Illinois at Northwestern odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Illinois at Northwestern odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 24 Illinois Fighting Illini (9-4, 0-2 Big Ten) meet the Northwestern Wildcats (10-3, 1-1) Wednesday at Welsh-Ryan Arena in Evanston, Ill. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET (Big Ten Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Illinois vs. Northwestern odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

The Fighting Illini bounced back from a 93-71 shellacking against Missouri in St. Louis on Dec. 22 by posting an 85-52 win against Bethune-Cookman in a tune-up game Thursday. The Under has cashed in 3 of the past 4 games for Illinois.

The Wildcats were hammered by Ohio State on New Year’s Day by a 73-57 score, not even coming close to covering a 2.5-point number as ‘dogs. The loss snapped a 5-game win streak by Northwestern. The Under is 4-1 in the past 5 games overall.

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Illinois at Northwestern odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:05 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Illinois -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Northwestern +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Illinois -3.5 (-115) | Northwestern +3.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 134.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Illinois at Northwestern picks and predictions

Prediction

Illinois 68, Northwestern 63

Moneyline

ILLINOIS (-180) is a solid play on the moneyline if you don’t want to mess around with laying the points in a potentially close and low-scoring game, although it is at my personal limit.

The Illini were the much better team last season than the Wildcats, and Illinois did sweep Northwestern, but the margin of victory was just an average of 5.0 points per game. Illinois has won 8 straight meetings in the series dating back to Jan. 6, 2019, too.

Against the spread

ILLINOIS -3.5 (-115) is the lean here, although you can expect a good sweat. Go lightly, and play just a half-unit wager at most.

While the Illini has won 8 in a row in the series, Northwestern has covered 3 in a row in the series. The good news for potential Illini backers is that Illinois is 4-1 ATS in the past 5 trips to Evanston.

Over/Under

UNDER 132.5 (-105) is the lean here, but like the line, go lightly.

The Under is a perfect 7-for-7 in the previous 7 for the Illini against teams with a winning overall record, and it’s 5-2 in their past 7 games overall.

The Under is 13-3 in the past 16 at Welsh-Ryan the Northwestern, while going 4-1 in the past 5 games overall. The Under is 4-0 in the past 4 against teams with a winning record, too.

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Illinois at Northwestern odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Thursday’s Illinois Fighting Illini at Northwestern Wildcats sports betting odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Illinois Fighting Illini (8-3 overall, 4-1 Big Ten) travel upstate for a Thursday night battle against the Northwestern Wildcats (6-3, 3-2). The all-Illinois tilt at Welsh-Ryan Arena in Evanston is slated for a 9 p.m. ET tip. Below, we analyze the Illinois-Northwestern college basketball betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Illinois is No. 12 in the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Illinois at Northwestern: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated 12:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Illinois -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Northwestern +240 (bet $100 to win $240)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Illinois -6.5 (-110) | Northwestern +6.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 148.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Illinois at Northwestern: Three things to know

  1. Northwestern dropped out of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll after losing games at Iowa and Michigan last week. NU was out-rebounded in both of those losses and has now been outdone on the boards in all five of its Big Ten games. The Wildcats are an above-average team on the defensive glass, but offensive rebounding analytics peg Northwestern as a bottom-50 team.
  2. Illinois swept two games from NU last season (75-71 at home, 74-66 in Evanston) and has won four in a row against the Wildcats (all four decided by 8 or fewer points). Against the spread, the Illini are 9-1-1 in 11 head-to-head games since 2015. Six-foot-5 G Ayo Dosunmu averaged 18.0 points and 5.0 assists per game in last season’s UI wins over Northwestern. Dosunmu leads this year’s team in scoring, at 23.0 points per game.
  3. The Illini are shooting 41.8% from 3-point range this season. That mark ranks eighth in the nation. The Wildcats rank right behind at 41.1%, good for 11th. Threes account for a larger portion of the NU offense, as the Wildcats attempt 23.2 triples per game, 5.5 more than Illinois.

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Illinois at Northwestern: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Illinois 82, Northwestern 71

Money line (ML)

Illinois is the hard lean, but the -300 price here is exorbitant. STEER CLEAR.

Against the spread (ATS)

Illinois was sharp in its last road game, a 98-81 win at Penn State Dec. 23. Two road games back was a disappointment at Rutgers with a 91-88 loss Dec. 20. UI led most of the way but was uncharacteristically shaky on the defensive glass and was outscored 25-11 at the free-throw line.

Peg this one as a possibility for getting away from Northwestern if 3s don’t fall.

BACK THE ILLINI -6.5 (-110).

Over/Under (O/U)

THE OVER 148.5 (-110) IS A STRONG PLAY.

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