Houston at SMU odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Houston at SMU odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 2 Houston Cougars (23-2, 11-1 American) visit the SMU Mustangs (9-17, 4-9) on Thursday. Tip from Moody Coliseum is set for 7 p.m. (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Houston vs. SMU odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Houston destroyed Tulsa 80-42 on Wednesday, covering as 28-point home favorites. It has now won 5 in a row and 9 of its last 10. The Cougars are 6-4 in their last 10 games against the spread (ATS) to improve to 16-9 ATS this season.

SMU fell to 91-89 in overtime on Sunday, covering as 6.5-point road underdogs. It has covered the spread in back-to-back games, but SMU is just 3-6-1 ATS in its previous 10 games. On this season, the Mustangs are 9-16-1 ATS.

In their first matchup this season in early January, Houston throttled SMU 87-53 covering as 20-point home favorites.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Houston at SMU odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:14 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Houston -1400 (bet $1400 to win $100) | SMU +700 (bet $100 to win $700)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Houston -15.5 (-110) | SMU +15.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 137.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Houston at SMU picks and predictions

Prediction

Houston 79, SMU 62

Moneyline

PASS.

At 14 times the potential return, the moneyline is unplayable in this matchup.

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Against the spread

LEAN HOUSTON -15.5 (-110).

While 15.5 points seems like a lot, the Cougars have been playing outstanding basketball recently. They are undefeated on the road with an 8-0 record and have the best defense in college basketball, ranking 1st in both opponent points per game (55) and opponent FG percentage (35.2%).

The Cougars are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games, and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games against a team with a losing home record.

The favorite is also 4-1 ATS in the last 5 matchups between these 2 programs.

Over/Under

BET OVER 137.5 (-115).

The Over is 4-1 in Houston’s last 5 games and 8-2 in SMU’s last 10.

The Over is 4-0 in the Mustangs’ last 4 games following a ATS win, 4-0 in their last 4 Thursday games, 10-1 in their last 11 games following an outright loss, and 7-1 in their last 8 home games.

While Houston has a great defense, a late push from SMU rallying behind their home crowd is what is going to help the Over hit.

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Houston at SMU odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Houston Cougars at SMU Mustangs sports betting odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Houston Cougars (7-1 overall, 2-1 AAC) pay a visit to Moody Coliseum in Dallas where they’ll face the SMU Mustangs (6-0, 2-0) Sunday night. Tip-off will be at 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Houston-SMU college basketball betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Houston is No. 5 in the Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Houston at SMU: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:05 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Houston -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | SMU +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Houston -3.5 (-105) | SMU +3.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 136.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Houston at SMU: Three things to know

  1. The Cougars have yielded just 55.9 points per game, an average that leads the AAC and ranks fourth in the nation. Ball-hawking UH defenders have held foes under 40% from the field in 5 of 8 games, and the Cougars have forced 16.9 turnovers per contest.
  2. Southern Methodist ranks first in the circuit and 29th in the nation in scoring. SMU is averaging 84.2 PPG. Junior G Kendric Davis leads a group of five Mustang players averaging double figures. Davis is averaging 19.2 PPG and 7.2 assists per contest. His assist figure is tops in the AAC.
  3. UH won its first seven games of the season. The Cougars then dropped a 65-64 decision at Tulsa Tuesday. Sunday’s game at SMU marks Houston’s third straight game on the road. UH is 1-1 against the spread away from home this season but over its last six games abroad the Cougars are 1-5 ATS.

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Houston at SMU: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Houston 72, SMU 68

Money line (ML)

Both teams are top-75 in offensive efficiency analytics, but Houston has a much better defense. Look for the Cougars to bounce back strong, leveraging turnovers and frequent trips to the charity stripe.

SMU looks to be a tad overrated. The Mustangs’ last three games — wins against Dayton, East Carolina, and Temple — included a lot of clock time with margins significantly different than the end results.

TAKE HOUSTON -160 IN A PLAY WITH SOLID VALUE.

Against the spread (ATS)

BACK THE COUGARS -3.5 (-105) as an undercard play if you have them on the moneyline. The lean here is on an Over, but the 3.5-point cushion brings some risk in a game that marks the Cougars’ third straight on the road and against a team that can shoot the 3-ball.

Over/Under (O/U)

Houston free throws and transition points, both sides being above average on the offensive boards and SMU converting on 39.6% of its 3-pointers at home all mix together for a total in the 140-range.

TAKE THE OVER 136.5 (-110).

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