at Iowa head-to-head

Indiana is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road games. The Hoosiers are 28-45-4 all time against the Hawkeyes. The favorite has won four straight in the series. That includes the last game at Iowa when the Hawkeyes won 45-29 as 3.5-point favorites in 2014.

The Over has hit in six straight series meetings in Iowa City.

Iowa is 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven Big Ten games.

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Indiana at Iowa odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Thursday’s Indiana Hoosiers at Iowa Hawkeyes sports betting odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The No. 4 Iowa Hawkeyes (12-2 overall, 6-1 Big Ten) host the Indiana Hoosiers (8-6, 3-4) Thursday for a 9 p.m. ET tip. Below, we analyze the Indiana-Iowa college basketball betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Indiana at Iowa: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indiana +450 (bet $100 to win $450) | Iowa -650 (bet $650 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Indiana +10.5 (-110) | Iowa -10.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 152.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Indiana at Iowa: Three things to know

  1. Indiana had an unexpected week off as its Sunday game at Michigan State was postponed due to COVID-19 issues within the Spartans program. The Hoosiers last took the court Jan. 14 and lost at home to rival Purdue 81-69, failing to cover as 4-point favorites. Indiana, which has alternated wins and losses in its last four games, is led by sophomore F Trayce Jackson-Davis‘ 20.4 points per game and 8.9 rebounds per game.
  2. Iowa owns a five-game win streak, most recently cruising past Northwestern 96-73 as a 9.5-point road favorite Sunday. C Luka Garza led five Hawkeyes in double-figures with 17 points, while pulling down a game-high 10 rebounds. The senior leads the country with 26.9 PPG and averages a team-high 8.7 RPG.
  3. Despite a 38-point performance by Garza, Indiana won the lone meeting between the two rivals last season, claiming an 89-77 home victory as a 2.5-point favorite. Iowa won the previous two meetings but went just 1-1 ATS.

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Indiana at Iowa: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Iowa 88, Indiana 71

Money line (ML)

PASS. This will be a mismatch, but the Hawkeyes’ -650 ML price is not a wise bet.

Against the spread (ATS)

IOWA -10.5 (-110) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. The Hawkeyes’ 92.2 PPG rank second in the country, and they lead the Big Ten at 85.7 PPG in conference games.

The big discrepancy will be in the deep ball department. Indiana is not a threat behind the 3-point line, hitting just 31.4% in Big Ten games to rank 11th in the conference. Iowa is first at 41.9%.

ATS: Indiana 9-5 | Iowa 10-4

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 152.5 (-110). As mentioned above, Iowa is scoring at a 92.2 PPG clip. Indiana averages 72.6 PPG. As long as the two hit their averages, the Over shouldn’t be a problem.

O/U records: Indiana 7-7 | Iowa 10-4

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Johnny’s 2020-21 CBK record / Strongest plays 34-27 / 14-16
CBK record since Jan. 1 / Strongest plays 19-10 / 9-6
2021 overall record (all sports) / Strongest plays 31-15 / 16-8
2020 overall record (all sports) / Strongest plays 178-147-4 / 87-61-1

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