Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Houston Texans and Indianapolis Colts meet Sunday in an AFC South battle as both teams kick off their 2024 seasons. Kickoff from Lucas Oil Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Texans vs. Colts odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Houston added a lot of key pieces this offseason with the hopes of building on what was a successful 2023 campaign that ended with a 34-10 loss vs. Baltimore in the Divisional Round of the playoffs. WR Stefon Diggs, RB Joe Mixon and DE Danielle Hunter were among the key additions for the Texans.

Indianapolis is looking to see if QB Anthony Richardson can improve on a rookie year that involved shoulder surgery, but also some signs of potential, this season. The Colts acquired some big names in the draft with UCLA DE Laiatu Latu and Texas WR Adonai Mitchell, who they hope will both contribute as rookies.

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Texans at Colts odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:20 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Texans -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Colts +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Texans -3 (-105) | Colts +3 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U):49 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Texans at Colts key injuries

Texans

  • None

Colts

  • WR Josh Downs (ankle) out

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Texans at Colts picks and predictions

Prediction

Texans 27, Colts 24

Moneyline

BET TEXANS (-160). 

I like the Texans to win here as they are the more talented and more proven team. We saw last year what C.J. Stroud can do, and going into this game he has even more weapons at his disposal, and another year of camp and preseason should give him even more comfort.

Against the spread

LEAN COLTS +3 (-115). 

This is a divisional game, and we know that divisional games are often the toughest, and closest games we see in the regular season. Combine that with the fact that Houston has a lot of new pieces to integrate on both sides of the ball, and you will see that Indianapolis will have chances in this game. I expect for the Colts to keep this one close.

This is a lean because Houston is the better team, and while Richardson did show flashes of potential, his accuracy throwing the ball is still questionable.

Over/Under

BET OVER 49 (-110). 

The Texans should have a very potent offense that will tear up this lackluster Colts defense. Houston’s defense got better in the offseason, but there are a lot of pieces that are new and, like with the offense, we will likely see some growing pains that Indy should be able to take advantage of to score some points.

Be aware that this line comes with risk as Houston’s defense will likely be improved.

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Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Houston Texans (1-4) are on the road to take on the Indianapolis Colts (1-4) Sunday. Kickoff from Lucas Oil Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Texans vs. Colts odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

Coming off a heartbreaking loss to the Baltimore Ravens despite leading for most of the game, the Colts are back home and look to take down a struggling Texans squad. The Colts are led by RB Jonathan Taylor and QB Carson Wentz.

They used a trio of running backs including Nyheim Hines and Marlon Mack in their loss to the Ravens. WR T.Y. Hilton has also been activated and may give them another threat out wide.

The Texans have used rookie QB Davis Mills after Tyrod Taylor went down early in the season. Mills threw for over 300 yards and 3 touchdowns against the New England Patriots last weekend.

Houston’s lone win came in its season opener against the still-winless Jacksonville Jaguars. Its average loss this season has been more than 15 points, which is one reason why the Colts are heavy favorites in this one.

Texans at Colts odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Texans +400 (bet $100 to win $400) | Colts -550 (bet $550 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Texans +10.5 (-120) | Colts -10.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 42.5 (O: -117 | U: -103)

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Texans at Colts key injuries

Texans

  • OL Laremy Tunsil (thumb) out
  • OL Justin Britt (knee) questionable
  • CB Desmond King II (hip) questionable

Colts

  • CB Xavier Rhodes (concussion) questionable
  • S Andrew Sendejo (concussion) out
  • Rodrigo Blankenship (hip) out
  • RT Braden Smith (foot, thumb) out

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Texans at Colts odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Colts 27, Texans 16

Money line

PASS on the money line.

While the Texans haven’t shown much these last few weeks and the Colts did just lose a heartbreaking overtime game against the AFC North-leading Ravens, -550 is a value I’d stay far away from.

Against the spread

BET on the COLTS -10.5 (+100) as their talented team should be dominant at home. With Hilton, WR Michael Pittman Jr., and Taylor all set to play, Wentz will have his full array of weapons.

Add in the fact that Tunsil is out on the Houston offensive line, and the LB Darius Leonard-led Colts defense should be able to get after the quarterback. Injuries and home-field both favor the Colts.

Coming off an impressive loss while Houston is two weeks removed from losing to the Buffalo Bills by 40, and I’m going with the hot-handed Colts who need to prove they can win.

At home, they should be able to hang at least an 11-point win on Houston.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 42.5 (-117) as the best value on the total.

