Houston Texans vs. Dallas Cowboys odds predictions pick betting line spread

First look: Houston Texans at Dallas Cowboys odds and lines

Looking at Monday’s Houston Texans at Dallas Cowboys Week 11 NFL odds, lines and trends. Here’s what you need to know.

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The Houston Texans (6-4) meet the Dallas Cowboys (3-6) for Monday Night Football in Week 11. Kickoff from AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN/ABC). Below, we look at Texans vs. Cowboys odds from BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds before making our expert NFL picks and predictions later in the week.

The Texans lost 26-23 against the Detroit Lions on Sunday Night Football. Houston forced 5 interceptions, and it led a majority of the game, including 23-7 at halftime. But the Texans collapsed in the 2nd half, getting outscored 19-0, including a 52-yard game-winning field goal by Texas native K Jake Bates.

The Cowboys played their first game without injured QB Dak Prescott, losing 34-6 against the rival Philadelphia Eagles in Week 10. Prescott is expected to miss the remainder of the season with a torn hamstring. QB Cooper Rush started, and he was eventually replaced by QB Trey Lance.

Dallas is back home for MNF in Week 11. It slipped to 0-4 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in the first 4 games at Jerry World.

Texans at Cowboys odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Monday at 6:06 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Texans -350 (bet $350 to win $100) | Cowboys +260 (bet $100 to win $260)
Against the spread: Texans -7.5 (-110) | Cowboys +7.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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2024 betting stats

ML: Texans 6-4 | Cowboys 3-6
ATS: Texans 4-5-1 | Cowboys 2-6-1
O/U: Texans 2-7-1 | Cowboys 5-4

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Texans vs. Cowboys head-to-head

The Cowboys lead the all-time series 4-2.

Dallas has picked up 4 wins in the past 5 meetings, and the Cowboys are 3-0 SU at home in this series, although the Texans have covered the past 2 trips to the Metroplex.

In the 6 all-time meetings, the Under has cashed 5 times, although the Over (44.5) cashed in the most recent battle in the series on Dec. 11, 2022, a 27-23 victory by the Cowboys.

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Houston Texans at Dallas Cowboys odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Houston Texans at Dallas Cowboys odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Houston Texans (1-10-1) will travel to AT&T Stadium to call on the Dallas Cowboys (9-3) Sunday at 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Texans vs. Cowboys odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

After turning away from QB Davis Mills in favor of Kyle Allen, Texans coach Lovie Smith has decided to go back to Mills against the Cowboys. No matter the QB, the Texans offense has struggled mightily in 2022 and a wholesale change is ahead in the offseason.

RB Dameon Pierce has had a solid season as a rookie, tied for 5th with 198 carries and tied for 8th with 861 yards. Pierce has been the lone bright spot for a dreadful Houston team that has all but secured the No. 1 draft pick.

The Cowboys, despite having QB Dak Prescott and WR CeeDee Lamb, have also relied heavily on the run game in 2022. Tony Pollard has rushed for 852 yards and Ezekiel Elliott has gained 654 yards.

The Cowboys’ ability to score in the run game and in the pass game has helped them overcome injuries and inconsistent play on the offensive line. While the Cowboys defense has been top notch, it is more vulnerable against the run then against the pass.

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Texans at Cowboys odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:41 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Texans +950 (bet $100 to win $950) | Cowboys -2000 (bet $2000 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Texans +17 (-110) | Cowboys -17 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -109 | U: -111)

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Texans at Cowboys key injuries

Texans

WR Niko Collins (foot) questionable
WR Brandin Cooks (calf) questionable
CB Derek Stingley Jr. (hamstring) questionable

Cowboys

DE DeMarcus Lawrence (foot) questionable
LB Leighton Vander Esch (illness) questionable

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Texans at Cowboys picks and predictions

Prediction

Cowboys 27, Texans 13

Moneyline

PASS.

Dallas at -2000 is far too large to make a play on and the +950 would be a great payout, but it will not hit. For this reason, neither side is a good play, and it is best to stay away.

Against the spread

BET HOUSTON +17 (-110).

Run the ball. This will be the mantra of both sides in this battle for Texas.

Pierce will get 25 or more carries in this game as the Texans just look to not get blown off the field since after a 54-19 victory over the Indianapolis Colts last Sunday, Dallas will come into this game hyped up.

I do not see this game being close or particularly interesting. But I do see it landing within the 17-point number. Therefore, Houston +17 (-110) is my favorite play in this matchup.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 44.5 (-109).

This number is low and getting lower. If it gets to 42.5, I will stay away. But if you can get 44.5, I still like the Under.

According to CBS Sports, since 2010 after Week 8 in games with spreads of 17 or more, the Under has hit 6 of 8 times. While this is not a large sample size, neither are 17-point spreads. We know at this point in the season who teams are. We know for sure what these teams are. Both want to run the ball. The Texans will ride Pierce and the Cowboys will ride Elliott and Pollard. This is the same reason I prefer the Texans ATS as well. The game will be shortened, and Dallas wants to get out injury-free and move on to the next game. The Cowboys are looking forward to the playoffs. This means they are also looking past this game. A breezy game is in store so take the Under 44 (-109).

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Houston Texans at Dallas Cowboys odds and lines: 2021 Texas Governor’s Cup

Odds and lines for Saturday’s Houston Texans at Dallas Cowboys NFL preseason Week 2 game. Can the Cowboys win the Governor’s Cup as favorites?

The Houston Texans (1-0) and Dallas Cowboys (0-2) meet Saturday for the Texas Governor’s Cup. Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. ET at AT&T Stadium. Below, we look at the Texans at Cowboys odds and lines.

The Texans have had a tumultuous offseason with issues surrounding QB Deshaun Watson but still opened their preseason with a 26-7 win at the Green Bay Packers that saw very few starters take the field on either side.

Presumed Week 1 starter QB Tyrod Taylor was 4-for-4 for 40 yards; 2021 third-round draft pick QB Davis Mills was 11-for-22 for 112 yards and 1 interception. Houston added 170 yards on the ground split between six ball carriers.

Dallas dropped both of its preseason games so far, falling 16-3 to the Pittsburgh Steelers in the Hall of Fame Game and 19-16 to the Arizona Cardinals in Week 1 of the preseason. The Cowboys’ anticipated Week 1 starters on offense have yet to take the field for any meaningful period of time.

QB Dak Prescott continues his recovery from an ankle injury that sidelined him for all but five games in 2020 and has been struggling with soreness in the shoulder of his throwing arm. In his absence, Garrett Gilbert, Ben DiNucci and Cooper Rush have split reps almost equally as they battle to be his backup.

Texans at Cowboys: Odds, spread and line

Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 7:30 p.m. ET.

Money line: Texans +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Cowboys -200 (bet $200 to win $110)
Against the spread/ATS: Off the board (OTB) at time of publishing
Total: 37.5, Over -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Under -110 (bet $110 to win $100)

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2020 Betting stats:

ATS: Texans 6-10 | Cowboys 5-11
O/U: Texans 8-8 | Cowboys 9-7

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The Texans, at +160 odds, have an implied 38.46% chance of winning. This can be listed as 8/5 fractional odds or 2.60 decimal odds.

The Cowboys (-200) have an implied 66.67% chance of beating Houston. This is also listed as 1.50 decimal odds or 1/2 fractional odds.

At the time of publishing the spread was OTB, meaning no spread had been released.

There would need to be a combined 38 points scored Saturday for an OVER 37.5 (-110) ticket to cash, while a combined point total of 37 or fewer points is a win for the Under.

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