NFL player props: 5 best bets for Week 5

NFL handicapper John Holler looks at the NFL Week 5 slate and tabs the 5 best NFL player props to cash in on.

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As options for prop bets get fewer with the arrival of byes, Week 5’s picks feature 5 road warriors — players going into hostile environments to find success.

Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds and lines, and tab the best NFL Week 5 player prop bets to cash in on among SportbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

Our selections include a pair of AFC quarterbacks whose passing Over/Under numbers are too high, a veteran running back who has owned his Week 5 opponent, the NFL’s best tight end going against a sub-par defense and an emerging star looking to make some noise in Vegas.

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NFL Week 5 prop bet picks and predictions

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 8:29 p.m. ET. All games Sunday and ET unless noted.

Texans QB C.J. Stroud UNDER 246.5 passing yards (-115)

– At Falcons, 1 p.m. (FOX)

Stroud has passed for at least 280 yards in each of his las3 games, but the Texans defense has struggled to stop the run. Against a team like Atlanta, that’s a problem. The Falcons are going to bring the 1-2 running back punch of Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier early and often. If the Texans defense can’t bottle up the Falcons run game (few do), Atlanta will run 35-40 times. Stroud clearly has the ability to top this O/U number but may not get the opportunity.

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Titans RB Derrick Henry OVER 77.5 rushing yards (-115)

– At Colts, 1 p.m. (CBS)

Henry hasn’t been consistently dominant this season, but he hasn’t played the Colts yet. Few players have ever dominated a divisional matchup like Henry has the Colts. The Titans are 6-1 in the last 7 head-to-head meetings and Henry is as big a reason as any. He topped 100 rushing yards in 6 of those 7 games and rushed 26 or more times in 5 of them. The Colts have never been able to hold him down and if he has an average day, he will blow past this number.

Bengals QB Joe Burrow UNDER 248.5 passing yards (-115)

– At Cardinals, 4:05 p.m. (FOX)

Burrow has only surpassed this number once this season and his calf injury has resulted in his lowest yards per pass of his career. It’s so bad that his season average yards per pass (4.82) is lower than any single game he had in his first 3 seasons combined. With WR Tee Higgins a question mark, a bad situation gets worse. The Bengals are throwing more than 40 times a game and rushing less than 20 times. It’s a formula that doesn’t translate into wins, so look for the Bengals to emphasize the run and Burrow’s numbers to suffer.

Chiefs TE Travis Kelce OVER 77.5 receiving yards (-120)

– At Vikings, 4:25 p.m. (CBS)

Kelce is averaging 51.7 receiving yards a game, so this number might seem high. But these are the Vikings and a defense that can be had by a veteran quarterback like Patrick Mahomes. Minnesota has allowed three 100-yard receivers in the last 3 games and Kelce is due for the kind of game that has made him a Hall of Fame lock. This is the right opponent at the right time for Kelce to have a huge day.

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Packers WR Romeo Doubs OVER 47.5 receiving yards (-115)

– At Raiders, Monday 8:15 p.m. (ABC/ESPN)

The Raiders are a mess and continue to find ways to lose. What makes Doubs an interesting candidate for this prime-time game is that he and QB Jordan Love have connected in a big way over the last 2 games. Doubs has been targeted 25 times in those games — more than double anyone else on the team — with 14 receptions for 168 yards and a touchdown. He only needs about half of that average to hit the Over here.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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