The Colts have scored 24 or more points in three of their last four games. Going against a Texans side that allowed more than 60 in their last two games, Wentz should be able to expose Houston.

Mills is gaining confidence as well, coming off a 3-touchdown showing. Indianapolis has given up 27 or more points in three of five games as well. Leonard’s defense hasn’t held up well.

I expect Mills to at least be capable, and the Colts to continue to find their rhythm, making the Over the better of the two values.

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Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts Week 15 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Houston Texans (4-9) visit the Indianapolis Colts (9-4) Sunday of Week 15 for a 1 p.m. ET kickoff. Below, we preview the Texans-Colts betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Texans at Colts: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 3:45 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Texans +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Colts -375 (bet $375 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Texans +7.5 (-110) | Colts -7.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 50.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Texans at Colts: Game notes

  • The Texans enter on a two-game skid, including a 36-7 loss at the Chicago Bears in Week 14. The Texans, who were 1-point favorites, trailed 30-7 at the break and never threatened in the second half. Houston’s defense, which ranks 31st in total yards allowed per game (406.6), surrendered 410 yards to Chicago, which ranks 28th in total YPG (319.8). Houston QB Deshaun Watson threw for 219 yards with 1 TD and no interceptions, but he was sacked 6 times.
  • The Colts offense was nearly perfect last week, scoring on 7 of its first 8 possessions in a 44-27 road win at the Las Vegas Raiders. Indy, which was a 2.5-point favorite, rushed for 212 yards led by rookie RB Jonathan Taylor‘s career-best 150 yards and 2 touchdowns. QB Philip Rivers threw for 244 yards and 2 TDs, both to WR T.Y. Hilton (5 receptions, 86 yards).
  • The Colts, winners in four of their last five, have the same record as the AFC South-leading Tennessee Titans. The rivals split their two games this season, but the Titans win the tiebreaker based on a better division record at 4-1 to the Colts’ 2-2 mark.
  • Indy, currently in the AFC’s No. 6 playoff seed, will next visit the Pittsburgh Steelers (11-2) and close at home against the Jacksonville Jaguars (1-12). The Titans host the Detroit Lions (5-8) Sunday, followed by road games at the Green Bay Packers (10-3) and Texans.
  • The Texans have lost three of their last five games and have been eliminated from the playoff race.
  • The Colts won 26-20 at the Texans in Week 13 as 3.5-point favorites but needed a late turnover to secure the victory. Houston faced 2nd-and-goal at the Colts’ 2-yard line with 1:28 to go, but a low snap led to a fumble, which LB Anthony Walker recovered. Rivers threw for 285 yards and 2 TDs, while Taylor ran for 91 yards and Hilton had 110 receiving yards and a TD in the win.
  • The Colts are 4-1 straight up and 5-0 ATS in the last 5 games of the head-to-head series. The Texans won 20-17 in Week 12 of last season but failed to cover as 3.5-point favorites.

Betting stats:

  • ATS: Texans 4-9 | Colts 8-5
  • O/U: Texans 6-7 | Colts 8-5

Texans at Colts: Key injuries

Texans

  • WR Brandin Cooks (neck) questionable
  • CB Phillip Gaines (knee) questionable
  • RB Duke Johnson (neck) questionable
  • RB C.J. Prosise (ankle) questionable

Colts

  • TE Mo Alie-Cox (knee) questionable
  • DT DeForest Buckner (ankle) questionable

Texans at Colts: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Colts 27, Texans 20

Money line (?)

PASS. The Colts will prevail, but their -375 price isn’t worth the risk.

Against the spread (?)

HOUSTON +7.5 (-110) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1.5 times your usual wager. The Colts are fighting for a division title, while the Texans are out of the playoff race, but this is a rivalry game. Eight of the last 10 games between the two rivals have been decided by 7 or fewer points.

Over/Under (?)

PASSING here, too. The lean is toward the Under 50.5, but there are just too many conflicting trends. The Over is 5-1 in Indy’s last 6 games inside the AFC South. The Under is 4-0 in Houston’s last 4 as an underdog. Indy is 4-1 O/U in its last 5 games; Houston is 1-4 O/U in its last 5.

The reason for the lean? The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between the two and 7-3 in the last 10.

Want action on this NFL game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Also see:

Johnny’s 2020 NFL record / Strongest plays 22-21-1 / 9-9-1
2019 NFL record / Strongest plays 17-10-1 / 7-4
2020 overall record (all sports) 167-131-3
Strongest plays (all sports) 81-53-1

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