Hornets Spurs odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Charlotte Hornets at San Antonio Spurs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Charlotte Hornets at San Antonio Spurs odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Charlotte Hornets and San Antonio Spurs open their seasons Wednesday at AT&T Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Hornets vs. Spurs odds, and our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Hornets finished 10th in the Eastern Conference last season with a 43-39 record and lost in the Play-In Game 132-103 at the Atlanta Hawks. Charlotte was 8th in the league in offensive rating (113.6) but also 22nd in defensive rating (113.1). Then-coach James Borrego was fired in the offseason and replaced by former Orlando Magic coach Steve Clifford.

F Miles Bridges’ status for the season remains uncertain as he awaits a preliminary hearing in his felony domestic violence case. Bridges led Charlotte last season with 20.2 points per game.

The Spurs traded All-Star combo guard Dejounte Murray to the Hawks in the offseason after finishing 10th in the Western Conference with a 34-48 record.

San Antonio is tied with the Magic, Detroit Pistons, Indiana Pacers, Houston Rockets, Oklahoma City Thunder and Sacramento Kings for the worst odds to win the NBA Finals at +50000.

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Hornets at Spurs odds

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Hornets -112 (bet $112 to win $100) | Spurs -108 (bet $108 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Hornets -1.5 (-101) | Spurs +1.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 221.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Hornets at Spurs key injuries

Hornets

PG LaMelo Ball (ankle) out

Spurs

None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Hornets at Spurs picks and predictions

Prediction

Spurs 111, Hornets 107

Moneyline

BET SPURS (-108).

A red flag to watch out for in the NBA is teams playing without their star player. Many times, oddsmakers will over-adjust to the news and there is value on the injury-riddled team.

However, Ball’s injury combined with Bridges’ absence is too much of a loss for the Hornets. The Spurs should win straight up and I would bet them on the ML until they become a slight favorite.

Against the spread

BET SPURS +1.5 (-120).

This number was Spurs +2.5 (-110) Tuesday, so you are getting the worse number by not betting it early. However, the Spurs are still undervalued in this spot. Charlotte needs to be downgraded this season due to the uncertainty with Bridges. In addition, Ball is the primary ball-handler for the Hornets and his injury combined with the Spurs at full strength should’ve made San Antonio the favorite. Take the points with the Spurs.

Over/Under

PASS.

The Over was 4-0 in the Hornets’ final 4 road games last season and the Under is 8-3 in the last 11 head-to-head meetings in San Antonio. There are too many conflicting trends here for me to confidently bet the total. Both teams are also very different this year since they will be playing without their leading scorers from last season (Bridges, Murray).

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Charlotte Hornets at San Antonio Spurs odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Charlotte Hornets at San Antonio Spurs odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Charlotte Hornets (15-14) meet the San Antonio Spurs (10-16) Wednesday at the AT&T Center for an 8:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Hornets vs. Spurs odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Charlotte got stomped its last time out 120-96 by the Mavericks in Dallas as 2.5-point road underdogs.

In December, the Hornets are 2-4 straight-up (SU), 5-1 ATS and 4-1-1 O/U with the 22nd-best non-garbage time efficiency differential (minus-4.5 points per 100 possessions), according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

San Antonio is coming off a 112-97 victory over the New Orleans Pelicans Sunday. The Spurs are 4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS and 3-3-1 O/U with the 11th-best non-garbage time efficiency differential (plus-3.7 points per 100 possessions).

These teams split the series 1-1 last regular season with the road team winning and covering each game and either side of the total cashing.

Hornets at Spurs odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:15 p.m. ET.

Money line: Hornets +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Spurs -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Hornets +3.5 (-110) | Spurs -3.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 225.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Hornets at Spurs key injuries

Hornets

C Mason Plumlee (ribs) probable
PG LaMelo Ball (health and safety protocols) out

Spurs

None.

Hornets at Spurs odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Spurs 117, Hornets 109

Money line

PASS even though I “like” San Antonio to cover the spread because the Spurs (-160) is just a little out of my price range.

However, if San Antonio’s money line was south of -140 then I’d probably take that instead of the Spurs laying the points.

Against the spread

BET the SPURS -3.5 (-110) for 1 unit because this is a way better spot for San Antonio than Charlotte.

