Oregon State at Houston NCAA Tournament Elite 8 Odds, Picks and Prediction

An Elite 8 matchup features the No. 2 seed Houston Cougars (24-3) and the No. 12 seed Oregon State Beavers (17-12) playing with a place in the Final Four up for grabs on Monday

An Elite 8 matchup features the No. 2 seed Houston Cougars (24-3) and the No. 12 seed Oregon State Beavers (17-12) playing with a place in the Final Four up for grabs on Monday at Lucas Oil Stadium. Houston is a 8-point favorite in the NCAA Tournament Midwest Region bracket final, which starts at 7:15 PM ET on CBS.

On Saturday, the Cougars faced Syracuse and emerged victorious, 62-46. The Cougars were favored by 6.5 points and covered the spread while the teams combined to go under the 139.5 point total.

Ethan Thompson led the way for the Beavers with a team-high 22 points last time out as they picked up a 65-58 win over Loyola Chicago and covered the 7-point spread as underdogs. The teams combined to hit the under on the 125.5 point total set for the matchup.

Oregon State at Houston: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list.
Lines last updated at 6 p.m. ET March 29, 2021.

  • Money line: Oregon State +310 (bet $100 to win $310) | Houston -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Oregon State +8 (-110) | Houston -8 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 128.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Houston: Three things to know

  • Quentin Grimes leads the Cougars in scoring, averaging 18.0 points per game. Grimes leads the squad with a team-high 3.4 made three-pointers per game.
  • The 76.9 points per game the Cougars score are 9.2 more points than the Beavers allow (67.7).
  • When Houston puts up more than 67.7 points, it is 22-1 overall and 17-0 against the spread.

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Oregon State: Three things to know

  • Thompson leads the Beavers in points and assists. He scores 15.8 points per game while adding 3.8 assists. Jarod Lucas averages 2.3 made threes per game to lead the team.
  • The Beavers put up an average of 70.8 points per game, 13.3 more points than the 57.5 the Cougars give up to opponents.
  • Oregon State has put together a 20-8 overall record and a 19-0-1 ATS record in games where it scores more than 57.5 points.

Oregon State at Houston: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Houston 74, Oregon State 62

Money line

BetMGM and the model are in agreement that the Houston Cougars are the money line favorite in this game.

Against the spread (ATS)

The MGM line for this game has the Cougars favored by 8, while the model predicts they’ll win by considerably more (12 points). Put your money on the Cougars.

Over/Under (O/U)

In this game, the model projects a total (136 points) slightly higher than the MGM over/under (128.5 points).

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March Madness: Houston vs. Oregon State odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Monday’s Houston Cougars vs. Oregon State Beavers odds and lines, with March Madness Elite Eight picks and predictions.

The second-seeded Houston Cougars (27-3) take on the 12th-seeded Oregon State Beavers (20-12) Monday in the Midwest Regional Final at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET on CBS. Below, we analyze the Houston-Oregon State odds and lines, with March Madness NCAA Tournament picks and predictions.

The Cougars are in the Elite Eight for the first time since 1984 when Clyde Drexler and Hakeem Olajuwon were wrapping up the Phi Slama Jamma era in Houston.

This Houston team is the first team to face a double-digit seed in each of its first four NCAA Tournament games, a historically favorable path to the Final Four if it wins Monday.

The Cougars are 2-1 against the spread (ATS) in the tourney. Houston topped Cleveland State by 29 and Syracuse by 16. Their only non-cover came in the second round against Rutgers, winning by just three.

Oregon State, which was a .500 team after 22 regular-season games, beat Tennessee, Oklahoma State and Loyola Chicago to crash into the Elite Eight.

The Beavers have covered six straight postseason games and 13 of their past 14 games overall. They’re 18-3-1 ATS across the past 22 games dating back to Jan. 16.

Houston vs. Oregon State: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:05 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Houston -375 (bet $375 to win $100) | Oregon State +290 (bet $100 to win $290)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Houston -8 (-110) | Oregon State +8 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 129.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Houston vs. Oregon State: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Houston 66, Oregon State 62

Money line (ML)

Houston (-375) will cost you nearly four times your potential return on investment. That’s just not a good long-term betting strategy, especially against a red-hot team that has proven capable of beating anybody.

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Against the spread (ATS)

OREGON STATE +8 (-110) is on fire against the number. The Beavers are not going to win this one outright, but they will be able to keep it inside four buckets.

In the second round, the Cougars were fortunate to get by Rutgers, a team with a similar style to Oregon State. Senior G Ethan Thompson, sophomore G Jarod Lucas and junior F Warith Alatishe are a Big Three that will give Houston fits right to the final buzzer.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 129.5 (-110) is the play. The lockdown defense of Houston was on full display in its Sweet 16 game against Syracuse, as the Cougars allowed just 46 points.

Oregon State knows a little bit about defense, too, turning the tables on Loyola Chicago in a 65-58 win and Under (125.5) result Saturday. The Under is 2-1 in the NCAA Tournament for the Beavers, who have yielded just 61.3 points per game in the Big Dance.

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