First of all, the Spurs are 8-3 ATS vs. teams with a winning record and 4-1 ATS as a home favorite with a plus-10.8 spread differential.

Second, both teams like to get out in transition, but San Antonio has the best defensive efficiency vs. fastbreak offense whereas Charlotte has the fifth-worst transition defense efficiency.

Also, the Spurs attempt the second-highest volume of midrange field goals in the NBA (per CTG), and the Hornets have the second-worst defensive field goal percentage vs. midrange attempts.

Finally, despite these pro-San Antonio arguments, more money is coming in on Charlotte according to both Pregame.com and the Yahoo! Sports app.

GIMME the SPURS -3.5 (-110), who are the less popular side, trending up and with a way better case for covering the spread than the Hornets +3.5 (-110).

Over/Under

PASS with slight “lean” to the Over 225.5 (-115) because both teams can put up some points and play at a fast pace, but neither defense can stop a nosebleed.

However, a vast majority of the market has similar analysis apparently hence far more bets being placed on the Over, and I hate following the herd in sports betting.

Furthermore, both squads have a below-average 3-point attempt rate and free-throw attempt rate so an off-shooting quarter could jeopardize any Over bets in this contest.

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Charlotte Hornets at San Antonio Spurs odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Monday’s Charlotte Hornets at San Antonio Spurs NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The San Antonio Spurs (22-17) host the Charlotte Hornets (20-21) at AT&T Center Monday. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Hornets-Spurs odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

San Antonio had a three-game win streak snapped by the Milwaukee Bucks in a 120-113 loss Saturday. The Spurs covered the spread as 11.5-point underdogs; they’re 4-3 straight up and 5-2 against the spread since the All-Star break.

This is the fourth game of a five-game Western Conference road trip for the Hornets. They’ve lost the first three contests thus far and failed to cover the spread in each game. Charlotte’s losing skid followed a four-game winning streak that started a game before the All-Star break. The Hornets are 3-3 straight up and 2-4 ATS since the break.

The Spurs crushed the Hornets 122-110 as 4-point road favorites in their first meeting of the season. The game went Over the projected total by 6 points.

Hornets at Spurs: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:05 p.m. ET.

Money line: Hornets +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Spurs -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Hornets +5 (-105) | Spurs -5 (-115)
Over/Under: 223.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Hornets at Spurs: Key injuries

Hornets

SG Terry Rozier (hip) probable
C Cody Zeller (shoulder) out
PG LaMelo Ball (wrist) out

Spurs

PF LaMarcus Aldridge (coach’s decision) out

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Hornets at Spurs: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Spurs 113, Hornets 100

Money line (ML)

PASS because I figure San Antonio wins this game outright but the Spurs (-200) are far too expensive for them or any other NBA regular-season favorite especially with how well underdogs have performed so far this season.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Slight LEAN toward SPURS -5 (-115) for one-fifth of a unit because they are my preferred side even though I’m not in love with the spread in this spot.

Ball’s injury stinks in the long run for Charlotte; however, in the short run or against offensively limited teams—which San Antonio is—the Hornets are a live underdog.

That being said, San Antonio is in much better form lately and is a lot healthier. BET SPURS -5 (-115) on a tiny wager.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Hornets attempt the eighth-highest volume of shots at the rim, according to CleaningTheGlass.com, but the Spurs have two elite rim protectors in starting C Jakob Poeltl and backup PF Rudy Gay. Both of which are major factors in San Antonio’s fourth-best defensive field-goal percentage vs. shots at the rim.

Also, the loss of Ball hurts Charlotte’s offense a lot more than its defense. In fact, his replacement—PG Devonte’ Graham—is the Hornets’ leader in on-off court net rating and in the 97th percentile of point guards for team on-off defensive effective field-goal percentage, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

Furthermore, this total opened at 224.5 and betting reports indicate more money has come in on the Over yet the total is a full-point lower than the opener.

This line movement is puzzling and has me thinking the value is on the UNDER 223.5 (-105). Hopefully, there’s a better price closer to tip-off, but at the current number, I’d BET 1.25 units on UNDER 223.5 (-105).

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Also see:

‘I think he is damn good’: LeBron impressed by Ball at 19 (Lonzo Wire)

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